2022 Fantasy Baseball Bold Predictions: Pitchers

by Ryan Kirksey
2022 Fantasy Baseball Bold Predictions

Welcome to the pitchers' section of the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Bold Predictions by the Fantasy Six Pack staff.

For bold predictions for hitters, check out the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Bold Predictions: Hitters article.

As we did last week, each of the bold predictions from the Fantasy Six Pack staff will get a bold rating. A full six-pack means it is extra-hoppy-level bold. One beer means it’s more like that old lite beer that’s been in the back of the fridge for nine months; a little flat.

2022 Fantasy Baseball Bold Predictions: Pitchers

Get prepared for the upcoming Fantasy Baseball season by using the FantasyPros Draft Wizard.

Drew Spurling (@DrewSpurling1) – Drew Rasmussen gives us 150 IP, 10 Wins, 160 Ks, 3.50 ERA, and 1.20 WHIP

Bold Rating: Six out of Six Beers

These numbers are, of course, based on a 162 game, so we will have to wait and determine how many games we actually get for 2022. But the reason this is so bold is because the innings, wins, and strikeouts would all be more than double what he has achieved at any professional level since he started Class-A ball in 2019.

Rasmussen may not have an overpowering arm, but among pitchers with at least 70 innings last season, he ranked 12th with just a 0.59 HR/9 rate and his walk rate of 2.96 per nine innings is excellent. He only made 10 starts last year compared to 25 relief appearances, but he looks to be locked into the Rays rotation as things stand right now. Will he get enough starts and will the Rays (who ranked 28th in starter innings last year) give him enough leash to get 10 wins and 160 strikeouts? (Kirksey)

Dave Eddy (@CorporalEddy) – Dylan Cease wins AL Cy Young

Bold Rating: Five out of Six Beers

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Carlos Rodon had a massive breakout last year for the White Sox but couldn’t stay healthy. This year Cease has a Rodon-like uptick but he stays healthy all year. (Eddy)

Cease made big strides in his walk rate last season, which has always been his arch-nemesis. He improved it from 5.25 BB/9 in 2020 to 3.69 in 2021 and bumped up his strikeouts to 12.28 K/9. This is a popular pitcher pick this year, but more improvement in his skills could put him near the top of the Cy Young list. (Kirksey)

Michael Schneider (@mikecschneider) – Triston McKenzie finishes in the top ten in AL Cy Young voting

Bold Rating: Six out of Six Beers

He had a seven-start stretch towards the end of 2021 where he was great. McKenzie has four quality pitches. He will find consistency in 2022. (Schneider)

If you look at McKinzie's advanced stats for the second half of 2021 compared to the first half, it is quite staggering. He lowered his walk rate from 7.3 BB/9 to 2.3 BB/9. His WHIP plummeted from 1.40 to 1.03. His Left On Base% dropped by two percent and his FIP fell by half a run. If he keeps up those gains, this 24-year-old fireballer could certainly dip his toes in the Cy Young pool. (Kirksey)

JP Daeman (@dapscout) – Carlos Rodon and Luis Severino will spend a combined zero days on the injured list

Bold Rating: Six out of Six Beers

Talk about REALLY bold! Rodon and Severino have combined for 633 total days on the IL the past three seasons, with Rodon taking 223 of those innings and Severino at 410. Severino is coming off more than a year missed with Tommy John surgery, while Rodon's IL path has fortunately been shrinking. In 2019, it was 152 days, 52 days in 2020, and 19 days in 2021. Is this a sign that his shoulder woes are behind him? I suppose we will find out when free agency opens back up and teams are able to examine Rodon more closely.

If Rodon gets a clean bill of health, it might be Severino who brings more concern. He has pitched in seven total games the last three seasons, but most projections systems peg him for around 24 starts and 125-150 innings for 2022.

If you're willing to take a chance on both, they can be procured for phenomenal prices at the draft table. Rodon is currently being drafted as SP46 in NFC drafts while Severino checks in at SP64.  (Kirksey)

Jonathan Chan (@JChan_811) – Emmanuel Clase finishes the season as the top closer

Bold Rating: Four out of Six Beers

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Clase was one of the best relievers in baseball last season and heads into 2022 with a firm grip on the closer role in Cleveland. He split the ninth inning with James Karinchak in the first half of 2021 but won't have that problem this year, after the latter posted a 7.88 second-half ERA. Clase only improved as 2021 went on, recording a 0.82 ERA over his final 33.0 innings in 2021.

Currently ranked 108th overall (RP6) by FantasyPros, Clase is a great target in the second tier of closers who should make the jump to elite status this season. (Chan)

Mark Strausberg (@MarkStrausberg) – Marco Gonzales wins more than a dozen games and strikes out more than 150 batters

Bold Rating: Three out of Six Beers

Like Rasmussen, this is based on 162 games, but the premise is clear. The wins are something Gonzales has done twice before, winning 13 in 2018 and 16 in 2019. But in order for any pitcher to get more than 12 wins in today's MLB, you need durability, a strong offense behind you, and a manager who lets you eat innings. Gonzales should have all those things in 2022.

Gonzales' career-high in strikeouts is 147, so he has knocked on the door of 150 a couple of times. In order for him to reach 150, one of two things will need to happen. He will need to reach about 160-170 innings or vastly improve his 6.78 K/9 from 2021. Gonzales has evolved from a groundball pitcher to a flyball pitcher the last four years and it seems he likes to pitch to contact. (Kirksey)

Jason Beckner (@JRBecks) – Max Fried wins 20 games and the NL Cy Young

Bold Rating: Five out of Six Beers

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He was three wins shy in 2017 and six wins shy in an injured 2021 season. He has the skills and the team behind him to get to 20+ wins and has the ratios to win the Cy Young. (Beckner)

Dennis Sosic (@CALL_ME_SOS) - Logan Webb wins the NL Cy Young

Bold Rating: Six out of Six Beers

Logan Webb had an outstanding 2021 season, producing an 11-3 record with a 3.03 ERA. He was even more dominant in the postseason, when he gave up just one earned run and produced 17 strikeouts in 14.2 innings. Webb proves that he is not a one-hit-wonder by continuing his postseason dominance’ on his way to winning the NL Cy Young. (Sosic)


Check out the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit from Fantasy Six Pack.

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