2021 US Open DFS Value Picks

by Mark Strausberg
2021 US Open DFS Value PIcks

My apologies for cutting it close with my 2021 US Open DFS Value picks piece.

If you were watching my life lately in a movie, you'd probably laugh in disbelief or shift uncomfortably as I do every time I watch this scene with all that has been happening.

And watching that kind of implosion is good preparation for this weekend. Because I can promise you that some golfers will absolutely implode at some point during the four days of the US Open. If someone wins the US Open double-digits under par, they are often embarrassed. To avoid that, a US Open course is often extremely long, filled with all kinds of hazards, tough putting surfaces, and overly penal rough.

So it helps to be able to bomb it off the tee, but you had better be accurate too. And no one wins the US Open despite poor putting. To win the US Open you need to have all facets working. Finding a player who will do that however is the key. The good news is that pricing is actually pretty soft this week. Depending on how low you are willing to go, you can absolutely get three primo players atop your lineup with three strong options to fill out your roster.

Like the Masters, value picks must be below the $7500 line of DraftKings AND below $8500 on FanDuel. Now that you know the rules, let's talk about some golfers that might be able to avoid that prickly feeling at Torrey Pines. I have sorted them in DraftKings ascending salary order.

2021 US Open DFS Value Picks

Matthias Schmid (FD $7000, DK $6000)

We are starting at the very bottom, with a minimum salary option. Schmid in fact probably stands to make less than you do this weekend as he is an amateur. Therefore, he won't even be receiving one of those oversized checks. And if your grabbing to amateur just to differentiate your lineup? Don't. But if you want to roster three golfers $9500 to more on DK or $11K or more on FD, Schmid will allow you to do that.

And Schmid is not some club pro that went on a heater in his regional qualifying. He's already teed it up here at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and overseas at the Porsche European Open. He won back-to-back European Amateur Championships in addition to a sparkling collegiate career at the University of Louisville. If you going to scrape the very bottom, Schmid is the guy to choose.

Chan Kim (FD $7000, DK $6100)

I can promise you that Kim will be extremely low-owned. In addition to being fairly unknown here in the States, his record in the majors he's competed in is awful. However, on the Japanese Golf Tour he's a five-time winner including a victory earlier this season. However, he is making waves internationally arriving at Torrey Pines with a 2nd-T9-T15-T23 including most recently at Kiawah Island.

Remember when I talked about bringing a complete game? Kim is currently fourth on the JGTO's Order of Merit thanks to being fourth in scoring average bolstered by being both second in GIR (greens in regulation) as well as second in both distance and total driving. He's also first in ball-striking.

The floor here can be a duplicate of what he has done in the other three majors and he might actually give you negative points. However, I love Kim's ceiling compared to anyone even three or four hundred more expensive.

Brendan Steele (FD $7400, DK $6500)

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Finally a name you know perhaps. Steele is a cut-maker and no one who has made 15/18 cuts should be priced at $6500.

And unlike Kim, Steele has a decent resume in majors, including making the cut when he last played in the US Open in the 2018 season. Steele was born in Idyllwild, CA, and attended the University of California-Riverside, so he has a strong familiarity with these greens. Steele does not have the upside that some of the other golfers highlighted here have, but he should make the cut once again. And at this price, that's all we need.

Erik Van Rooyen (FD $7800, DK $6700)

"EVR" as he is often called is coming in strong after an impressive 10th place finish last week at the Palmetto Championship at Congaree. His majors record is a bit mixed, but he did finish 23rd at the 2020 US open back in September. In his one previous US Open, he finished 43rd. So we know he can contend despite the tough conditions at Torrey Pines this week.

EVR brings a decent floor, but he also brings a decent ceiling at this price with six Top-25s already this season.

Jhonattan Vegas (FD $6800, DK $8000)

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EVR looked great at Congaree, but Vegas was absolutely brilliant. Vegas finished in a tie for second place, reminding us how great he can be. He can be a streaky player, but he's coming in playing some of his best golf. He is currently 14th in driving distance on the PGA Tour this season. More recently in his last 24 rounds, Vegas is third in SG: Off-the-Tee and 13th in proximity from 175-200 yards.

Putting is not typically one of his strengths, but he is actually 54th in putting from 5-10 feet on poa over his last 50 rounds. He's also 71st in scrambling throughout his past 36.

Unlike Van Rooyen, "Jhonny Vegas" record in Majors leaves a little to be desired, but he is well worth a throw of the dice.

Robert MacIntyre (FD $7000, DK $8400)

MacIntyre is absolutely one of my favorite plays this week as he checks nearly every box. For starters, MacIntyre is within the Top 50 on the OWGR (overall world golf rankings) and is not priced on the sites even close to that.

He's bounced back and forth between the two Tours and has done well on both. He finished T-8th at the British Masters but also finished T-12th at Augusta. He has two international wins during the 20/21 season but also an additional handful of top tens including a third place finish at the Omega Dubai Classic and more recently a T-9 at the WGC Match Play.

In addition to the Masters, MacIntyre also made the cut at both the PGA championship last month, as well as the US Open back in September. I don't see any reason why he can't do at least as well as that and possibly find himself on the front page of the leaderboard come Sunday.

Good luck with your 2021 US Open Championship picks!

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