2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 2 Buy Low-Sell High

by Greyson Adams
2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Draft Tips to Win Your Points League

The basketball season is now in full swing, with more than a full week of games come and gone. We now have more insight into the trends on each team; how players are fitting into rotations and how they look statistically and talent-wise. Using all of this, I have put together my list of 2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 2 Buy Low-Sell High options.

Each of these will be split into 3 categories: my buy/sell of the week, my other main targets for each, and some honorable mentions that I don't feel as strongly about pursuing or trading away.

It is important to remember that each of these players is currently under these categories, but this could change at any moment. Injuries, rotational changes, etc. can cause a shift in someone's fantasy value, so what is currently true this week could be the completely flipped on its head by next week. I'll be putting out a new post every week! So make sure to monitor these to stay up with the current trends for fantasy.

Some of these players are a buy or sell simply because of their usage, while others are due to over or underperforming, with regression being expected; aka a buy low or a sell high. I personally will be trying to buy or sell these players in my own leagues.

Context is also important here! If your league's format is unique, the players I have under each section may not be consistent with your league, so use your discretion to determine this as well.

Disclaimer: This was written before games on October 27th, so any statistics used will not include these games!

2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 2 Buy Low-Sell High

Buy of the Week: Ben Simmons, PG, Brooklyn Nets

Ben Simmons has been underwhelming to start off the year, to say the least. Through the first four games of the season, Simmons has shot 45.0% on just five shots while shooting an abysmal 33.3% from the line on a little over two free throws a game. His averages are 5.3 points, 5.8 rebounds, 7.5 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.8 blocks, and 3.3 turnovers, all adding up to a 9-category ranking of 256. Not only has he been bad for fantasy, but he's been very poor in terms of real basketball as well, fouling out in 2 of the 4 games. This is obviously dreadful. And anyone who has him this year is probably not at all happy with the results. But this is exactly why he's my buy of the week. He's the ideal buy-low target.

Let's start with his defense. Throughout his career, Simmons has been an exceptional defender, averaging 1.7 steals and 0.73 blocks in his four seasons with the Philadelphia 76ers. He has clearly been struggling, not even recording a steal in the first two games of the season while committing eight fouls. However, he's still an elite defender and I expect positive regression to come for Simmons. He's an agile 6'10 point guard. Therefore, he has always been able to use his size advantage on smaller guards to create turnovers or block shots.

Simmons offense?

Next, we move into the offensive side of his game. Simmons is shooting the ball a little less than half the amount that he normally has in his career. One would likely be quick to blame the Nets offense and the way they play through Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant, but you would be mistaken. Simmons has been featured heavily in the way the offense is run, getting 70.3 touches per game, per NBA.com. For reference, only Kyrie is seeing more touches of the ball, at 74.0 touches per game, with Durant below them slightly at 62.8 touches per game.

So if Simmons is so involved, then what's the issue? Well, it seems to just be a case of getting back into the swing of things and being more aggressive. Looking at his game log so far, Simmons has matched or increased the number of field goal attempts he's taken every game, which is a good sign for things to come.

The rest of Simmons' offensive stats are still there. Simmons is one of just eight players in the NBA to average 5.8+ rebounds and 7.5+ assists. That is elite. Especially when it comes to a punt free throw percentage build, Simmons jumps 80 spots to 176, per Basketball Monster. This is still not a great ranking, but that's why he's a buy low, and not just a buy.

It's been about two years since Ben Simmons has played NBA basketball, so it may take some time for him to get readjusted. But if you can get him from a frustrated manager, he may give your team the boost it needs in several categories to help push you into the playoffs.

Main Buy Targets

Jamal Murray, PG/SG, Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray is in a similar situation to Simmons in that he's very rusty and needs to shake that off to get back to form. Yet unlike Simmons, the confidence to take his shots is still there. As an avid Nuggets fan, I have naturally been watching each of their games. Jamal has definitely passed the eye test. He looks explosive and bouncy and his moves are still working the way he would hope. The shot just isn't falling yet. There have been a couple of instances here and there where you can tell he isn't back to his normal self yet. But it will come.

