Welcome to F6P’s 2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 6 NFBC FAAB Run, and, well, if this isn’t the tale of two weeks.
In Week 5, there were very few hitters I wanted to bid more than a dollar or two on. We focused more on two-start streaming starting pitchers. Thanks to the weather, most of those situations got blown up.
But the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 6 NFBC FAAB Run sees us looking in the opposite direction. There potentially could be an explosion of FAAB dollars spent this week, with no less than five exciting prospects called up since Sunday. Meanwhile, former FAABulous prospect Matt Brash has been sent down, and Jarred Kelenic appears poised for a bus ride to AAA.
There is an angle to this FAAB Run which must be considered. Today is Mother’s Day. It stands to reason that some of your league mates may not be in a position to focus on their FAAB bids tonight. If even three or four of your opponents either forget or put low effort into their claims, you could stand to benefit.
With several high-upside prospects available, those who take the time to back up all of their tiered bids could potentially snatch one or more of these youngsters for much lower than they should be. While everyone knows the name Royce Lewis and surely will want to take a stab at him, will they take the time to put a fourth or fifth option in case they aren’t the winner? We shall find out tonight.
2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 6 NFBC FAAB Run
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George Kirby, SP, Seattle Mariners (unowned)
George Kirby is among the top pitching prospects in the game. He gets the call today, replacing Brash in the rotation. Kirby makes the jump from AA to the show and NFBC owners will be flocking with bags of FAAB dollars to acquire his services. You will have about three hours after today’s game is complete to make your assessment if it is a spot start or if he looks up to stay. While I would bet on the latter, there will surely be some bumps and bruises for the 24-year-old. If he throws anything that resembles a quality start, he will be the most expensive player acquired tonight. UPDATE: Kirby didn’t make the 10 am requirement to be added to NFBC databases. So, we will revisit next week. Bring your checkbooks!
Royce Lewis, SS, Minnesota Twins (unowned)
The former number one overall pick Royce Lewis is the very definition of a post-hype prospect. The last time we saw him dazzle scouts was way back in 2018. 2019 was a disappointment, 2020 saw no minor league season, and Lewis missed all of last year while recovering from a torn ACL. Now 22 years old, Lewis has been excellent for AAA St. Paul this season. He has logged a 1.01 OPS, .322 AVG, and eight stolen bases in only 24 games.
Lewis was recalled on Friday amidst fear that Carlos Correa would miss significant time with a fractured finger. Lewis was immediately slotted into the lineup and celebrated his first Major League hit in a 1-for-4 effort. However, Correa’s x-rays came back clean, and he may only miss a few days. This certainly forces us to pump the breaks a bit.
Alex Kiriloff just returned from injury, while Trevor Larnach, Miguel Sano, and Luis Arraez are all tending to different levels of their own injuries. If Lewis is able to make an immediate impact, he could have staying power as the Twins offense has been middling all year in most metrics. His ability to steal bases could be a boon for a team that is dead last in all of baseball at swiping bags.
Personally, I am staying away from the 20% bids on Lewis, as there is too strong a possibility that he is merely up for a cup of coffee. I have been burned across several spots by the likes of Bryson Stott, Josh Lowe, and Brash already this year. Perhaps this will be a prevalent theme tonight, and Lewis can be stolen for about $80 or so in some leagues. I’ll call that bet to see the river card.
MJ Melendez, C Kansas City Royals (55%)
Rookie MJ Melendez has been brought up from the minors and recorded a hit in each of the first two games of his career. He was not in great form at AAA, having hit below .200 early in the campaign. With Cam Gallagher on the IL, Melendez has been brought up to rotate between DH and catcher with Sal Perez, whose bat is off to an ice-cold start.
Melendez broke out in a huge way last year, with 44 home runs and a .288 AVG across the two highest levels of the minor leagues. Even with part-time duty, the 23-year-old slots in as an immediate starter in two catcher formats. He should make enough impact with the bat to warrant a 10% FAAB bid.
