Betting

2021 NFL Week 2 Monday Night Football Prop Bets

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Welcome back to the 2021 Week 2 Monday Night Football Prop Bets!

Week 1 recap:

Player Props – 5-3 (+1.9 units)

Longshots/SGP – 1-3 (+1.85 units)

Overall – 6-6 (+3.75 units)

While the record might not look great on the surface, we had ourselves a pretty profitable first Monday Night. Mark Andrews had a fairly disappointing night, only recording three receptions for 20 yards on five targets. He was on the field for 95% of Lamar’s drop backs so the thought process was there.

Rookie running back, Ty’Son Williams, came through for us, breaking free for a 35-yard touchdown for the first TD of the game. He looked good in his debut, but for some reason, the Ravens decided to get away from him in the second half.

If you weren’t able to stay up for the entirety of the game, it was one of the crazier endings to a game I’ve ever seen. Let’s hope we get another entertaining one this week with an NFC North battle between Green Bay and Detroit.

Both teams come into their matchup off of Week 1 losses. The Packers forgot to show up last week against the Saints and got smacked 38-3. Aaron Rodgers, and the entire team for that matter, just looked out of sync. All of the off-season drama and none of the starters playing in preseason may have played a role in this disappointing effort so I’m chalking this one up as a one-off/burn the tape kind of a game.

The Lions dropped their home opener to the 49ers, 41-33. They made this one look a lot closer than it actually was. Detroit was down by 28 at one point before scoring a few garbage-time touchdowns. The offense did show signs of life, however, and might be more fantasy-relevant than we thought coming into the season.

The Packers won both matchups between these two teams in 2020 and have won the last four against Detroit. Jared Goff will get his first taste of this NFC North divisional battle. We’ll see if he can turn around the Lions’ luck on Monday Night.

Vegas doesn’t exactly expect this to be a close one as the Packers are currently 12 point home favorites with the total sitting at 48 points. I have to agree with them as I expect a bounce-back game from Aaron Rodgers and company. Since Matt Lafleur has taken over, Green Bay has only lost six regular-season games. They are a perfect 6-0 following each one of those losses.

Aaron Rodgers is a big reason why they have won each game following a defeat. He has thrown 16 touchdowns with no interceptions in those six games. Rodgers also tends to shine in these primetime games when all eyes are on him. I’d be very surprised if he doesn’t put on a show to make up for last week’s poor performance.

Detroit ran their offense through their running backs last week. Both, D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams topped 100 scrimmage yards while each found the endzone. If the Lions can keep this one somewhat close, expect to see another heavy dose of these backs.

All of my bets will be to win 1 unit unless noted otherwise. 

2021 NFL Week 2 Monday Night Football Prop Bets

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Aaron Jones – OVER 68.5 rushing yards (-110 on DK)

Aaron Jones – OVER 88.5 rushing + receiving yards (-150 on DK)

Aaron Jones – OVER 2.5 receptions (-120 on DK)

If you couldn’t tell, I’m all in on Aaron Jones this week. I’m expecting the Packers to be playing from ahead in most of this one so the game script should be in Jones’ favor. He only touched the ball seven times in Week 1 which is unacceptable. The Packers know they need to get the ball in their star running backs’ hands as much as possible, look for them to change that this week.

Jones couldn’t get a better matchup to bounce back in. Detroit allowed the most fantasy points to running backs in 2020 and was just destroyed by the 49ers 3rd string running back, Elijah Mitchell (104 rush yards & TD). Aaron Jones excelled in this matchup last year, posting 236 total yards and three TDs in their Week 2 game. He also added on 75 total yards in their second game of the season. Jones is in a prime position to post some monster numbers on Monday Night.

TJ Hockenson – OVER 52.5 receiving yards (-114 on FD)

TJ Hockenson – Anytime TD (+250 on MyBookie)

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The Lions’ tight end balled out in Week 1 with 8/97/1 receiving on 11 targets. And that was against a 49ers defense that was very good against TEs last season.

Green Bay’s defense was an absolute mess in Week 1. They got taken advantage of by less talented TEs last week, surrendering 6-49-2 on nine targets. Juwan Johnson accounted for 3-21-2, while Adam Trautman posted 3-18 on six targets.

Hockenson was productive against Green Bay last year, posting 10/105/1 on 15 targets in their two games.

Both of these numbers are still way too low for Hock. I expect we start seeing his receiving numbers in the 60’s very soon. You can get him to score a TD on either DK or FD if you aren’t on MyBookie.

Plays Added 9/20

D’Andre Swift o28.5 receiving yards (-110 on DK)

The Lions are 12 point home underdogs so the game script should be in Swift’s favor. He caught eight balls for 65 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets in their Week 1 loss to the 49ers while running 41 routes compared to 20 for Jamaal Williams. Swift totaled 86 receiving yards in his two matchups against the Packers last year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling o2.5 receptions (-167 on MB)

I don’t love paying the juice, but it was the best number I could find on any of the books that I’m on. While MVS only produced 3/17 in Week 1, his usage was encouraging as he had a team-high eight targets. Detroit’s defense is already atrocious and will now be without their top corner in Jeff Okudah. I don’t blame you if you don’t want to pay the juice, but I just don’t see any way MVS doesn’t end the night with 3+ receptions.

Longshots/Same Game Parlay

D’Andre Swift 1st TD (+1200 on DK) .28 units to win 3.36

TJ Hockenson 1st TD (+1400 on DK) .24 units to win 3.36

MVS 1st TD (+1400 on BetMGM) .24 units to win 3.36

SGP – A. Jones TD + MVS TD + TJ Hockenson TD (+2024 on FD) .5 units to win 10

Final Thoughts

Another Sunday in the books and we’re on to our second Monday Night game of the year. The Packers will look to bounce back from their disappointing season opener when they only put up three points. I expect the reigning MVP to ball out tonight with all eyes on him on national TV.

As always, make sure to keep it light on the longshot/SGP bets and stick to your units. 


Best of luck and if you have any questions feel free to ask me on Twitter @KSalamido


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About Kyle Salamido

Kyle is a lifelong Green Bay Packers fans and sports betting degenerate. His love of fantasy football started when his Dad let him co-own one of his teams when he was 10. He’d spend every Sunday at his neighbor’s house watching every game with his DirecTv Sunday Ticket. To this day, he still watches every game and doesn’t miss a play. Kyle has 15+ seasons of fantasy football under his belt and has found success in DFS since its’ inception.

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