2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 4 Pitching Planner

May 2nd - May 8th

by Nate Miller
2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 4 Pitching Planner

Welcome to the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 4 Pitching Planner.

Every Saturday of the MLB regular season, the Fantasy Baseball Pitching Planner takes a look at the upcoming SP landscape for the week ahead. I will look to answer some of the questions regarding which hurlers to start, sit, or stream.

A ranking of low-owned (under 50%), two-start options that might be worthwhile acquiring off the waiver wire leads things off. A recommendation level - Yes, Likely, Unlikely, or No - for each is included. 

2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 4 Pitching Planner

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Two-Start Waiver Options

*** Ownership Percentages based on Yahoo! Leagues as of April 29 ***

SPStart 1Start 2Rost%Recommend
Bruce Zimmermann (BAL)vs MINvs KC13%Yes
Drew Rasmussen (TB) at OAKat SEA21%Yes
Steven Matz (STL)vs KCat SF46%Yes
Marco Gonzales (SEA)at HOUvs TB22%Likely
Dakota Hudson (STL)at KCat SF16%Likely
Michael Pineda (DET)vs PITat HOU10%Likely
Chris Flexen (SEA)at HOUvs TB28%Likely
Tyler Wells (BAL)vs MINvs KC1%Unlikely
Daulton Jefferies (OAK)vs TBat MIN7%Unlikely
Jake Odorizzi (HOU)vs SEAvs DET5%Unlikely
Vladimir Gutierrez (CIN)at MILvs PIT1%No
Erick Fedde (WSH)at COLat LAA3%No

Start ‘em

Brad Keller, Kansas City Royals - vs St. Louis Cardinals

Keller has been a workhorse for the Royals during April. The big right-hander has logged at least six innings in 3-of-4 starts so far while finishing seven frames twice already. He has not only shown solid stamina but also significantly increased effectiveness over last year.

This past Thursday, Keller faced a tough assignment with a road start against the White Sox. He more than rose to that challenge, surrendering only one run on three hits and no walks with three strikeouts.

Keller’s 2.19 ERA here in the early going is almost certainly unsustainable, but a 2.94 xERA suggests he is not simply getting lucky out there. A 55.9 GB% and an average exit velocity of 87.5 mph are evidence of that as well. Keller’s career 3.52 ERA at home in Kauffman Stadium is reason for additional confidence in this matchup against the Cards.

Paul Blackburn, Oakland Athletics - vs Tampa Bay Rays

Yes, Blackburn made some Rays look silly over five scoreless frames during his first start of the season down in Tampa Bay. This time around, the Oakland righty has them in his pitcher-friendly home stadium.

At age 28, Blackburn appears to be ready to break out. Now, it is still early, but so far through four starts in 2022, he is sporting a 1.35 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 24.7 K%, and 2.7 BB% across 20.0 innings. That strikeout rate combined with a 56.6 GB% has Blackburn rolling.

Sit ‘em

Tony Gonsolin, Los Angeles Dodgers - vs San Francisco Giants

Gonsolin’s overall numbers are strong. He is a talented pitcher entering his prime years and worth having for the course of the season. This is just simply a tough matchup that he is entering off a less than stellar outing against a weak Diamondbacks lineup. The Giants enter Friday’s game ranked fifth in MLB at 4.79 runs per game.

Gonsolin has also seen a substantial decrease in his K-rate across his first four starts (17.0 IP) this season. That is obviously a small sample size with time for correction. Still, an 18.3-percent mark after years of 26.1 and 27.2 respectively is worth noting.

Tyler Mahle, Cincinnati Reds - at Milwaukee Brewers

Since an Opening Day start at Atlanta in which he pitched quite well, Mahle has been quite mediocre. Over his last four appearances, the 27-year-old hurler has turned in an ugly 8.31 ERA and 1.85 WHIP across 17.1 innings.

Mahle has also recorded just a 20.7 K% in that same span which is quite low for the Reds righty. If he cannot be counted on for strikeouts, the Reds righty is difficult to recommend.

Stream ‘em

Jose Quintana, Pittsburgh Pirates - at Detroit Tigers

Embed from Getty Images

Shades of Quintana from years past have suddenly appeared. Now, before things go too far, the veteran southpaw is not close to a point where he can be trusted as a fantasy roster mainstay again. His form so far this season cannot simply be ignored though. 

Through his first three starts of the year, Quintana posted a respectable 3.86 ERA along with an uninspiring 1.50 WHIP and 8-to-8 K/BB ratio. Then, all of a sudden, he explodes for nine punchouts across five frames of one-run ball versus the Brewers this past Thursday. The one area in which Quintana did not struggle in 2021 was racking up strikeouts (28.6%). 

The Tigers offense has been largely anemic to this point in 2022. A.J. Hinch’s club entered play Friday ranked 26th in MLB at 3.22 runs per game.


Thanks for checking out the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 4 Pitching Planner and be sure to check out the rest of the F6P Fantasy Baseball content.

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2 comments

Chucky May 1, 2022 - 8:37 pm

Am I being too cute to consider starting two start Zimmermann in lieu of single start Bieber v Toronto or Megill v Atl?

Reply
Nate Miller May 2, 2022 - 3:48 pm

I don’t think so, but that is a tough call for sure. The Braves are not swinging it well right now, but that could change quickly given their powerful lineup. Even still, Megill has been electric. Zimmermann has been very good as well and has two favorable – one especially vs KC – matchups. Surely, there is a third option than benching either? If not, I’d go with the two-start guy.

Reply

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