2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 6 xwOBA Targets

by Keith Lott

Welcome to the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 6 xwOBA Targets!

This is a series where look for under rostered xwOBA targets in Fantasy Baseball for the week ahead. We set the cutoff at 65% rostered on Yahoo and 60 plate appearances for this early season update.

MLB.com does a great job explaining xwOBA vs wOBA.

“Expected Weighted On-base Average (xwOBA) is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed.

xwOBA is more indicative of a player’s skill than regular wOBA, as xwOBA removes defense from the equation. Hitters, and likewise pitchers, are able to influence exit velocity and launch angle but have no control over what happens to a batted ball once it is put into play.”

We have also added DRC+ (Deserved Runs Created Plus) to the table below this season. DRC+ comes from Baseball Prospectus and it “differs from other (public) hitting metrics in that it focuses on each hitter’s expected contribution, rather than merely averaging the result of hitter PAs.”

2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 6 xwOBA Targets

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wdt_ID Name Team Pos Rost PA xwOBA wOBA wRC+ DRC+
1 Joc Pederson SF OF 50% 82 0.432 0.360 135 116
2 Harold Ramirez TB OF 1% 68 0.427 0.330 127 114
3 Josh Naylor CLE 1B,OF 57% 77 0.410 0.429 193 130
4 Max Kepler MIN OF 38% 116 0.404 0.341 130 117
5 Alec Bohm PHI 3B 60% 107 0.399 0.347 122 113
6 Christian Walker ARI 1B 6% 121 0.394 0.313 99 109
7 Manuel Margot TB OF 60% 95 0.393 0.397 175 128
8 Brandon Nimmo NYM OF 30% 122 0.390 0.386 155 128
9 Brandon Belt SF 1B 55% 93 0.388 0.381 149 112
10 Christian Bethancourt OAK C,1B 0% 61 0.384 0.296 101 103

Joc Pederson hit .353 in April with six home runs but is just 1-23 in the month of May. He is still in the top 5% of some of the important Statcast metrics like xwOBA, xSLG, HardHit%, etc..

Manuel Margot has hit three home runs and tallied eight RBI in his last 10 at bats and has four stolen bases since May 5th. He is slashing .484/.515/.903 in the month of May!

Tommy Pham has scored 12 runs over the past two weeks and is hitting .319 with a .439 OBP during that stretch.

Ben Gamel has 17 hits in the last 14 days, including four doubles, a triple and a home run. He has picked up seven RBI and scored five runs in his last 48 plate appearances.

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