Welcome to the 2022 Fantasy Football Running Back Do Not Draft list.
We are back with more great content from the F6P team. This week, the focus will be on running backs you should be avoiding in drafts.
I don't think these backs are worth such a high draft selection. Whether they are rookies, have injury issues, or even lose a few touches, these running backs should not be on your team.
Without further ado, let's get to the 2022 Fantasy Football Running Back Do Not Draft List.
2022 Fantasy Football Running Back Do Not Draft List
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I'm not going to lie, there are quite a few running backs that should be on this list. Fortunately for you guys, I'm only doing three of them. If not, this article would be massive.
Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks - RB35; Overall ADP : 91
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Walker was drafted by the Seattle Seahawks in the second round. He won the Doak Walker Award as the best running back of the year in college for Michigan State in 2021. Now it looks like he might be the future of the Seahawks backfield.
That might have to wait another year though since Rashaad Penny just signed a new contract with them (just one year). The contract was definitely warranted too. In 2021, Penny finished as the top overall running back from weeks 14 to 18 (12 more points than 2nd). During this time, Penny finished as an RB1 in four out of five games.
If you think Rashaad Penny will lose his job to a rookie after that performance, you must be crazy. In fact, I see Penny handling a full workload in 2022 (barring health). Ken Walker III will get his chances (limited), but you won't start seeing anything productive until after the Seahawk's bye week. It's best to save him for a late-round draft pick, or don't even draft him at all (redraft). He won't get many opportunities.
As for right now, Walker is going ahead of Melvin Gordon III (HAHA), Ronald Jones (possible starter), Cordarrelle Patterson (PPR beast), Michael Carter, and James Cook (PPR gold). This is blasphemous and I hope you guys know this as well.
Antonio Gibson, Washington Commanders - RB19; Overall ADP : 37
This one hurts to put on here. I've been a believer of Antonio Gibson since he was drafted. To those hoping he will finally get the full workload he deserves, you are wrong.
The commanders not using him in the receiving game will never make sense to me, considering this is his bread and butter. He was a wide receiver in college for God's sake. Enough with the complaining, let's go over why Gibson shouldn't be drafted.
J.D. McKissic was re-signed, which will hinder his receiving work (again). To make things worse, the Commanders went out and drafted Brian Robinson. He is a good receiving back as well, and he is fairly competent near the goal line. Another thing to note, reports are saying that Gibson will have his workload decreased in 2022.
All of this points to Antonio Gibson being a running back you do not want on your Fantasy Footall teams in 2022. He shouldn't be going as the RB19 and he definitely shouldn't be going ahead of Josh Jacobs.
In 2021, Gibson was solid. He finished as the RB12 while averaging 14.3 FPPG (17th). There were five games (12th most) where he finished as an RB1 (t-12), nine RB2 finishes (11th), and he only busted twice. After his bye week (10 to 18), Gibson was RB6 (16.7 FPPG). He also rushed for 1,037 yards (4.02 YPC), with 10 total touchdowns.
With him losing goal-line work (4th in RZ touches in 2021), expect his touchdowns to go down as well as his finish at the position.
J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore Ravens - RB21; Overall ADP : 49
There is good news for Dobbins and bad news, as well.
The bad news: J.K. Dobbins is not recovering from the ACL injury as we thought. He is unlikely to play in the preseason as well. With Dobbins offering very little PPR value, this makes him risky in PPR formats.
In 2020 (only season played), he caught 18 of 24 targets and had a 6.6% target share. Dobbins was 30th in routes ran (12.7 a game), dropped four balls (9th), and his route percentage was only 49.4%.
Now onto the good news: J.K. Dobbins is phenomenal on the ground. He rushed for 805 yards (6.0 YPC) and nine touchdowns. Dobbin's advanced metrics are even better. He was 1st in True YPC (5.4), 3rd in yards per touch (6.1), 5th in juke rate (30.9 %), 18th in evaded tackles, and 4th in breakaway runs (11). He was also 7th in fantasy points per opportunity (1.07). (Thanks to playerprofiler.com for all of those awesome stats!)
With all those great stats, Dobbins only had one RB1 (top-12) finish.
He ended up with eight RB2 (top-24) finishes though. This includes six in his final six games.
If you play PPR, you are in for quite the disappointment when drafting him. His receiving work is non-existent, his knee isn't fully recovered, and Gus Edwards isn't going anywhere. J.K. Dobbins is going before Travis Etienne (expect a big workload), Breece Hall (heavily involved), and A.J. Dillon (ran for more yards than Dobbins, also caught more than him). This is wild, I would take any of them over Dobbins right now.
Well, that should do it for the 2022 Fantasy Football Running Back Do Not Draft List. Get direct access to our award-winning analysts via Discord, cheat sheets and more by signing up for a F6P Membership!