2022 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings

by Mike Schneider

Welcome to the September 15th edition of the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings.

During the season the prospect rankings are updated on the 15th and 30th of each month.

This google sheets link shows all the 2022 updates for a historical perspective.

2022 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings

The minor league regular season has ended except at the upper levels.  The AA regular season ends this week and AAA regular season concludes on Sepember 28th.

This is the penultimate edition of the prospect rankings. On Sepember 30th the rankings will be updated again with a year in review article. There will be a mini update after the Arizona Fall season is finished.

Looking Back at My Pre Season Bold Predictions

Back in March I made ten bold prospect predictions. Some turned out good and others not so much.

The Good

  • Corbin Carroll Will End the Year as the Top Prospect in Baseball
  • Kyle Harrison Becomes the Top Pitching Prospect in Baseball by the End of the Year
  • Erick Peña, Curtis Mead and Jordan Balazovic will Fall in Rankings in 2022

Despite only seven games of full season base coming into the year, Caroll was terrific in 2022 and is the best prospect in baseball although he may have played his last game in the minors.

Harrison just turned 21 and spent most of the year in AA where he was very good. He is my number two ranked pitching prospect behind only Grayson Rodriguez who is only still a prospect due to an injury.

Both Erick Peña (.149 BA and 37.1 strikeout rate) and Jordan Balazovic ( 2.04 WHIP) had rough years in 2022. Mead had a solid year but has only played four games since July 23rd. I question Mead's upside from a fantasy perspective. 

Mixed Results

  • One of Forrest Whitley or MacKenzie Gore Will Have an ADP in the Top 125 in 2023
  • Jose Siri, Heliot Ramos and Elehuris Montero end 2022 with regular MLB jobs and successful rookie seasons
  • Jasson Domínguez Has a Huge Year and Finishes the Year as a Top Five Prospect
  • Zac Veen Struggles for Much of 2022 in High A but Finishes Strong

Gore looked great in spring training and was surprisingly in the Padres rotation for most of the first half.  After an encouraging beginning, he had a few rough starts before the All-Star break and has been on the injured list since then. Gore got traded to the Nationals and should be in their rotation in 2023.

Whitley returned from Tommy John surgery in the middle of the season. He had a few strong outings but has struggled with his control. He will be 26 in 2023 and it will be a big year for him.

Siri has been playing semi regularly since being traded to Tampa at the trade deadline. He is unlikely to hit for a high average but is strong defensively with plenty of speed and some pop.

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Heliot Ramos has been among the most disappointing prospect in baseball for a second straight year. There were reports about how great he looked at the Giants' Alternate Training site in 2020 but he has been unable to produce in the hitter friendly Pacific Coast League.

The Rockies are going to Rockie. Elehuris Montero has looked impressive at times and could put up nice numbers especially at Coor Field but has not been given a chance to play regularly despite Kris Bryant's injury. Despite not playing great at High A, the Rockies promoted Zac Veen to AA Hartford on August 9th and he clearly is not ready for AA pitching.

Jasson Domínguez is not quite a top five prospect but he had a nice year at High A for a 19 year old and is a few games of experience at AA this week.  

The Bad

  • Jordyn Adams Is the 2022 Version of MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto
  • Johan Rojas Will Be a Top 25 Prospect By the End of the Season
  • J.T. Ginn Will Be a Consensus top 50 Prospect by the End of the Year
  • Ricky Vanasco and Alec Marsh Will Stay Healthy and Shoot Up Rankings

Adams is an elite athlete who looked like he had a lot of baseball skills in 2019 at Full season A. In 2021 at High A he was out injured for much of the early season and never got on track. In 2022 although he caught down on his strikeouts Adams had a second straight disappointing year.

The Phillies have been very aggressive with Rojas who has elite speed. However, he is going to have to show more skills to be a top 25 prospect.

Ginn has been limited to 42.1 innings in 2022 and is still trying to get back to the level where he was at Mississippi State prior to undergoing Tommy John surgery.

The less said about the 2022 season for Vanasco and Marsh the better. I was very wrong about both.

