2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 8 Buy Low-Sell High

by Greyson Adams
2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 8 Buy Low-Sell High

Another week in the NBA is here. With it comes players who are in a slump or on a hot streak. Naturally, these streaks do not last. You should capitalize off of these as best you can, while you still can. To help with this, I bring you the 2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 8 Buy Low-Sell High.

For those new to my buy/sell, this is a weekly article that comes out every Friday. I go over players that I feel you should target or move on from. But not every player will be in the same tier. I split them up to help you better understand who I would prioritize as a target. They are split into three sections: buy/sell of the week, main buy/sell targets, and other players to buy/sell.

Context is also very important when identifying which players you should look to trade away/for. If you're in a points league with a more unorthodox scoring system, some of these players may not be in the same category. If you do feel this is the case, feel free to message me on Twitter and ask for my advice directly! I'm happy to help. The link to my Twitter account can be found right here.

Disclaimer: All statistics used and buy/sell decisions made were made before games on Thursday, December 8th. Things may change in only a day! So be on the lookout.

2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 8 Buy Low-Sell High

Buy of the Week: De'Aaron Fox, PG, Sacramento Kings'

Over the last two weeks, Fox has really been struggling. He's averaging 15.8 points (-7.0 compared to his season average), 3.8 assists (-1.8), and 0.5 steals (-0.5). He's also shooting a gross 39.0% on 13.7 shots from the field, down from his normal, efficient 50.7% on 16.6 shots.

Fox has always been one of the more efficient point guards in the league. Over the last four seasons, he's shot at least 47.3% from the field. This inefficient stretch is partly attributed to his lack of drives per game. Per NBA.com, Fox is averaging 3.4 fewer drives per game over his last two weeks compared to his season average. As a result, he's shooting 1.3 fewer attempts on drives and averaging 3.0 fewer potential assists per game.

Fox is shooting fewer shots inside, while still averaging the same amount of outside shots as normal, resulting in a massive efficiency drop. Positive regression will soon come. We saw the same lack of drives hurt Dejounte Murray's efficiency, but he has since returned to his normal self (before this injury of course).

I also believe that Fox will be able to see his steals totals return to more normal numbers once his offense is back to its normal quality. Hitting shots allows for your defense to get set more often, which results in more chances for turnovers. With better offense, comes better defense.

Main Buy Targets

Jonas Valanciunas, C, New Orleans Pelicans

JV has seen some struggles recently in his volume due to some strange game scripts. There have been two instances over the last two weeks where the big man has played less than twenty minutes. These low-volume games are in part due to foul trouble, blowouts, etc. These low-minute, low-volume games have a negative impact on his rhythm and can cause extra struggles. Once his minutes begin to normalize again, he should see an offensive uptick.

In addition, Valanciunas is seeing his lowest defensive production of his career, averaging just 0.3 steals and 0.3 blocks per game. This is trend is also unlikely to continue, and I expect we will see an increase in stocks totals, even if it's not necessarily his forte.

Deni Avdija, SF/PF, Washington Wizards

Avdija's most recent performances have not made him a traditional "buy low" as some other players are. In this instance, it is more due to the recent trade rumors surrounding the team. Starting forward Kyle Kuzma has been involved in trade rumors that are heating up. Should Kuzma be moved, Avdija's inconsistent minute totals should become more normalized in the 30-minute range. This would allow for more consistent, all-around 9cat games from Avdija, who currently suffers from games where he sees minutes in the 10-20 range too frequently.

Other Players to Buy

Cole Anthony, PG, Orlando Magic

Anthony is a bit of a wild card for fantasy basketball, and his recent performances show this. Just four games ago he scored 19 points on 63.6% shooting from the field, but since then has scored 12, 0, and 13 points on a combined 28.1% shooting. He has always been inefficient. But this year, he is on a Magic team with new pieces in Paolo Banchero and Bol Bol, as well as an improved Franz Wagner. I believe these pieces will allow Anthony to find easier shots and improve his sub-40% field goal percentage.

Sell of the Week: Anthony Edwards, SG/SF, Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards is on a massive hot streak right now. In his last six games, Edwards has scored at least 25 points and is shooting 47% from the field, and 89.4% from the line. Both shooting marks are more efficient than his season average, and both are being done on higher volume making their impacts on his 9cat value even greater.

It is difficult to imagine Ant continues at this level in either shooting category. However, these marks don't begin to compare to his usual steals numbers. Over the last three games, Edwards has averaged 5.66 steals a game. This combination of scoring and defense is largely unsustainable.

In addition, starting power forward Karl-Anthony Towns is currently out due to injury. Edwards has taken full advantage of his increased usage and opportunities, also boosting his assist numbers. It is also important to know that as we progress, opposing defenses will key in on Edwards. This will make it more difficult for him to continue his current level of efficiency. It would be wise to trade him now at the peak of his value for a haul.

Main Sell Targets

D'Angelo Russell, PG/SG, Minnesota Timberwolves

Russell, like Edwards, has seen a jump with Towns out, but in a somewhat different manner. Although his counting stats are fairly similar, Russell is shooting almost 3% better from the field over the past two weeks compared to his season average, while also taking more shots. Russell has not been known as efficient during his time in Minnesota. Last season he shot 41.1% from the field on 15 shots. Over his last two weeks, he is averaging 46.8% from the field on 15.7 shots. This is the best time for you to trade him, especially if you care about winning the field goal percentage category in your matchups.

Anfernee Simons, PG/SG, Portland Trailblazers

Simons has been terrific this season, taking full advantage of his opportunity with Damian Lillard out. Over the last two weeks, this has been especially apparent. He's averaged 5.2 triples (+1), 29.8 points (+5.1!), 5.5 assists (+1), and is shooting 50% from the field (+5.7%). During this stretch, Simons has scored 37 points three different times, showing his explosive ability when given the keys. However, with Lillard returning just recently, we saw Simons lose a large volume of shots.

Simons will obviously continue to provide great value, but I would expect that with Lillard back we'll be less likely to see his massive outbursts like we have grown accustomed to as of late.

Other Players to Sell

Kelly Olynyk, PF/C, Utah Jazz

Olynyk and the Jazz continue to be a surprise this season. Olynyk has put together a solid season, providing value just inside the top 60. Over his last two weeks, he has seen a slight boost in almost every category, especially his defense. In each individual category, we don't see any big jumps, but when combined together it is significant. His last two weeks see him providing top-40 value rather than his normal top-60. This is a good time to sell before he sees regression.

This concludes the 2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Week 8 Buy Low-Sell High. Make sure to check back in next Friday for the newest edition!

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