2022 Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 7-15-22

by Jason Beckner
2022 Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell

Welcome to the 2022 Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 7-15-22 article here at F6P!

Here we are on the last weekend before the All Star break. This year we are a week later than in years past due to the lockout at the beginning of the year and the season starting a week late. There were a lot of intriguing storylines in the first half.

One of the biggest is the New York Yankees who are almost 40 games above .500 and have a +177 run differential while making a dominant case as the best team in the league.

Ohtani is also showing us that he is the best two-way player since Babe Ruth. He continues to dominate on both the mound and at the plate.

The White Sox, who were a pre-season favorite to win the American League, are struggling mightily as they are two games under .500 and continue to deal with injuries throughout their roster.

There have been no shortage of headlines in the first half, but let me know down in the comments what has been your favorite.

Now, let's get into this week's Buy or Sell.

2022 Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 7-15-22

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Buy

Brendan Donovan, 3B/OF, St. Louis Cardinals

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Back on April 25th when the Cardinals announced they were calling up one of their top hitting prospects, many people, myself included, assumed it was going to be to their power-hitting third base prospect, Nolan Gorman. However, it was Brendan Donovan who got the call.

The left-handed infielder has been a staple in the Cardinals lineup, playing all over the diamond, but has settled into the outfield. As he has filled in for the injured Tyler O'Neil and Harrison Bader.

Donovan has not missed a beat since joining the big league club and fits right into the St. Louis mold.  He fits that gritty, no-thrill, play-hard attitude that Cardinal players have become to be known for.

He has exceptional bat-to-ball skills, displayed by his excellent strikeout rate.  Donovan is only striking out 18% of the time. That is also a tad inflated compared to his career 14% in the minor leagues. Furthermore, his whiff rate ranks in the 90th percentile of all qualified hitters.

Currently, in 246 plate appearances, Donovan is slashing .284/.390/.389 while the power numbers are not sexy. The ability to hit for average and get on base is what sets Donovan apart from others.

Donovan has bounced all over the batting order. However, most of his at-bats are from the two-hole. Right in front of NL MVP candidate Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado. Providing him with plenty of run-scoring potential. When he's not in the two-hole he has been somewhere in the middle of the lineup giving him plenty of RBI opportunities. Donovan has already amassed 54 R+RBI in only 66 games.

As a rookie that is still proving he belongs, I think you should be looking to grab Donovan now as he looks all the parts of another great Cardinal outfielder that can get on base at a great clip, and provide good counting stats as well. Buy while the price remains low.

Sell

Taylor Ward, OF, Los Angeles Angels

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Ward got off to a tremendous start to the 2022 season. So good in fact that he could have even gotten MVP votes after the first two months of the season. For the way, he was playing.

If we look at the 28-year-old's first two months of the season, Ward slashed .347/.459/.686 with ten HR, 29 R, 26 RBI, and even stole a base. His ten home runs were the sixth most in that same time frame among all qualified hitters.

Ward has always had an advanced approach at the plate. He doesn't strike out a ton displayed by his sub 20% strikeout rate in the minors. He pairs that with an advanced eye at the plate evidenced by his 14% walk rate in the minors.

The power is an outlier here as he has never been known as a power bat. In fact, before 2022 his career high in home runs was eight in 2021.

However, since June first he has been a different player. He is only slashing .226/.302/.313 which is only an OPS of 615. He has also only hit two home runs since June first. With one of those home runs coming just last week.

Since June first he only has a wOBA of .278, which ranks as the 30th worst among all qualified hitters in that time frame. Ward has also seen his strikeout rate increase to an above-average 27% since June 1st.

Despite the drop-off in the past month and a half, Ward's advanced stats still rank well above the league average. He ranks in the top 90th percentile in xwOBA, xSLG, Barrel rate, walk rate, and chase rate.

Therefore, Ward should still have dynasty value. However, it appears that the 2022 season is an outlier compared to the rest of his career at both the minor and major league levels. I would be looking to sell Ward now while he still has value.


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