Prospects That Caught My Eye

Big Time  Power Potential

Deyvison De Los Santos is a 19 year man child that is already in AA who does not appear to get the attention that he deserves.

The Diamondbacks have been very aggressive with De Los Santos.  He reached full season ball last August and had a .761 OPS in 37 games.  In 2022 De Los Santos was terrific in 78 games at Visalia in the California League hitting 12 homers with a .392 wOBA, earning promotion to High A Hillsboro on July 22nd.

De Los Santos played just 38 games at High A where he hit nine homers but his strikeout rate increased from 24.1% at Visiilia to 32.5% at Hillsboro.  The Dbacks promoted De Los Santos to AA Amarillo on September 6th for the last couple of weeks of the season.  This is likely just to get a feel for AA pitching and have an extra week of games.

De Los Santos is good enough defensively to stick at third base. He has the potential to be a middle of the order bat.

Another Jays Infield Prospect That Could be an Impact Bat

The Blue Jays selected Addison Barger in the sixth round of the 2018 draft out of high school in Florida but he only played in 62 short season games prior to last year.
In 2021 Barger spent most of the year with Dunedin in full season A.  He hit 18 homers but struck out 32.8% of the time.
This year Barger began the year at High A Vancouver and had a 150 wRC+ in 79 games with an improved 26% strikeout rate. Barger was promoted to AA New Hampshire on  July 11th and has continued to produce virtually the same results at the higher level.  In 41 AA games,  Barger has a 145 wRC+ and a 26.3% strikeout rate.  On the season Barger has 22 homers.
Barger has played all the infield positions but mostly shortstop and third base. He likely projects as a third baseman.  Barger turns 23 in November.

Looking At Sosa Again

I discussed Lenyn Sosa back in my May 15th article.

After graduating several big named prospects in recent years, the White Sox farm system do not have many prospects left. While Lenyn Sosa has always been young for his age, there was not much to get excited about with no speed and little patience.

However, in 2022, the 22 year old is in AA and the walk rate has improved(12 in 30 games versus 16 in 115 games in 2021) and the power is starting to come (205 ISO).

The White Sox do not have a long term second basemen and if Sosa keeps it up, he could get a shot as soon as 2023.

Sosa was so good in 62 games to begin 2022 for AA Birmingham (140 wRC+) that he was called up to the majors by the White Sox on June 23rd. He only played four games with the White Sox before being sent down to AAA. In his first exposure to AAA, Sosa did not stand out in his first 23 games but was called back to the majors by the White Sox on August 5th due to injuries.  Sosa struggled in a brief opportunity with the White Sox and was sent back down to AAA Charlotte on August 19th.

In the 21 games in AAA since Sosa was sent down, Sosa has started to play better (106 wRC+).  While Sosa was not ready for the majors in 2022, I still think he has the potential to figure in the White Sox second base plans in 2023.

Giants Cuban Hitting Prospect

Jairo Pomares has always hit but he started 2022 very slowly. The Giant signed the Cuban born Pomares to a $975,000 signing bonus as part of a huge international class with Marco Luciano and Luis Matos. in 2018.

In 2019 Pomares dominated the Arizona League with a 152 wRC+ before struggling in the least couple of weeks of the season after getting promoted to the Northwest League. After the 2020 minor league season was canceled, Pomares hurt his back and did not start the 2021 season until June 2021.  However, he was too much for the California League where in 51 games, Pomares hit .372/.429./692 with 14 homers.  He was promoted to High A Eugene for the last month and held his own with six homers and a .774 in 26 games.

Pomares is a bat first corner outfielder so he is going to have to continue to put up big time hitting statistics and continue to develop power in order to become a major league regular.

Pomares who turned 22 last month has spent all of 2022 for High A Eugene.  He got off to an awful start in April and May hitting just .198 with a 32.8 strikeout rate.  He was not great in June and July. Pomares was better in June and July with a 128wRC+ but the strikeout rate was still 35.6%.  Pomares dominated in August hitting .350/.419/ .575 with four homers and a strikeout rate of 24.5% in 22 games.  Pomares did not play after August 28th but there is no word of an injury.

