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2021 NFL Week 3 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

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You’re back again for some prop bets, huh? Well, I’ve got you some 2021 NFL Week 3 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets for you today!

In week 1, we did pretty well for ourselves! Week 2? Sadly, not so much. I, along with Vegas and most everyone else in the football world, expected a defensive game. Instead, what we got was an offensive shootout, with the Giants and WFT scoring nearly 60 combined points.

While that’s great for football and an entertaining game to watch, it was not for our props. Kenny Golladay dropped several passes that kept him under 50.5 yards. Taylor Heinicke lit up the Giants. Antonio Gibson did well with his rushing opportunities but was used somewhat sparingly. Not that Washington cares. A win is a win.

This week on Thursday Night Football, the Carolina Panthers visit the Houston Texans. The Panthers are coming off a great 2-0 start to their year, beating their divisional rival Saints. Unfortunately, Houston fell to my Browns, and starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor suffered an unfortunate hamstring injury that put him on IR.

In the wake of his injury, rookie QB Davis Mills will start against Carolina. We already saw what the Carolina defense did to 2021 #2 overall pick rookie QB Zach Wilson. Then they took care of the Saints in dominating fashion. Through two weeks, the Panthers’ defense has looked legit. How legit? They rank in the top 10 in most defensive categories and top 5 in many. This could get ugly.

2021 Week 3 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

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Christian McCaffrey – 45.5 Rec/yards – Over

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Quite honestly, you could pick any McCaffrey stat and hit them over with a good bit of confidence. I don’t think the Houston defense can stop him. But I chose this one because of CMC’s passing game involvement. He’s had at least six receptions in each of the Panthers’ two games this year and at least 65 receiving yards. So Carolina is using him a lot, regardless of the game script.

Mark Ingram – 42.5 Rush + Rec Yards – Under

It’s crazy to hit the under on a line so low. Another Ingram prop is O/U 35.5 rushing yards, but I’m not taking that one, and I’ll explain why. The Texans will be in a negative game script, and Ingram is not involved in the passing game, having one catch for -1 yard through two weeks. I think this is a David Johnson kind of game.

If the game script isn’t enough, how’s this stat: the Panthers have not allowed a 30-yard rusher to date. Sure they faced the Jets committee in Week 1. But they faced Alvin Kamara in Week 2. While Mark Ingram is the lead back, the Texans still have an RBBC. Ingram will find tough sledding, and he’s not used in the passing game. I like the 42-yard total as a bit of a buffer just if he does happen to reach the 35-yard mark.

Brandin Cooks – 5.5 Rec – Over

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Speaking of a negative game script, I get the uncertainty surrounding Davis Mills. However, who else can he throw to? Cooks is just about the only WR there. He had a massive 14 targets last week against the Browns, a 48% target share. Nine of Mills’ 18 passes went to Cooks. Mills will likely continue to force-feed him the ball.

DJ Moore – 67.5 Rec/yards – Over

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DJ Moore has taken over as the Panthers’ #1 WR, as he should. Moore is averaging 79.5 receiving yards and seven catches on 9.5 targets a game. The talent was always there, Darnold likes to throw to him, and Houston won’t cover him. Yes.

BONUS: David Johnson – 15.5 Rec/yards – Over

I couldn’t help but throw my man David Johnson in here. I’ve had a soft spot for him ever since he came to the NFL. Anyway, the past two games, he’s averaged 20 receiving yards, and with the game script likely negative, IF the Texans are smart, they’ll throw it to him. In my opinion, he’s their best RB (and others on F6P), and hopefully, they’ll figure that out soon.

Just like last Thursday’s game, we go into a game of uncertainty. Heinicke came in for injured Fitzpatrick and did well on the short week. This week, Mills came in for an injured Taylor and will start on a short week.  However, we have a better idea about the Panthers’ defense and what they’re capable of. They’ll bring pressure on the young QB, and Houston’s defense will be overwhelmed with CMC and all the Panthers’ offensive weapons. As a result, the Panthers will improve to 3-0.


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About Garrett Ball

Love me some fantasy football! After having played fantasy football for a few years, I decided to write about my hobby to help others in the fantasy community! The only things I love more than winning fantasy championships are God and my wife and two daughters. But fishing comes close too.

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  1. Pingback: NFL Football Betting – Week 3 - Sports Betting Rundown

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