2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 11 Buy Low-Sell High

by Greyson Adams
2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 11 Buy Low-Sell High

We're back again, and I hope everyone has had a wonderful holiday season. Hopefully, you were able to watch more NBA games during some much-deserved time off. The NBA is still just as exciting as ever, and as a result, so is Fantasy Basketball. Some players are lighting it up, while others are slumping. But will this last? That's what I'm here to find out, with my 2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 11 Buy Low-Sell High!

If you're new to my weekly segment, this article comes out every Friday. I go over players that I feel you should target or move on from. But not every player will be in the same tier. I divide them into groups to help you better understand who I would prioritize as a target. They are split into three sections: buy/sell of the week, main buy/sell targets, and other players to buy/sell.

As always, context is important. I normally determine my selections based on 9-category leagues, also called 9-cat. If you are in a points league, this may still help, but I cannot guarantee it. If you're unsure, or just have any fantasy basketball questions in general, you can reach out to me on Twitter @GreysonAdams907, or just click the link here.

Disclaimer: All statistics for the 2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 11 Buy Low-Sell High were made before games on Thursday, December 29th. Things may change in only a day! So be on the lookout.

2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 11 Buy Low-Sell High

Buy of the week: Kawhi Leonard, SG/SF, Los Angeles Clippers

Kawhi Leonard is slowly returning to his normal self. He's not quite there yet, but his value is slowly rising. The only games he's missing are back-to-backs and he's played 30 minutes or more in six of his last seven games. He's not a buy-low in the most traditional sense, but we're still not seeing his 1st to 2nd-round value that many were used to before his injuries took hold.

As he ramps back up I would take this opportunity to buy him, as it's unlikely many value him at his ceiling, especially with injuries.

Statistically, I would expect almost all of his stats to increase. The categories that I expect to see the most growth in are his steals, field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and points. We're already seeing an increase over the last month, but it should continue to go even further than this. When Kawhi is healthy, his ceiling is a top-10 player on a per-game basis.

Some may think of this recent solid stretch from him as an opportunity to sell him due to fear of injury, which is valid. However, I believe the rewards will outweigh the risks involved.

Main Buy Targets

Delon Wright, PG/SG, Washington Wizards

Wright has been out for most of the year, but he's slowly making his way back. Right now, he's basically just a steals specialist playing only 16 minutes per game over his last three games. Given the duration of his injury, it makes sense that his minutes are low. I would expect that within the near future he will start seeing minutes in the 20-25 range.

He's typically great to have for field goal percentage, assists, and steals; categories that aren't always easy to come by off the wire or in a cheap trade. It would be wise to trade for him now before his volume increases.

Myles Turner, C, Indiana Pacers

It was recently reported by the legendary Shams Charania of The Athletic that Turner and the Indiana Pacers had begun talks for an extension. This is huge news for a player that has been involved in trade talks for what seems like a decade now. The Pacers are a much-improved team this year, outplaying their expectations, which is likely why they've had a change of heart about Turner. This is likely the best situation for Turner.

He has an established role on this team and has one of the best young passers in the league, Tyrese Haliburton, to dish it to him in a variety of ways. With that being said, his production over the last couple of weeks likely hasn't left current managers believing this themselves.

Over the last two weeks, Turner is currently averaging 10.8 points (-5.4 compared to his season average) and 1.0 blocks (-1.0) on 48% shooting (-6.3%). These numbers are just a bump in the road for Turner, who we've seen several times simply have some bad offensive nights. There have also been some temporary block slumps that are also normally fixed with time. Turner is well-established in the NBA, so things like this should be taken advantage of, rather than a cause for concern.

Other Players to Buy

Bobby Portis, PF/C, Milwaukee Bucks

Bobby Portis is a weird case. He's a solid player, getting a good number of points and rebounds. But otherwise, he hasn't done much. For a big man, his field goal percentage has also been pretty low. And the closest we've come to see him record a block or steal recently was when he punched Grant Williams in the back for whatever reason.

All jokes aside, I see positive regression in his future for both his field goal percentage, just 42.4% over this past week, and his defense. The last time his steals and blocks, aka stocks, were this low was his sophomore season with the Bulls, where he played just 15.6 minutes a game. He's not an elite defensive player, but expect those numbers to increase from their current value of 0.3 for each.

Isaiah Stewart, C, Detroit Pistons

Beef Stew has fully moved into the power forward position (Yahoo! position modification coming soon) and it's clearly a spot that he can excel in, but he's also clearly not fully integrated yet. It does seem like he has a good lock on the role, however. He plays solid defense both inside and out, and he's finding his shooting stride slowly but surely. I think we will see a lot fewer dud games from him moving forward as he gets more comfortable with his new role.

Sell of the Week: Christian Wood, PF/C, Dallas Mavericks

Christian Wood has moved into a more prominent role with the Dallas Mavericks as of late. Over the last two weeks, Wood is averaging 2.1 threes (+0.5), 20.3 points (+2.9), 9.4 boards (+1.4), 1.0 steals (0.5), and 2.4 blocks (+1.5). What has changed for this to happen? For starters, Wood is now a starter. His minutes have seen a drastic increase. From the start of the season until December 12th, Wood played an average of 25.8 minutes a game. Since December 13th, that number has shot up to 34.8 minutes a game.

The cause for this major increase in his minutes and stats is a culmination of a few different things. The first of these is that the Mavericks' frontcourt is decimated. Maxi Kleber is out for a while. Dorian Finney-Smith is also hurt. Javale McGee has been banished to the shadow realm for playing poorly. Dwight Powell did return to action but scored 2 points in 30 minutes of game time.

Wood has essentially been forced into a larger both overall and as a center rather than his typical spot at power forward. Wood's stats always tend to be better when he plays center, but he's also a major liability on the defensive end of things, hence why he normally plays at the four.

The main injury here to monitor is Maxi Kleber, who is a great role player and the main player to take minutes from Wood. Kleber is still out for a while, so this isn't an immediate sell, but it would be wise to be on the lookout for when Kleber is close to returning and take that opportunity to capitalize on Wood's success with a trade.

Main Sell Targets

Jimmy Butler, SF/PF, Miami Heat

Over the last two weeks, Butler has been averaging some incredible numbers, primarily his stocks. He's averaging 3.5 steals and 1 block per game. He's still missing games here and there, but his numbers are juicy enough to overlook those as someone from the outside looking in. Use this hot streak to your advantage and sell him for a high-value player that is more consistently healthy and available for games. This should still be someone you view as at least 2nd round value or better.

Kevin Porter Jr., PG, Houston Rockets

Over the last two weeks, KPJ has ranked 39th in Yahoo! per-game rankings, shooting 50.4% on 16.4 shots, well above his season average of 43.2% on 15.7 shots. This is a clear hot streak, but with Porter Jr. being such a young player, these things can easily be overblown as "breakouts" and allow for an increase in his value.

Selling him at this point could allow you to acquire someone much more trustworthy in terms of efficiency while also producing similar counting stats. Using him in tandem with another solid player could also get you a pretty significant guard upgrade thanks to his solid 5+ boards and assists.

Other Players to Sell

Naz Reid, C, Minnesota Timberwolves

Naz Reid has been looking like the best center that the Timberwolves have right now, and it didn't even cost them their entire future! Unfortunately, Reid's success comes and goes as injuries do. He'll likely end up back on the waiver wire. It would be wise to move him during the peak of his value so you're not the one who ends up pressing that drop button when the time comes.

This concludes my 2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 11 Buy Low-Sell High. Make sure to come back next year (an overused joke I know) for the next edition!

Happy New Year!

 


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