Yankees Acquisition

Sometimes a benefits from a change of scenery.  Clayton Beeter was drafted by the Dodgers in 2020 with the 66th overall selection out of Texas Tech.  He had a decent year in 2201 making 22 starts and one relief appearance for High A Great Lakes and finishing the year with five starts for AA Tulsa. On the year, Beeter struck out 36.7% of batters but the walks were a bit high at 10.3%.

In 2022 for AA Tulsa, Beeter was striking out 36.1% of batters but the walks were up to 14.3% leading to a 1.61 WHIP.  When the Dodgers acquired Joey Gallo at the trade deadline, Beeter was dealt to the Yankees.

With AA Somerset, Beeter has made six starts and struck out 40% of batters while walking 10.6% of hitters.  He had back to back dominant outings with AA Somerset where combined he struck out 18 batters in nine innings while allowing just five hits and two walks.

Beeter's future may be as a multi-inning reliever but he has the potential to be very good in that role.

Teenage Pitching Prospect

The Diamondbacks signed lefthander  Yu-Min Lin, from Taiwan in February for a $525,000 signing bonus.  Lin is an advanced pitcher for his age with a nice four pitch mix. In seven short starts in Arizona League, Lin pitched 23 innings allowing just nine hits and six walks while striking out 41.
Lin was promoted to full season A, at Visalia on July 26th.  In seven longer starts in the California League Lin pitched 33.1 innings with 50 strikeouts.  His best start was his last game where Lin went six innings allowing two hits and three walks while striking out ten.
Lin who does not turn 20 until next July is listed at 5'11" 160 but is having as much success as any teenage lefthanded pitching prospect.

2023 Deep Pitching Sleeper

Joey Wentz was part of a strong group of pitching prospects that the Braves had five years ago. The group that included Kyle Wright, Mike Soroka, Ian Anderson, Touki Touissant, Luiz Gohara, Bryse Wilson, Kyle Muller and Kolby Allard have had decidedly mixed results to date.

The lefthanded Wentz was the 40th overall selection in the 2016 draft out of high school in Kansas.  He had excellent years in 2017 in the Sally League for Rome and in 2018 at High A.

In 2019 at AA Mississippi as a 21 year old, Wentz struggled some and was traded to the Tigers for Shane Greene at the trade deadline. Wentz ended the year on a high note with five starts at AA Erie after the trade where he has a 33.7% strikeout minus walk rate and a 0.94 WHIP.

Unfortunately, Wentz hurt his arm in spring training 2020 before the pandemic shutdown and had Tommy John surgery. Wentz returned in 2021 but was not at his best with 41 walks in 72 innings.

In 2022 Wentz made his major league debut in May but then missed a couple of months with a shoulder injury.  Since returning on July 29th, Wentz has looked stronger than he has since the surgery and on Sepember 9th he got his first major league win with 6.2 shutout innings against the Royals where he allowed only two hits and a walk while striking out five.

Sometimes it takes a year after returning to fully comeback from Tommy John, Wentz is a potential 2023 deep value.

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2023 Deep Hitting Sleeper

Chaim Bloom acquired Enmanuel Valdez for the Red Sox in the Christian Vasquez deal with the Astros and he fits the mold of a Rays position player.  Valdez received a $450,000 signing bonus but it was not until 2021 that he really became productive.

Valdez hit 26 homers mostly for High A Asheville in 2021 and this year between AA in the Astros organization and AAA with both the Astros and Red Sox organizations he is hitting .303/.387/.573 with 28 homers and a 21.2% strikeout rate.

Valdez is not great defensively but can play second base and all the corner positions.  He is a lefthanded hitter who seems like the type who could exceed projections beginning in 2023 in terms of playing time and production.

Another Guardians Pitching Prospect to Keep An Eye On

The Guardians know how to develop pitching and it is wise to keep an eye on any starter in their organization. Rodney Boone was an eight round pick in the 2021 draft out of UC Santa Barbara.  The lefthander did not make his pro debut until 2022 and has been at High A Lake County all year.

