2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 7 xwOBA Targets

by Keith Lott
2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 7 xwOBA Targets

Welcome to the 2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 7 xwOBA Targets!

This is a series where look for under rostered xwOBA targets in Fantasy Baseball for the week ahead. We set the cutoff at 65% rostered on Yahoo and 70 plate appearances for this early season update.

MLB.com does a great job explaining xwOBA vs wOBA.

"Expected Weighted On-base Average (xwOBA) is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed.

xwOBA is more indicative of a player's skill than regular wOBA, as xwOBA removes defense from the equation. Hitters, and likewise pitchers, are able to influence exit velocity and launch angle but have no control over what happens to a batted ball once it is put into play."

We have also added DRC+ (Deserved Runs Created Plus) to the table below this season. DRC+ comes from Baseball Prospectus and it "differs from other (public) hitting metrics in that it focuses on each hitter's expected contribution, rather than merely averaging the result of hitter PAs."

2022 Fantasy Baseball Week 7 xwOBA Targets

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wdt_ID Name Team Pos Rost% PA xwOBA wOBA wRC+ DRC
1 Joc Pederson SF OF 39% 100 0.430 0.328 115 111
2 Yonathan Daza COL OF 4% 80 0.415 0.382 135 125
3 Josh Naylor CLE 1B,OF 64% 77 0.410 0.427 188 127
4 Max Kepler MIN OF 32% 137 0.410 0.352 135 116
5 Christian Walker ARI 1B 25% 153 0.405 0.331 112 117
6 Harold Ramirez TB 1B,OF 1% 86 0.403 0.335 129 117
7 Tommy Pham CIN OF 46% 147 0.393 0.333 110 107
8 Trey Mancini BAL 1B 59% 152 0.388 0.332 119 107
9 Mike Yastrzemski SF OF 32% 109 0.380 0.366 141 112
10 Christian Bethancourt OAK C,1B 1% 77 0.380 0.274 84 100
11 Kole Calhoun TEX OF 12% 112 0.379 0.322 115 94
12 Brian Anderson MIA 3B,OF 2% 99 0.377 0.344 127 96
13 Brandon Nimmo NYM OF 49% 153 0.374 0.377 151 119
14 Jonah Heim TEX C 49% 84 0.373 0.398 169 130
15 Alec Bohm PHI 3B 59% 134 0.371 0.325 109 108

Joc Pederson is just two for 39 in the month of May, slashing .051/.156/.128. Pederson is in the top five percentile of exit velocity, max EV, xSLG, xwOBA, xwoBACON and HardHit% while top 10 percentile in xBA and still can't buy a hit!

Yonathan Daza is riding an 11-game hitting streak and has a hit in 13 out of the 14 games he has played this month. He has scored eight runs, picked up seven RBI and owns a .435 OBP over the last two weeks. The only qualified hitter with a higher xBA is Harold Ramirez (see below).

Josh Naylor is set to come off the COVID=IL this weekend. He hasn't played since May 10th.

The good news is that Max Kepler has hit .260 in both April and May. The bad news is that the on-base percentage has come down closer to his career average this month and he is not hitting for power, after five homers in April.  His May OPS is just .659.

Christian Walker has nine extra-base hits in the month of May leading to a .962 OPS over his last 61 at bats.

Harold Ramirez has played first base, outfield and designated hitter for the Rays in the last week. They are finding ways to keep his bat in the lineup with Manuel Margot on the injured list.

Trey Mancini is slashing .377/.441/ .492 this month but we would love to see the power come back! Only Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Ke'Bryan Hayes have seen a bigger increase in sweet spot percentage from last year.

Did Not Return From Last Week


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