2021 NFL Week 2 ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks


Welcome everybody to the 2021 NFL Week 2 ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks article.

It’s always nice to begin the season in the money and going seven-for-seven sure is an easy way to do it! I will try to repeat that success here and hopefully stave off regression for another week.

If you haven’t tried ThriveFantasy yet here’s what it’s all about. Unlike other DFS sites, you are not assembling a lineup.

Instead, each week there are roughly 20 prop bets centered around elite NFL players’ performances. You choose ten of those 20 props, and they are worth different amounts of points based on how likely they are to occur.

If you pick the prop correctly you earn those points, the more points you earn the more money you can win!

2021 NFL Week 2 ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks

The Overs

Darren Waller – 70.5 receiving yards – 100 points – over

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Waller ended Week 1 with 10 receptions on 19 targets for 105 yards and a score. Let me say that again, 19 targets! Carr picked up right where he left off last year by absolutely force-feeding Waller the ball regardless of the coverage.

The Raiders take on the Steelers this week, who are just coming off a game against the Bills where they suffocated Josh Allen and his offense. Allen still managed to hit 270 yards due to his 51 pass attempts, but it wasn’t pretty.

Fortunately for us, we don’t need it to be pretty, I can envision a very similar situation replaying this week where Carr is forced to pass all game long. And if that’s the case Waller will be targeted to the max once again and he is more than talented enough to break some tackles and rack up 71 yards.

If you need any more reassurance, this past week now makes it six straight games for Waller over 75 yards, dating back to last season’s 200-yard performance in Week 12.

Cooper Kupp – 6.5 receptions – 105 points – over

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In Week 1 Cooper Kupp racked up 108 yards and a score by catching seven of 10 targets against a tough Chicago defense.

We didn’t fully know what to expect from this Rams offense before the season started but now it looks like everything we hoped it would be.

The most surprising aspect from the Rams’ first game was that Kupp out-targeted Woods 10 to four. Now there’s a chance this was a Week 1 anomaly. But even if it was, and the target share is more evenly distributed this week, I still believe that there is more than enough to go around in this high-octane offense.

Especially considering they are facing the Colts who were just torched by Russell Wilson last week for 254 yards and four touchdowns at a 78% clip.

Nick Chubb – 93.5 total yards – 100 points – over

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I did a double-take when I saw this line on Thrive. Only 93.5 total yards? And it still gives us 100 points? That’s insane.

Chubb put 101 total yards last week against a tough Kansas City Chiefs run defense. So this line seems like a slam dunk against the 2020 league-worst run defense Houston Texans.

Chubb hit 94+ total yards in nine of 13 games in 2020, including a 126-yard performance against this same Texans team.

The only way this one doesn’t hit is if the Browns are up by 30 at halftime and sit Chubb the rest of the game, and even then he might hit it.

Don’t overthink this one, take the free points.

Tom Brady – 314.5 passing yards – 105 points – over

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The G.O.A.T, Tom Brady, put up 379 yards and four touchdowns to win the league-opener on Thursday Night Football. Now granted, that was a very good matchup for Brady, however, this one might be even better.

The Falcons got destroyed by the Eagles and Jalen Hurts who dropped 264 passing yards and 62 rushing yards on them. And that was Jalen Hurts, so now imagine what Brady is going to do to them.

Now Brady isn’t going to rush for 62 yards but convert those runs into dump-off yardage, and then bump up all the yardage a bit since Brady is much better than Hurts, and Brady should smash this bar despite it being set decently high.

Similar to Nick Chubb’s situation, the only way I see Brady not hitting this over is if they have the game completely under control by halftime and they just run out the clock.

I know Brady only cares about winning, but I get the sense that he receieves a special kind of satisfaction from putting up huge numbers in his old age.

The Unders

Trevor Lawrence – 1.5 passing touchdowns – 115 points – under

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Trevor Lawrence lost in the regular season for the first time in his career. I hope he got used to the feeling because the Jaguars look like they are going to do a ton of losing this year.

In a game where they got steamrolled, Lawrence did throw three touchdown passes, but it took him 51 attempts and three interceptions to get there.

Despite what it looked like the Texans did not dominate the Jaguars. They were just handed opportunity after opportunity on a silver platter as the Jaguars repeatedly shot themselves in the foot (and everywhere else).

And now the Jaguars have to take on a scary Denver Broncos defense that held the Giants to just 13 points in Week 1. Including only one passing touchdown for Daniel Jones.

Combine the brutal matchup with this train wreck of a team conducted by Urban Meyer, and you can steal 115 points from what projects to be an ugly outing in Jacksonville.

Jimmy Garoppolo – 0.5 interceptions – 125 points – under

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Jimmy G completed 17 of 25 passes for 314 yards, a touchdown, and no interceptions in Week 1. Not a bad showing, but while he didn’t throw an interception, it was a very easy matchup so we shouldn’t read too much into it.

Meanwhile, their Week 2 matchup, the Eagles, were one of the biggest surprises of Week 1, they completely dominated the Falcons on both sides of the ball. And while they didn’t pick off Matt Ryan, they did hold him to just 164 yards.

But was it just a mirage? Are the Eagles really that good? Or are the Falcons just that bad? I’m not sure, but I am willing to take the gamble.

In his 32 game career with the 49ers, Garoppolo has had 14 games with no interceptions and 18 with one or more. Less than 50% odds of success isn’t ideal, but getting 125 points is massive in terms of contest placement, so it is well worth the risk.

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About Nick Spencer

Nick Spencer is a Canadian business school student with a passion for all things football. He specializes in NFL fantasy re-draft and dynasty league formats. He loves offering draft and trade advice to anyone who will listen, so tweet @NickBSpencer with any fantasy questions.

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