Boone was up and down most of the year.  In 21 starts through August 26th, Boone had a 1.20 WHIP and a 21% strikeout minus walk rate.  A solid year but not spectacular.  However, Boone closed the year on a high note allowing just four hits and a walk in his last two starts over 12 innings with 20 strikeouts.

Boone who will be 23 at the beginning of 2023 should begin the year at AA Akron in what will be a big year in his development.

Improved Astros Athlete

Zach Daniels is a typical Astros outfield middle round outfield prospect with plenty of athleticism and contact questions.  The Astros drafted Daniels in the fourth round of the 2020 draft out of University of Tennessee.

In his first pro season in 2021, Daniels was not impressive.  Split between full season A and High A, Daniels hit nine homers with a 31.3 % strikeout rate and a .700 OPS.
Daniels has spent all of 2022 at High A Asheville. After the first 24 games, Daniels was hitting .132 with a 35 wRC+ and a 35.9% strikeout rate.  Over the next 71 games, Daniels has a 175 wRC+ with a .424 OBP with 19 homers. and 17 steals. Over the last two months, Daniels has a much improved strikeout rate of 25.9%.
Daniels is a prospect worth keeping an eye on as he reaches the upper minors in 2023.

Hot Mariners outfield Prospect

Cade Marlowe is already 25 but due to the cancellation of the minor league season in 2020 he is only in his second full season.  He was a 20th round draft pick by the Mariners in 2019 out of West Georgia.
In 2021 Marlowe made a name for himself with 26 homers and 24 steals in 105 games between full season A and High A.
Marlowe has spent all of 2022 at AA  Arkansas, which is a difficult place to hit.  Through September 2nd Marlowe was not standing out with a 105 wRC+ and 13 homers although he did have 33 steals.  However, Marlowe is finishing the year on a high note.  He has seven homers in eight games with a .529 batting average.
Marlowe is the type that could make a useful reserve outfielder because he is well rounded player that can do a little of everything.

Prospect Ranking Changes

There are six new prospects added to the rankings this time.  Headed up by the previously discussed Diamondbacks teenage pitcher from  Taiwan.

RankingProspectOrganizationPositionLevel
383Yu-Min LinARILHPA
394Yanquiel FernandezCOLRFA
431Joseph OrtizBALSSAAA
459Zach DanielsHOUOFHigh A
472Rodney BooneCLELHPHigh A
501Estibenzon JimenezPHIRHPA

There are six prospects that moved up the rankings by more than 85 places this time with a big 18 year old pitcher who the Nationals recently acquired leading the way.

RankngProspectChangeOrganizatonPositionLevel
319Jarlin Susana173WSHRHPA
303Robert Gasser155MILLHPAAA
317Addison Barger147TORSSAA
178Tink Hence104STLRHPA
245Connor Norby94BAL2BAA
197Brandon Pfaadt87ARIRHPAAA
330Edgar Quero45LAACA
241Cole Young33SEASSA
354Clayton Beeter31NYYRHPAA
107Dax Fulton24MIALHPAA
76Zach Neto24LAASSAA
67Ricky Tiedemann22TORLHPAA
108Deyvison De Los Santos18ARI3BAA
109Harry Ford18SEACA

The prospects moving down the rankings include a number of prospects that have already moved down quite a bit since the beginning of the year.

RankngProspectChangeOrganizatonPositionLevel
423Anthony Garcia-75NYY1BA
400Jonathan Bowlan-62KCRHPAA
320Bryan Lavastida-59CLECAA
117Jose Tena-49CLESS/2BAA
346Davis Wendzel-48TEX3B/SSAAA
202Cole Winn-47TEXRHPAAA
135Jordan Groshans-44MIASS/3BAA
204Tommy Romero-44WSHRHPAAA
129Sixto Sanchez-34MIAILMLB
293Yiddi Cappe-33MIASS/3BA
247Heston Kjerstad-29BALRFHigh A
405Cesar Prieto-28BALINFAA
149Ethan Small-27MILLHPAAA
191Hunter Bishop-26SFCFHigh A
144Heliot Ramos-25SFCFAAA
168Austin Hendrick-24CINRFHigh A
98DJ Herz-23CHCLHPAA
139Rece Hinds-19CINRF/3BHigh A
94Luis Matos-15SFCFHigh A