He is another great buy low target who has given players top 40 9-cat value. In points leagues this is even better news. You can now go out and target him on the cheap now and not have to worry about his inefficient performances quite as much.

Keegan Murray, SF/PF, Sacramento Kings

Keegan Murray has only played two games for the Kings but he's averaged 35.5 minutes per game and has performed well enough to be put into the starting lineup. His stat lines haven't been anything too crazy, but Murray's game looks very polished and NBA ready.

He looks to be a player that will give you consistent 3s, points, and rebounds with a solid amount of supporting stats including some good defensive stats. Considering the small sample size of his play it might be easier to trade for him than you'd expect. Some people prefer the known commodity of a vet instead.

Jaden Ivey, PG/SG, Detroit Pistons

Ivey has been a pleasant fantasy surprise thus far, immediately getting the start for the Pistons and producing surprisingly efficient stat lines. The Ivey manager may be thinking this is a good opportunity to sell high, but I believe Ivey has great upside on this team. He is able to run in the backcourt next to second-year player Cade Cunningham.

Cade has an elite ability to open up the floor for his teammates. Combining that with Ivey's talent and athleticism will likely provide Ivey with a lot of easy shots. His ceiling is very high and I would go grab him if you can.

Josh Hart, SG/SF, Portland Trail Blazers

I'm never certain of the stat line Josh Hart will put up, but it always ends up being good in some way. He has been surprisingly valuable for fantasy despite the drop in usage thanks to teammates like Damian Lillard and Jerami Grant. For 9-category leagues especially he's a stat stuffer and someone who fits pretty much any build. For points leagues, he'll always find different ways to get you to a solid total in the end. Plus, his consistency is nice to pair with some boom-or-bust guys.

Other Players to Consider

Ivica Zubac, C, Los Angeles Clippers

Zubac is never the flashy option, but he's always a reliable one. The Clippers don't have another consistent option at Center so Zubac always plays big minutes, so the stats will come organically for him. He's a cheaper option that can help you accumulate good big-man stats.

Chris Paul, PG, Phoenix Suns

Chris Paul has started off the season very passively. I expect that to change somewhat as the season goes on. He may not be impressing his managers with his low scoring totals, so he could be a sneaky buy-low target for the time being.

Lonnie Walker IV, SG/SF, Los Angeles Lakers

Although the Lakers have been terrible, Lonnie Walker has looked pretty good. He's a starter getting big minutes, and with that comes opportunity. It's also nice to have little to no defensive attention thanks to the likes of LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and yes, even Russell Westbrook. Not many managers who have Walker likely value him very highly. He's a good player to target as an end of bench guy for your squad.

Onyeka Okongwu, C, Atlanta Hawks

This one may be a little more ballsy than the others, as Onyeka Okongwu, or OO, is splitting time with Clint Capela. However, Capela is injury prone and simply not as good of a player as OO in my humble opinion.

For the time being Okongwu will provide solid low end value in 9-category leagues. I would expect him to take over starter minutes sometime in the future, so grabbing him now before that happens is a good idea.

Franz Wagner, SF/PF, Orlando Magic

With all the buzz about rookie Paolo Banchero (who has looked amazing) it's easy to forget about Franz Wagner, who's coming off a rookie season that landed him on the all-rookie 1st team. He is very similar to Banchero in terms of size and his ability to do some of everything, averaging 16 .4 points, 5.6 rebounds, 4.0 assists, and 1.2 steals through 5 games. I'd be targeting him while the Banchero hype is at its highest.

A reminder that some of these players I consider to be sell high candidates, but if you don't feel that that is the case then hang onto your guys!

