2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 17 xwOBA Targets

by Keith Lott
2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 17 xwOBA Targets less than 65% rostered Yahoo2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 17 xwOBA Targets

Welcome to the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 17 xwOBA Targets!

This is a series where look for under rostered xwOBA targets in Fantasy Baseball for the week ahead. We set the cutoff at 65% rostered on Yahoo and 100 plate appearances.

This is our first update since the All-Star break! That being said, in order to make the table, you had to have at least 30 plate appearances in the second half.

MLB.com does a great job explaining xwOBA vs wOBA.

"Expected Weighted On-base Average (xwOBA) is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed.

xwOBA is more indicative of a player's skill than regular wOBA, as xwOBA removes defense from the equation. Hitters, and likewise pitchers, are able to influence exit velocity and launch angle but have no control over what happens to a batted ball once it is put into play."

We have also added DRC+ (Deserved Runs Created Plus) to the table below this season. DRC+ comes from Baseball Prospectus and it "differs from other (public) hitting metrics in that it focuses on each hitter's expected contribution, rather than merely averaging the result of hitter PAs."

2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 17 xwOBA Targets

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wdt_ID Name Team Pos Y!% PA wOBA xwOBA wRC+ DRC+
1 Danny Jansen TOR C 15% 107 0.328 0.384 111 132
2 Christian Walker ARI 1B 46% 422 0.325 0.365 106 125
3 Carlos Santana SEA 1B 6% 327 0.313 0.360 104 119
4 Rowdy Tellez MIL 1B 61% 395 0.337 0.358 116 118
5 Daniel Vogelbach NYM 1B 5% 316 0.352 0.355 128 108
6 Nolan Gorman STL 2B,3B 40% 219 0.336 0.355 120 91
7 Trayce Thompson LAD OF 4% 121 0.345 0.353 125 89
8 Yandy Diaz TB 1B,3B 39% 387 0.355 0.353 139 128
9 Christopher Morel CHC 2B,3B,OF 55% 277 0.342 0.351 119 94
10 Vinnie Pasquantino KC 1B 14% 137 0.290 0.349 86 99
11 Austin Slater SF OF 7% 234 0.345 0.348 125 106
12 Brandon Nimmo NYM OF 61% 432 0.341 0.345 126 109
13 Jesse Winker SEA OF 55% 403 0.312 0.344 108 104
14 Alec Bohm PHI 3B 64% 391 0.322 0.342 105 102
15 Orlando Arcia ATL 2B,OF 2% 182 0.318 0.339 102 106
16 Brandon Belt SF 1B 27% 248 0.334 0.339 118 96
17 Harold Castro DET 1B,2B,3B,SS 2% 262 0.314 0.337 104 92
18 Darick Hall PHI UTIL 3% 100 0.348 0.336 123 93
19 Seth Brown OAK 1B,OF 22% 345 0.323 0.335 114 93
20 Luke Voit WAS 1B 35% 347 0.322 0.334 110 95
21 Ji-Man Choi TB 1B 7% 304 0.337 0.334 126 94
22 Nick Gordon MIN 2B,SS,OF 1% 245 0.321 0.332 109 81
23 Chas McCormick HOU OF 1% 265 0.329 0.331 117 104
24 Josh Naylor CLE 1B,OF 52% 293 0.349 0.330 129 116
25 Darin Ruf NYM 1B,OF 3% 314 0.315 0.329 105 104
26 Aledmys Diaz HOU 1B,2B,3B,SS,OF 41% 246 0.317 0.328 109 111
27 Donovan Solano CIN 2B,3B 2% 120 0.341 0.328 114 100
28 Joey Votto CIN 1B 41% 328 0.326 0.327 104 90
29 Andrew McCutchen MIL OF 44% 395 0.316 0.326 101 102
30 Ramon Laureano OAK OF 45% 310 0.319 0.326 112 103
31 Gary Sanchez MIN C 46% 310 0.288 0.326 86 84
32 Ryan McMahon COL 2B,3B 57% 405 0.320 0.325 92 89
33 Ben Gamel PIT OF 2% 258 0.310 0.325 99 82
34 Kyle Farmer CIN 3B,SS 23% 352 0.307 0.325 91 103

Seth Brown is on absolute fire in the second half and now has a .431 xwOBAcon - top 20 in the MLB! Pete Alonso and Eloy Jimenez are the only hitters with a greater increase in xwOBA over their last 50 PA than Brown. Seth Brown is hitting .400 since the break with six home runs and two doubles.

Daniel Vogelbach is slashing .333/.474/.600 with the Mets and has homered in their last two games. He is more of a same-day pick-up and play as you need to make sure he is in the lineup, but Vogelbach is worth starting every time he is in the Mets lineup.

If Alec Bohm is still available, the Phillies third baseman is a must-add to your bench. He is hitting .297 vs an expected .299 batting average, which is top 10 in the MLB. He has five extra-base hits in the second half, leading to a 1.030 OPS.

Danny Jansen has struggled since returning on July 12th slashing .195/.244/.341 over his last 45 plate appearances.

Did Not Return From Pre-All-Star Game Update

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