2022-23 Fantasy Hockey Week 9 Stock Watch

by Kyle Vaughan
2022-23 Fantasy Hockey Week 9 Stock Watch

Welcome to the 2022-23 Fantasy Hockey Week 9 Stock Watch.

Below I'll take a look at some players who are doing various things. And I'll tell you why I think those things have made said players more or less valuable.

Don’t forget to check out the other great Fantasy Hockey content at Fantasy Six Pack.

All statistics from DobberHockey unless otherwise stated. Thursday's games are not included as part of the analysis below.

2022-23 Fantasy Hockey Week 9 Stock Watch

Stock Up

Jack Quinn, LW, Buffalo Sabres (20% rostered)

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Want to hear something crazy about these Buffalo Sabres? They currently rank first in the league in goals for, ahead of teams like New Jersey, Boston, and Las Vegas. I would not have guessed that.

In their last five games, the Sabres have scored 29 goals. That's not a typo. The 9-4 mauling they laid on the Blue Jackets on Wednesday night inflates that number a bit, but I'm not sure it matters. (Perhaps if you play in a plus-minus league. You shouldn't though because that is an archaic stat) More importantly, goals are goals and you should get in on that action any way you can.

Last week I wrote about Dylan Cozens, and this week I think you should take a look at his linemate, Jack Quinn. The 2020 eighth-overall pick has been a big part of the Sabres' success, racking up ten points in his last nine games. His season average for time on ice is low, at 13:33 a night, but he's surpassed that total in eight of his last nine games.

He won't be earning much time on the first unit powerplay, which is a bummer. But he is on the second unit, and Buffalo has used its second powerplay nearly 40 percent of the time over the last three games. In fact, Quinn's average powerplay time this season is a serviceable two minutes. Nothing wrong with that.

The Sabres' production won't stay this hot all season and neither will Quinn's production. However, I would not be surprised if he continues to produce at a usable level for the remainder of the year. Add him for a short stint, and see if that can turn into longer-term production.

Viktor Arvidsson, RW, Los Angeles Kings (24% rostered)

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Viktor Arvidsson is scoring at the second-highest rate of his career this year. He has racked up 12 points in his last 11 games. Ten of those points have come on the powerplay, which is the highest powerplay point total in Arvidsson's career. Can you believe that?

In his nine-year, 451-game (entering this year) career, he had never scored more than nine powerplay points in a season. Now he's racked up ten in 26 games while playing mostly on the second powerplay unit for the Kings. WIld.

Arvidsson being on the second unit would normally be a knock, but the Kings have deployed the second unit over 42 percent of the time in their last three games. So Arvidsson is averaging over 2:20 a game on the man advantage.

His production also appears to be sustainable. Arvidsson's shooting percentage and PDO are in line with career averages and only two of his 14 assists have been secondary. He is also shooting below his career average by over half a shot per game.

Los Angeles currently ranks third in the league in goals-for. Arvidsson is a great way to tap into that action.

Kevin Hayes, LW, Philadelphia Flyers (33% rostered)

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I'm a little confused with Kevin Hayes' low ownership in fantasy leagues. He's playing on the first line and first unit powerplay. He has a snowball's chance in hell of being replaced on either. He's produced 28 points in 27 games, including ten powerplay points. He shoots, hits, blocks shots, and takes penalties, getting fantasy owners great stat coverage.

His shooting percentages at all strengths and at five-on-five are mildly elevated, but not to a degree that screams significant negative regression is due. His PDO and secondary assist rates are in line with career averages.

I can see the rationale that he plays for an awful Philadelphia Flyers team and that he has never produced at his current level before. In fact, his 1.04 points per game this year is well above his previous career high of 0.77 points per game.

Yes, the Flyers are bad. They currently sit fourth last in goals for in the NHL. But even the worst teams in the league are going to score two hundred goals or more. Those points need to come from somewhere and someone. Bottom-dwelling teams in the NHL usually have a few players worth rostering.

Hayes has never produced at this level before. Yet he's also never seen this kind of deployment. His career average for time on ice is 16:28 per game, with 1:43 of that coming on the powerplay. This season he is seeing over 19 minutes a night at all strengths, and 3:28 on the powerplay.

Even if you don't buy into anything I'm saying, take a look at him as a short-term streaming option. The man is producing right now.

Stock Down

Jordan Binnington, G, St. Louis Blues (74% rostered)

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Is there a more unlikeable guy in the NHL than Jordan Binnington? From swinging sticks at players' heads, throwing fake punches at opposing goalies, and tossing water bottles at injured players, he's truly done everything in his power to transform from rookie sensation and feel-good story to NHL heel.

His latest highlight involved hitting Jason Zucker in the face as he rounded the back of the net, which led to Zucker falling and colliding with the boards.

There isn't a twerp per 60 stat in fantasy hockey, but if there was, Binnington might be a first-round pick. That might be the only way he finds himself in the higher rounds of fantasy drafts because as of late, his performance on ice has been forgettable.

Binnington doesn't have a win, a save percentage above .882 or a positive goals saved above average in his last six games. He's let in four or more goals in five of those games, including four goals in 21 minutes against the Penguins. He was pulled after the fourth goal was scored by Jason Zucker early in the second period, which seems fitting.

I have no advice on what to do with Binnington at the moment. It's hard to start him. His early-season success makes it hard to drop him and it's unlikely anyone would be willing to give you anything worthwhile in return for him. Try to ride out the rough stretch and then make a call. But don't wait too long though. After another bad start or two, I think I'd be leaning to drop him.

Jack Campbell, G, Edmonton Oilers (65% rostered)

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The rare goalie double feature in the stock-down section. As an Oilers fan, this one hurts.

Jack Campbell was brought into Edmonton on a five-year, $25 million deal with the expectation that he would be the guy in the Oilers' crease. Campbell started five of Edmonton's first six games and was inconsistent. He posted positive goals saved above average in three of his first five starts but was also pulled ten minutes into his first battle of Alberta after allowing four goals on 11 shots.

Campbell followed that first five-game stretch by allowing at least four goals in four of his next five starts.

As of late, he has one win in his last four games and has played in only three of the Oilers' last twelve games. Stuart Skinner has usurped the starting role in Edmonton, and rightly so. His .915 save percentage and 60 percent quality start percentage both tower over Campbell's. Skinner has stolen games for Edmonton this season and kept them in games that should have been over after the first period.

Campbell, on the other hand, has single-handedly lost winnable games for Edmonton.  His ownership has dropped as of late and understandably so. Skinner would have to falter and Campbell would have to string together a solid stretch to see anything more than a 50 percent goal share.

Stranger things have happened. It's hard to put full faith in Skinner, as he only has 29 games of NHL experience under his belt. We know what Campbell's ceiling is. But those peaks are always followed by valleys darker than the deepest sea (Nick Drake fans?). I wouldn't blame you for moving on from Campbell.


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