2022 Dynasty Baseball: Drafting in the #ToolshedDynastyMock

by Andrew Spurling
Dynasty Directives

I was recently fortunate enough to be drafting in the #ToolshedDynastyMock put on by @RotoClegg and @FantraxToolshed.

Fantasy Baseball mock draft season is in full swing. Thank you for joining me again this week to take a closer look at how your 15 team rotisserie Dynasty startup might go.

This was a collection of 10 separate leagues each consisting of 15 teams.

All of the league's results were then aggregated to form an ADP or average draft position for each player.

You can find the results here.

2022 Dynasty Baseball: Drafting in the #ToolshedDynastyMock

Get prepared for the upcoming Fantasy Baseball season by doing free mocks and get live draft advice with the FantasyPros Draft Wizard.

Preparing for the draft

The first thing that I needed to do before drafting is read the settings for the league. This particular format consists of 15 teams with each having 30 selections. This means I have only eight bench spots with every other position being a starter on the team.

This league also uses Batting Average. What that means is that in some instances I draft hitters with subpar walk rates much sooner than I would in a points-based or OBP format.

The league premise is a weekly lineup lock. This means that players cannot be substituted except for once a week. Inherently this makes hitters that receive a lot of plate appearances even more valuable than they are already.

As you might have guessed Starting pitchers that have shown themselves to be able to throw a lot of quality innings are also extremely valuable.

Next, I made sure to pull up the Dynasty Rankings from Dave Eddy, @CorporalEddy.

I then quickly made a few decisions with my approach. The fact that there are only 8 bench spots meant that I needed to focus on drafting a very competitive team, as bench spots are limited and therefore valuable. So I decided to wait to draft at most a few prospects towards the end of the draft. With the purpose of either stashing or trading them later.

It was easy to identify that drafting too many prospects early would unnecessarily put my team in the position of playing from behind. As you will see there were still plenty of chances to build a young and dynamic team without reaching for any prospects.

The Early Rounds

I happen to land the third selection overall which makes the first round relatively simple. I decide that I am going to take whoever is left from Juan Soto, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Ronald Acuna Jr. My personal preference is Juan Soto because I think he is the safest pick in any Dynasty format.

In four professional MLB seasons spanning his age 19 -  22 seasons across 2003 plate appearances, Juan has more walks than strikeouts tallying 373 base on balls to 352 punchouts. There is no doubt in my mind that Juan Soto is the best hitter currently in the MLB. That being the case I was definitely happy to take him with the third overall selection.

toolshed dynasty mock draft

When it comes back to me at the end of the second round I am just looking to add the best available player with prejudice towards adding a hitter if at all possible. Thankfully there was a hitter matching the criteria I had set.

Eloy Jimenez, OF/DH, Chicago White Sox, (25 yrs, 2 mo)

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Eloy checks a lot of boxes for me in this format. He is incredibly talented and recently just turned 25. Eloy possesses a big and powerful frame. I can easily see a scenario barring injury where he hits 35 or more HRs every year for the next decade with a .270 - .275 batting average.

His walk rate is a just little low for a top 30 overall selection with a career mark of 6.0%. This arguably pushes him maybe closer to pick 40 in an OBP format but it's nothing to be concerned about. For our purposes, it could mean a handful of fewer runs scored than others in this range. However, positive lineup factors will also help buoy some production.

In the end, I find it to be an insignificant factor and would select him again with confidence.

Sandy Alcantara, SP, Miami Marlins, (26 yrs, 4 mo)

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With my third selection, I happily secure one of my favorite up-and-coming targets at starting pitcher. There are so many things to like here with Alcantara. Having shown himself to be incredibly consistent and durable up to this point regularly going at least six innings in most of his starts.

Alcantara possesses an admirable career ERA of 3.49 coming off of a season with a mark of 3.19. Sandy throws incredibly hard with an average fastball velocity of 95.7 MPH, regularly touching 98 MPH. He is also adept at keeping the ball in the park and limiting home runs with his career ground ball rate of 49%.

