2021 NFL Week 15 ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks

by Nick Spencer
2021 NFL Week 15 ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks

Welcome everybody to the 2021 NFL Week 15 ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks article!

We were one Lamar Jackson injury away from a 5-1 week, as Tyler Huntley smashed Lamar’s over easily after he left in the first quarter. But we will take 4-2. This brings us to 38-31 on the season.

With the Omicron variant spreading rapidly throughout the NFL there is no way to be sure how many of these picks will actually count this week, but we will try to continue our winning streak regardless.

If you haven’t tried ThriveFantasy yet here’s what it’s all about. Unlike other DFS sites, you are not assembling a lineup.

Instead, each week there are roughly 20 prop bets centered around elite NFL players’ performances. You choose ten of those 20 props, and they are worth different amounts of points based on how likely they are to occur.

If you pick the prop correctly you earn those points, the more points you earn the more money you can win!

2021 NFL Week 15 ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks

The Overs

Tua Tagovailoa - 21.5 Completions - 85 Points - Over

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Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins have been on fire. After a seven-game losing streak earlier in the year, they are now on a six-game winning streak. Granted, a lot of those games were against weak competition, but they are still getting the job done, and this week looks juicy as well.

The Dolphins get to play the New York Jets at home, a team they already beat earlier on this win streak. The last time Tua played the Jets he completed 27 passes, well over this 21.5 line.

In fact, in Tua’s last six full games he has averaged 28.3 completions. And only one of those six games went under, a 21-completion game against a rock-solid Bills defense.

He will likely be without reception-hog Jaylen Waddle, but fortunately, Devante Parker is back in the mix to soak up some of those looks. Tua should easily coast past the 21.5 mark for a fourth straight game.

Aaron Rodgers - 275.5 Passing Yards - 100 Points - Over

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Aaron Rodgers has looked like a man on a mission over the past month. Despite rarely practicing due to a limiting toe injury, he has led the Packers to three wins in their last four matches. Including an impressive victory over the Los Angeles Rams.

Over Rodgers’ first eight games he averaged just 236.7 passing yards per game. But in these past four he has really flipped the 'on' switch, averaging 331 yards per game in that stretch.

Rodgers has hit this over in just five of his 12 games this season. But the reason I am so confident in this pick is because he has done it in four straight games.

And the Packers matchup this week, the Ravens, are allowing the second-most passing yards in the league, so I really doubt that this is where Rodgers' hot streak ends.

The Unders

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Ezekiel Elliott - 65.5 Rushing Yards - 90 Points - Under

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Ezekiel Elliott has been battling through a knee injury this season. While he hasn’t allowed it to force him to miss extended time, it has turned him into a shell of himself as a runner.

It is clear to anybody watching that this is not the same old Zeke we are used to seeing. There is a distinct lack of explosive plays, and he often comes off the field limping.

Elliott is currently averaging 62 rushing yards per game, just under this prop. However, he is averaging just 41 rushing yards per game in the past seven contests.

He has hit this under in 8 of 13 games this season, and he has hit the under in seven straight games since the bye week.

Elliott is hurting, and I can’t in good conscience recommend anybody take his overs until we start seeing his health return to normal.

Ben Roethlisberger - 0.5 Interceptions - 125 Points - Under

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Big Ol’ Ben Roethlisberger has been rounding into form recently. With nine touchdowns and 1080 yards in his last four games, he is starting to fill out the stat sheet a bit more. A vast improvement from earlier in the season when he was rarely hitting the two-touchdown or 250-yard mark in any given game.

Ben has thrown just seven interceptions this year, an average of 0.58 per game. He has hit this under in seven of 12 contests, including four of six since the bye in Week 7.

Interesting to note here is that all seven of Big Ben’s interceptions have come in losses of eight points or more. Meaning things are only really getting ugly when the Steelers are down big and need to start forcing things down the field.

The Steelers are one-point favorites over the Titans this week, so we shouldn’t expect much trouble on that end.

I believe Ben has a very good shot at delivering a clean sheet here, and for 125 points there’s no way I am leaving this one out of my lineups this week.

Aaron Jones - 50.5 Rushing Yards - 120 Points - Under

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It appears Aaron Jones has moved from being a workhorse to part of a timeshare as this season has progressed. Partially due to injury and partially due to the emergence of rookie running A.J. Dillion. Regardless of why, it is certainly bad news for fantasy managers.

Jones has hit this under in six of 12 games this season, including three straight contests. He is averaging right around this mark at 50 rushing yards per game, but that number has dropped to just 27.6 in his past three games. Mostly due to a decrease in volume, he saw just five carries last week.

I already mentioned how The Ravens are one of the easiest teams to pass against, but they are also one of the hardest teams to run against. They rank number one in the league in rushing yards allowed per game, and number four in defensive rush DVOA.

There is simply no reason to trust Aaron Jones right now until he proves otherwise. This is the perfect prop to tack on with the Aaron Rodgers one above, as the game script dictates a pass-happy approach.


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