Juan Yepez, 1B, St Louis Cardinals (3%)
Juan Yepez gas started four straight games since his callup, with seven hits across the four contests. Similar to Melendez, he enjoyed a huge breakout last year. He pounded 27 home runs and a .969 OPS which led to a .286 AVG. He carries first base eligibility in the NFBC but is seeing time in the outfield, so multi-position eligibility is on the horizon. Melendez is a solid option in a league starved for batting average.
Jose Miranda, 3B, Minnesota Twins (20%)
Jose Miranda is yet another top-100 prospect to debut this week on the heels of a monster breakout in 2021. He smacked 30 round-trippers while amassing a sweet .344 AVG. After a very hot spring, it was a bit of a disappointment to see him sent down just prior to Opening Day. With the rash of injuries in Minnesota, another chance has arrived. Miranda, however, has not risen to the occasion as the above-mentioned have. Off to only a 3-for-20 start, he may be in competition with Lewis for who will retain the roster spot moving forward. While he has big power upside, I wouldn’t bid more than 5-8% of my remaining FAAB budget.
Daniel Vogelbach, 1B, Pittsburgh Pirates (35% owned in 12-team leagues)
A dirt-cheap pivot off of the bevy of prospects, Dan Vogelbach offers a decent amount of power in a power-starved world. Bid only a few dollars.
Yadiel Hernandez, OF, Washington Nationals (65%)
This is the last chance to sneak Yadiel Hernandez passed your league-mates. He is absolutely raking this year. His elite .401 wOBA translates to a .373 AVG and a massive 14 RBI in 18 games. While Yadiel has done nothing but hit in the minors (and in his Major League debut in 2021), he is a 34-year-old sophomore. As the opposing pitchers learn his name and make adjustments, a return to the mean should be expected. But this is a nice heater he is on, ride the wave.
Edward Olivares, OF, Kansas City Royals (25%)
Edward Olivares has started (and successfully hit in) six consecutive games. He seems to finally be given the opportunity he has so long deserved. With a gaudy .364 AVG and .902 OPS he has been every bit of the hype. Now he appears to be implanted in the leadoff spot. This is probably the guy you want from the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 6 NFBC FAAB Run.
Olivares has always shown the perfect combination of speed, power, and hit tool throughout the minors. At 26 years old, he is ready for an everyday role and will thrive in it.
Martin Perez, SP, Texas Rangers (8%)
Martin Perez is an enigma. He gives up a lot of hard contact and does not miss bats. Somehow, he has now tossed three straight-quality starts and flirted with a perfect game. He did reinvent his repertoire this year. We have seen him increase the use of his sinker to 39% of the time to set up his out pitch, the cutter.
His next start will be against the Royals. While an intriguing matchup, my gut reaction is still to stack against him more often than start him. Proceed with caution.
Kyle Lewis, OF, Seattle Mariners (65%)
Kyle Lewis is at least a week away from returning to action so this is a good opportunity for a speculative add. The short-season rookie phenom of 2020 never got his season started last year. He is already hitting bombs on his rehab assignment. There is a lot of swing and miss in his game, but his strikeout rate has improved every year. Anything is better than Kelenic at this point.
Austin Gomber, SP, Colorado Rockies. (50%)
A streamer’s nightmare. The phrase “gombered” was coined last year when Austin Gomber gave up a whopping nine earned runs in less than two innings on the front end of a juicy road two-step. I was among the victims, and have a bit of PTSD when I hear his name, but I think I am just naive enough to get sucked back in.
We are in the same position this week, as the lefty starts his week at San Francisco and finishes at home versus Kansas City. While it is Coors Field, Gomber was excellent at home last year with a 2.09 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Not for the slight of heart, but there is a ton of upside with these matchups this week.
James Kapriliean, SP, Oakland Athletics (30%)
James Kaprielian showed up last night, with only one run allowed in five-plus innings. He had previously gotten blasted in his debut start against Cleveland. He lines up against Detroit next week. A good showing could be a precursor to a fantasy-relevant season similar to 2021. I would probably take the risk on Gomber first, but I tend to like pain.
For more options, or more discussion on these options, I am always available on Twitter @JTrela20. Otherwise, you can check me out on the Stack Attack Fantasy Podcast on YouTube next Sunday at 8 pm!
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