2022-23 Fantasy Hockey Week 3 Stock Watch

by Kyle Vaughan
2022-23 Fantasy Hockey Week 3 Stock Watch

Welcome to the 2022-23 Fantasy Hockey Week 3 Stock Watch.

Below I'll take a look at some players who are doing various things. And I'll tell you why I think those things have made said players more or less valuable.

Don’t forget to check out the other great Fantasy Hockey content at Fantasy Six Pack.

All statistics from DobberHockey unless otherwise stated. Thursday's games are not included as part of the analysis below.

2022-23 Fantasy Hockey Week 3 Stock Watch

Stock Up

J.J. Moser, D, Arizona Coyotes (3% rostered)

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I wonder if the J.J. in Moser's name stands for James Joyce because the second-round pick used to select him went on a Ulysses-esque journey.

It was originally owned by the Colorado Avalanche. Joe Sakic sent it, along with an additional second-round pick to the New York Islanders for Devon Toews (Joltin' Joe does it again...). A few months later, the Islanders sent the pick to Arizona along with a bunch of other picks and Andrew Ladd as a cap dump move. Arizona subsequently used the pick to select Moser in the 2021 draft.

I guess that's not that big of a journey. But I'll never get to drop a James Joyce reference into a hockey article ever again, so I'm keeping it.

Moser played 43 games last year and put up 15 points on an awful Coyotes team. That kind of production is fine, but no one was drafting him heading into this season. However, he's likely worth your attention now.

Many assumed that Shayne Gostisbehere would quarterback Arizona's top powerplay unit, and most would be right. But what many didn't see coming was Moser playing on the top unit in addition to Gostisbehere. The Coyotes are rolling out two defencemen on their man advantage, and Moser is the beneficiary.

In six games thus far Moser is averaging a gargantuan 4:45 per game on the man advantage. His overall deployment is strong as well, as he's been on the ice for at least 22:21 in every game. Moser has produced four points in six games, with six penalty minutes and 10 blocks to go with it.

It's unclear how things will shake out once Jakob Chychrun returns from injury, which he should do shortly. But it's also unclear how long Chychrun will be with the Coyotes given the reported trade interest from other teams and Arizona finally lowering the asking price.

This is a situation worth monitoring, and if you are in need of a streamer on defense, Moser is a great option. Janis Jerome Moser, that is. Not James Joyce. That guy sucks at hockey.

Chandler Stephenson, LW, Vegas Golden Knights (47% rostered)

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Chandler Stephenson feels like one of those guys who is continually overlooked because his name isn't flashy, or because he plays in the desert. Whatever it is, I'd take a look at him if he's still available on your waiver wire.

Last year he had a rotating cast of linemates. At the high water mark, he was playing with Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty. Due to injuries he also found himself next to lesser players and his production suffered. He was a popular streaming option at points throughout the year, and subsequently became a permanent fixture on many teams. Stephenson registered a respectable 64 points in 79 games in 2021-22.

This year, his linemates could not be better as he's playing with Las Vegas' best two players, Jack Eichel and Mark Stone. Max Pacioretty is gone and the most pressing competition for Stephenson on the top line is from Reilly Smith.  While Smith is producing, Stephenson has out-paced him when it comes to points, racking up seven (to Smith's five) in the first eight games of the season.

Stephenson is seeing top unit powerplay time, playing over two minutes a night on the man advantage. While he is rostered in nearly half of all leagues, he might be available to you. Take a look at him if you are in need of forward help.

Casey Mittelstadt, C, Buffalo Sabres (7% rostered)

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Casey Mittelstadt is currently centering the Sabres' second line and getting steady play on Buffalo's top powerplay unit. He's also averaging a career-high 17:05 minutes per game, which includes a healthy 3:15 on the powerplay.

A second-line player on the Sabres probably wasn't worth rostering over the last few years. But things are different so far this season. Buffalo has a good set of forwards in Tage Thompson, Alex Tuch, and Victor Olofsson, and some high-potential young guns as well in Jack Quinn and J.J. Peterka.

The Sabres rank fourth in goals-for-per-game and sixth in goal differential. They have scored four or more goals in four of their six games. This is a team that appears to have some offensive potential when things are going well.

Mittelstadt has five points in six games, and as long as he continues to see healthy deployment, both at even strength and on the man advantage, he is worth keeping an eye on.

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Stock Down

Sam Reinhart, RW, Florida Panthers (91% rostered)

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These articles are about the stock value of a certain player based on performance. Not necessarily about adding or dropping a player based on which section of the stock watch they find themselves in. So a player in the 'stock up' section isn't always necessarily an add, and a player in the 'stock down' section isn't always someone not worth rostering. Admittedly, these articles read more like waiver articles sometimes, but that is not my intent when it comes to Sam Reinhart.

Last year Reinhart put up 82 points in 78 games. He did so mostly away from Florida's two best players - Aleksander Barkov and Jonathan Huberdeau. While playing with the latter is no longer an option, he has found himself stapled to the former.

The results to date haven't been strong. At 5-on-5 the trio has scored twice and been scored on twice in seven games. A GF% of 50 is not what you are looking for in your top line. Their expected GF% is higher, at 53.64 percent and almost all other possession metrics for the line are north of 55 percent. Meaning they should be winning the goal battle more often than not.

Reinhart is shooting more this year (2.7 shots per game) compared to last year (2.4 shots per game). With his three-year shooting percentage of 17.4% that would equate to around three goals. That's lazy math and a little ham-fisted, but you get my point. His one assist in seven games isn't representative of his offensive potential.

But that one assist in seven games has his stock down. There may be an impatient manager in your league who is willing to part ways with Reinhart for a return that is slightly below his draft-day value. I'm kicking tires on him, and you should be, too.

Pavel Francouz, G, Colorado Avalanche (42% rostered)

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Over the off-season, I forgave what Pavel Francouz did to the Oilers in the Western Conference Final last year. If you missed it, he won all four games for the Avalanche after Darcy Kuemper left Game 1 with vision issues. When a backup comes into a playoff series, it's usually a good thing for the opposing team. But Francouz played pretty well, the Avalanche swept the over-matched Oilers and I pouted. Hard.

But being the incredible person I am, I decided to forgive Francouz (much to his relief). That forgiveness led me to draft Francouz late in a few leagues. Given presumptive starter Alexander Georgiev's pre-season struggles, I thought it was a reasonable dart throw to net a 1A goalie on a defending Stanley Cup champ team in the late rounds.

The early signs point to me being an idiot. Georgiev has clearly figured things out, winning four of his first five games. In his last two starts, he's posted a goals-saved-above-average of nearly four with save percentages of .943 and .957. That's some mighty fine tending.

Francouz, on the other hand, pooped his pants heartily in his first start of the season against Calgary. He played well in his second start but ended up losing to the lowly Kraken.

There is little reason for the Avalanche to give Francouz anything other than a relief appearance now and then. By all means, start him when he plays. But after the game send him floating softly back to the waiver wire. His upside at the moment isn't worth clogging up a roster spot on your squad.


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