2022 College Football Week 8 Picks

by Aaron Ogdahl
2022 College Football Picks

It happens. As sports bettors, we have to learn to take it on the chin some days. Last Saturday was one of those days. We move on, we stick to the process that's proven profitable over thousands of bets in a sample size, and we continue to handicap like professionals. No tilting; no chasing; no doubling unit size; no paying a twitter tout for a "SUPER MEGA MAX LOCK."

We trust the process...

Follow me on Twitter @OgdahlAnalytics or through the action network (Ogdahl_Analytics) to see when I bet each game to maximize your closing line value. Additionally, visit my website for betting previews and model projections in a variety of sports, including FCS Football!

Week 7, from a viewing perspective, was something special I have to say. It was just an overall awesome Saturday to enjoy football. Tennessee tripped up Alabama and the goalposts went out drinking.

TCU escaped Oklahoma St. Syracuse remained undefeated with a solid win against ranked NC State, and Utah beat USC in a thrilling game, where 2 of the Utes teammates who passed away we're honored. It was just an incredible week, and week 8 offers more of the same with some marquee matchups

  • #14 Syracuse (6-0) at #5 Clemson (7-0)
  • #20 Texas (5-2) at #11 Oklahoma St (5-1)
  • #9 UCLA (6-0) at #10 Oregon (5-1)
  • #24 Mississippi State (5-2) at #6 Alabama (6-1)
  • #17 Kansas State (5-1) at #8 TCU (6-0)

As the markets and models catch up with this year's data, let's see if we can scour the slate to find which games offer the most betting value.

2022 College Football Week 8 Picks

Utah State Aggies @ Wyoming Cowboys

This is an interesting game in the fact that Utah State doesn't know who is going to play quarterback.

Their starter, Logan Bonner is out for the season.

Backup Cooper Legas went down last game with a concussion and it is unknown right now if he will play.

Backup Levi Williams also was injured and is listed as Day-to-Day

This leaves true freshman Bishop Davenport left to head to Laramie and take on Craig Bohl's Cowboys. I'm not going to spend a ton of time going into Davenport's repertoire, but what we need to know is that he does have the ability to scramble and evade pressure. However, he's a true freshman, hasn't taken many first team snaps, and looked out of sync with his receivers as he only completed 3-9 pass attempts.

Utah State is also suffering from a slew of injuries in general. They've lost a top contributing WR and their starting DE was hurt last week against Colorado State as well. This is a prime position to pick against the Aggies as they are in recovery mode and will need to go to Wyoming and beat a solid football team.

Andrew Peasley is the starter for the Cowboys and isn't a prolific passer as evidenced by his 54% completion percentage, but he does a good job of scrambling and moving the chains in that regard. Wyoming is 4-3 and has lost to Illinois, BYU, and San Jose St. All very solid teams.

They've also beaten some very solid opponents as well, including in this writer's opinion, the best team in the Mountain West. They beat Air Force 17-14 and they've also beaten a decent Tulsa team. The Cowboys are well coached and my model has them as 10 point favorites, my biggest model advantage for the slate of games.

We trust the process and stick to the system. Steam would also agree that we are on the right side.

The Play: Wyoming -3.5

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Check out our Week 7 Fantasy Football Rankings!

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