Sell of the Week: Donovan Mitchell, PG/SG, Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell has started off his first season on his new team red hot, averaging three 3s, 28.5 points, five rebounds, 7.3 assists, and two steals through the first four games. These are incredible numbers and Mitchell obviously has a very high ceiling in general. Yet these stats are inflated. In the first half of their season opener, the Cavs lost point guard Darius Garland to an eye injury. Garland has been out since but is very close to a return.

We have yet to see the two together for even a full game, but I would highly doubt that the scoring and assists numbers for Spida stay this high with Garland returning. Garland was one of the league leaders in assists last year, while also scoring 21.7 points a game on the way to his first All-Star appearance.

This is not to say that Mitchell won't still have these massive stat lines going forward, but it will likely be at a much lower frequency. Being able to sell high for an upgrade could prove to be very beneficial for your team moving forward. For example, you could likely successfully trade Mitchell for Tyrese Haliburton (and maybe an additional piece) in a 9-category league, whom I think will be better looking at the entire season.

It is also important to note that this is my sell of the week due to it being a sell high. Look to upgrade from him after this hot start.

Main Sell Targets

Trey Murphy III, SF/PF, New Orleans Pelicans

Trey Murphy has been incredible to start the season, averaging 3.3 threes a game and shooting 62.9% from the field, an incredibly efficient mark for his shot selection. Murphy has also benefitted from several injuries to starters Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson, and Herb Jones. For now, Murphy is a rosterable player, but there's no guarantee this continues. It may be best to ship him off as an additional trade piece to push a deal over the edge.

Isaiah Jackson, PF/C, Indiana Pacers

Isaiah Jackson is no doubt one of the better shot blockers in the league, already showing that talent off with a 5-block game against Detroit. Unfortunately, Jackson is in a frontcourt littered with bigs, including Jalen Smith, Terry Taylor, Oshae Brissett, and Goga Bitadze, as well as Myles Turner who has yet to play due to an injury. There is no guarantee on a nightly basis that Jackson gets enough run to be of any value to your fantasy team. Therefore, it may be better to sell him now before the return of Turner messes with his minutes even more.

Bojan Bogdanovic, SF/PF, Detroit Pistons

Bojan has started strong with his new team in Detroit, averaging 4.2 threes and 23.2 points on 53.3% from the field and 88.2% from the line. I wouldn't expect a change in free throw percentage, but his field goal percentage will likely dip along with his points and threes. In addition, the Pistons are a young tanking team. Bojan is on the older side for an NBA player, so we could see him start to sit games or even be moved at the deadline, likely to a team where he would contribute much less in the scoring department, where he has all his fantasy value. You don't need to sell immediately, but it may be a good idea while his value is at its peak.

Other Players to Consider

Russell Westbrook, PG, Los Angeles Lakers

If you can get any value at all out of Russell Westbrook, it would be his threat to get you a triple-double or the fact that he may be traded to a new team. Neither of these is very likely anymore. However, your league mates may not believe that just yet and you still may be able to sell him off to another team. In a points league, you may be able to sell him on the premise that efficiency isn't important. Try to get something from him, as it isn't looking too great for the former MVP.

John Konchar, SG/SF, Memphis Grizzlies

This is a very low-end, 9-category sell high, as Konchar probably belongs on waivers. You should still try to shop him, ideally in a 2-for-1 trade as an additional piece since he probably does not have very much standalone value.

Eric Gordon, SG/SF, Houston Rockets

Gordon is still starting and playing big minutes on a young and tanking Rockets team. It won't last, so I'd trade Gordon while you can. This will probably apply mostly to deeper leagues, but there is still value to be had here.

Evan Fournier, SG/SF, New York Knicks

After playing 33 minutes in their season opener, Fournier has slowly started to lose playing time to other wings such as Cam Reddish. The Frenchman feels like a ticking time bomb on your roster. He would be best suited on another fantasy team. If the downward trend in minutes continues, it will be hard to keep him on your roster.

 

Those are the players for my 2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 2 Buy Low-Sell High. I will continue to update this weekly with new posts, so be on the lookout!


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