2022 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings

*Note vs. ECR column is not how much the players rank has changed, it is the difference between my ranks and Fantasy Pros Expert Consensus Rankings

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16 comments

Jay K December 5, 2021 - 4:41 pm

Nice list. I have to choose between Marco Luciano and corbin Carroll. On base%, Slugging % and at bats are the three big offensive stats our league counts. I really want to hang on to Luciano, but those strike outs lead me to believe it will take him a lot longer to be a useful mlb/fantasy player. While Carroll seems like someone that could move quickly up the ladder and be productive.

What would you do? How worried she I be about Carroll’s recovery?

Thanks!

JK

Reply
Mike Schneider December 10, 2021 - 6:13 am

Thank you.

I am not worried about Carroll’s shoulder in 2022. He was great but it was only seven games.

I have Luciano ranked slightly higher so I would go with him However, it is close. Anyway to trade one of the them?

Reply
Comish4lif January 4, 2022 - 4:56 pm

How current is this? Your list has Shea Langeliers’ team listed as NCAA. He was drafted by the Braves in 2019, and played in the Minors for them in ’19 and ’21.

Reply
Keith Lott January 4, 2022 - 5:34 pm

Looks like the issue has been resolved – thanks for the reply!

Reply
Player, Pos, Tm – MiLB Analysis January 16, 2022 - 11:53 am

[…] ​Fantasy Six Pack: #189 on their dynasty Top 1,000+ […]

Reply
Y.T.Mukbang February 19, 2022 - 4:28 am

Did George Kirby kick your dog ?

Reply
Mike Schneider March 1, 2022 - 6:22 am

I was actually disappointed in Kirby last year. I was expecting a close to finished product and thought he was inconsistent. He throws hard and has good control but Kirby is already 24 and has only thrown 90 pro innings and 26 in the upper minors. There are quite a few other pitching prospects I like better than Kirby.

Reply
ty w May 20, 2022 - 3:36 pm

Dropping Michael Busch 100 spots after he destroyed AA and has started off well in AAA has to be a joke…

Reply
Keith Lott May 20, 2022 - 3:40 pm

we noted that column above the table

*Note vs. ECR column is not how much the players rank has changed, it is the difference between my ranks and Fantasy Pros Expert Consensus Rankings

Reply
César Prieto, 2B, BAL – MiLB Analysis June 5, 2022 - 11:34 am

[…] ​Fantasy Six Pack: #366 on their Fantasy Baseball Prospect Top 413 […]

Reply
Max June 16, 2022 - 1:11 pm

How is Esteury Ruiz not in your top 100?

Reply
Mike Schneider June 17, 2022 - 8:39 am

He is going to get another big bump up next time. I may be a bit low on Esteury Ruiz due to his speed potential. He has moved up from 288 preseason to 141. There was a big question about his hit tool coming into the year. I noted on 4-30 that Ruiz’s strikeout to walk was much better this year.

Reply
Timothy July 16, 2022 - 12:05 pm

These two are deep picks but STL OF Joshua Baez and a future STL Cardinals closer P Think Hence🔥

Reply
Mike Schneider July 16, 2022 - 3:42 pm

Hence has been very impressive the last month for so. He is 355 on the prospect rankings. Baez has a lot of potential but got hurt after only one at bat this year and ended up having wrist surgery.

Reply
chilly July 31, 2022 - 4:08 am

great content. that is all. only feedback is need to promo this better for ease of find.

Reply
Joe July 31, 2022 - 9:43 am

Glad you enjoy it. The rankings article is in the main baseball rankings men, it gets moved to the top of the site every couple of months when updated and also in the sidebar “best of” section.

Reply

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