Welcome to the 2022 Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 8-12-22 article!
Another year, another trade deadline has passed. This year there were a few similarities and a few oddities as well. First off there was no shortage of trades being made.
Most of the trades, similar to years past, have been primarily high leverage relief pitchers. There is no surprise every team is looking for more pitching. There is that adage that you can never have enough pitching.
One of the biggest surprises this trade deadline was the trade of ultra-super-star Juan Soto. After many attempts to extend the 23-year-old outfielder, the Washington Nationals decided to trade their home-grown player to the San Diego Padres. It seems the Padres are sick of playing the second fiddle to the Dodgers in the National League West.
Soto was the biggest name on the move this deadline. However, there were no shortages of all-stars on the move. As we saw a total of five all-stars be traded at the deadline. Not sure if that is the most all-stars traded at the deadline, but it made for an exciting deadline
Similar to the MLB, I am sure your dynasty league’s trade deadline is right around the corner, so be sure to get those deals done for the home stretch and your push for the championship.
Now let’s get into this week’s Buy or Sell.
As always, be sure to check out Dave's Dynasty Rankings.
2022 Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 8-12-22
Get direct access to our award-winning analysts via Discord, cheat sheets, and more by signing up for an F6P Membership.
Felix Bautista, RHP, Baltimore Orioles
I don’t normally advocate trading for a relief pitcher. However, Felix deserves to be talked about in this week’s Buy segment. I took notice of Felix earlier this season. It was apparent earlier this season that Felix deserved to be the team's closer. However, Brandon Hyde decided to go with the veteran in the ninth as opposed to the 27-year-old rookie.
Now with Lopez in Minnesota, the Orioles have given the ninth inning duties to Felix. Deservedly so, as Felix has been almost unhittable. Through his first 48 innings in his rookie season. He has a whopping 0.90 WHIP and a 1.69 ERA.
Felix intimidates hitters with his towering presence on the mound and his 99th percentile fastball velocity. His fastball sits high 90s and touches triple digits with ease. He sets hitters up with the fastball and then puts them away with his split-finger. The splitter boasts a 57% whiff rate and a 38% put-away rate. The 57% whiff rate is the highest amongst all qualified pitchers and is 4% better than the second best in Ohtani.
Furthermore, he is striking out 27% of the hitters he has faced, and both his strikeout rate and whiff rate rank in the top 10% of the league.
The expected stats are all also outstanding and help portray Felix’s dominance. His xBA, xOBP, xSLG, and xERA rank in the top 20% of the league.
Felix does everything you want out of your closer to do and does it very well. Comes in and shuts down the opposition and gets hitters out via strikeouts. I would like to see him improve his command and control as he still walks the occasional hitter. I would also like to see him improve and throw the slider a little more, which would give another great secondary option to use when the splitter falters.
Plus how can you not love this intro/bullpen walk?
THE FULL ENTRANCE I AM GONNA RUN THROUGH A WALL pic.twitter.com/CXzBJC7mTh
— Golden Glove Orioles (@GoldenGloveOs) August 10, 2022
Felix should continue to be the primary closer for Baltimore the rest of this season and I would also think he has given the front office enough confidence from his dominant rookie season to retain his ninth-inning duties for years to come.
I would be buying Felix in all dynasty leagues and even more so in saves+holds leagues.
Yoan Moncada, 3B, Chicago White Sox
It was just a few seasons ago when Moncada was a top-five prospect in baseball and was the centerpiece in the return for the White Sox in the deal that sent Chris Sale to Boston. Now in his seventh big league season, I think we have a big enough sample size to say that Moncada is not the power-speed juggernaut that many analysts pegged him for.
We did get a small glimpse of the power-speed combo in 2019, when he hit 25 HR and stole ten bags. He ended up hitting 42 HR and 22 SB in 2018 and 2019 combined.
However, since 2019 he has seen a steady decrease in the power numbers. He has not hit more than 15 HR in a season and is on track to hit less than 15 HR this season. Moncada also hit 119 extra-base hits between 2018 and 2019 including 11 triples. Since then, he only has 82 extra-base hits with only five triples.
He has also not stolen double-digit bags in a season since 2020 and has only swiped three bags in the past 262 games combined.
It's not just Moncada’s play at the plate that has me feeling blue, so does his Statcast page. Take a look at all that blue!
Now in 2022, he is statistically in the midst of one of his worst seasons. It is worth noting that he has missed 45 games this season due to injury. Even when in the lineup, he has been struggling. He is currently only hitting .194, and slashing .194/.258/.318. His .576 OPS ranks as the ninth worst among all hitters with at least 250 plate appearances.
I would be trying to sell Moncada now while he is not on the injured list and holds what little post-hype prospect value he has left.
Get direct access to our award-winning analysts via Discord, cheat sheets and more by signing up for a F6P Membership!