It's not all sunshine and roses with detractors pointing to his career strikeout rate of 21.2%. This last season we did see that number tick up to 24% including a 27.4% K-rate in the second half.

This is a young ace establishing himself while he may never be Gerrit Cole or Jacob DeGrom, he is a cornerstone that you want on your roster.

Jazz Chisholm Jr., 2B/SS, Miami Marlins, (23 yrs, 11 mo)

Javier Baez, 2B/SS, Detroit TIgers, (29 yrs, 1 mo)

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With my next two selections, you will see a theme and also understand where the format you're playing in is of huge importance. Both of these players provide a lot of power and speed. While they both also don't walk very much and strike out frequently.

The good news is strikeouts are not a category and while limited walks mean a low on-base percentage, they actually aren't that much of a liability in batting average.

While these players are flawed they are still great building blocks with respect to roster construction.

Make sure you add at least a couple of players that project to steal close to 20 bases if stolen bases is a category.

I then proceed to lock in one of my favorite targets, previously mentioned, Andrew Vaughn.

Luis Garcia, SP, Houston Astros, (25 yrs, 1 mo)

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At this point in the draft I added my second starting pitcher, another player I am pretty high on in Luis Garcia. Possessing some similar traits to Alcantara, this is a young starting pitcher just now establishing himself.

In 2021, pitching in his first full season, Luis was quite impressive posting numbers of a 3.48 ERA and a very respectable WHIP of 1.18.

Garcia also struck out 167 batters in 155 1/3 innings pitched, resulting in a 9.7 K/9.

The Middle Rounds

This is where your team will really take shape, make sure you continue to focus on your Major League roster. It will start to become very tempting in this range to load up on the many talented prospects available. I would advise resisting temptation.

In this format, with saves as a category, I'm trying to be a fairly competitive team soon so I opted to go against what I might normally do and take one of the few young and established closers in the Mets Edwin Diaz.

I use this area of the draft to establish a young MLB roster.

Adolis Garcia definitely carries a risky profile. I just made sure I balanced that out with players I am much more confident in. As well as young starting pitchers like Luis Patino and Triston McKenzie. The thought here is that this approach is a some of the parts and that even if a couple of these players regress or fail I should still be in a really good spot overall.

Adding a high pedigree pitcher like Emerson Hancock near pick 300 in a shallower format is a gamble worth taking as long as you are not overloading your team with similar picks.

Gavin Lux, SS/OF, Los Angeles Dodgers, (24 yrs, 2 mo)

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No matter what system you use or how good you are at evaluating and drafting you're inevitably going to make mistakes. In my opinion, this is exactly the type of risk you want to take. I was very happy to land Gavin Lux at pick 183 overall.

This is someone that should be on your radar probably any time after pick 125 but definitely near pick 150.

Some of Gavin's early struggles can be attributed to a lack of clear playing time. Lux should be afforded the opportunity to grow in 2022 but even if he never reaches his ceiling this is a draft price that I can live with.

The Late Rounds

This is where I need to round my roster into shape and fill in the remaining holes on my team. As you can see I added a couple of high upside prospects in Brady House and Jose Barrero, but largely I'm making sure my team still has a solid foundation with players like Yuli Gurriel, Alex Cobb, and Patrick Corbin.

This is also where you will likely want to speculate on a couple of relievers that you may like. One such reliever for me is Joe Barlow. He has mostly been phenomenal so far in his career. The hype just isn't there because the Texas Rangers haven't been that competitive.

I like to target players like that where some future value may be flying under the radar.

Leave The Draft With A Functional Team

In the end, this is a roster that I am very pleased to start with. It's a team with a few high upside prospects and several solid-performing veterans. However, it's mostly comprised of young MLB players with plenty of runway left.

The most important thing is that after the draft you can make adjustments as this format is still shallow enough to take risks on players that you can later move on from. There are only eight bench spots here so don't be afraid to move un from a struggling veteran or move a prospect for a helpful MLB player.

Thank you for joining me to take a look at how you might construct a 15 team Dynasty startup roster.


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