2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 5 xwOBA Targets

by Keith Lott
2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 4 xwOBA Targets

Welcome to the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 5 xwOBA Targets!

This a series we started last season on Fantasy Six Pack where we look for under rostered xwOBA targets in Fantasy Baseball for the week ahead. We set the cutoff at 65% rostered on Yahoo and 50 plate appearances for this early season update.

I need to apologize for the poor advice I offered in last week's update. I highlighted the fact that I did not think Rowdy Tellez and Jeremy Pena were rosterable, at that time. Turns out that I was very wrong.

Rowdy Tellez led the MLB in total bases over the last week, thanks to a two home run, eight RBI night. But he was more than just that one night. Over his 26 plate appearances during this recent stretch, Tellez hit .435 with four home runs and four doubles, racking up 13 RBI.

Jeremy Pena has been a different animal. Despite hitting just .217 over the past seven days, Pena hit three more home runs and picked up eight more RBI.

I hope that you were all smarter than me and added both of these players before your league-mates!

MLB.com does a great job explaining xwOBA vs wOBA.

"Expected Weighted On-base Average (xwOBA) is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed.

xwOBA is more indicative of a player's skill than regular wOBA, as xwOBA removes defense from the equation. Hitters, and likewise pitchers, are able to influence exit velocity and launch angle but have no control over what happens to a batted ball once it is put into play."

We have also added DRC+ (Deserved Runs Created Plus) to the table below this season. DRC+ comes from Baseball Prospectus and it "differs from other (public) hitting metrics in that it focuses on each hitter's expected contribution, rather than merely averaging the result of hitter PAs."

2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 5 xwOBA Targets

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xwOBA Targets Week 5

Alec Bohm is slashing .304/.358/.449 on the year and has moved up to the top of the Philadelphia Phillies lineup. He has hit leadoff or second in the batting order in the last three games, swapping spots with Jean Segura. According to Baseball Savant, Bohm has the league's best xBA at .366 to go along with a .596 xSLG.

Josh Naylor is riding a six-game hitting streak into the weekend. Since our update last Friday, Naylor has seen 22 plate appearances, slashing .381/.409/.571. He has knocked in seven runs and hit a double and a two-run home run.

Did Not Return From Last Week


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