2022 Fantasy Football Week 15 Defense Stream-O-Matic

by Keith Lott
2023 Fantasy Football Defense Stream-O-Matic

Welcome to the 2022 Fantasy Football Week 15 Defense Stream-O-Matic!

According to Yahoo Fantasy Football transaction trends, the Green Bay Packers (vs Rams - MNF), Denver Broncos (vs Cardinals) and Carolina Panthers (vs Steelers) were the most added defenses after waivers cleared.

The Seattle Seahawks (vs 49ers - TNF) and Las Vegas Raiders (vs Patriots) were the most dropped defenses.

Baker Mayfield led the Los Angels Rams to a miraculous come-from-behind victory over the Raiders this past Sunday.  However, Las Vegas still managed seven Fantasy points thanks to four sacks and a fumble recovery. This is a perfect get-right game for the Green Bay Packers defense, at home, coming off a bye week.

Green Bay has not had a four-sack game since back in Week 4 but have 10 interceptions on the year. Rashan Gary still leads the team with 9.5 sacks and he hasn't played since Week 9 when he suffered a knee injury. Preston Smith is second on the team with 5.5 sacks but 3.5 of them were recorded in the first five weeks of the season. Jaire Alexander leads the secondary with four interceptions.

The Denver Broncos defense has been one of the toughest defenses to score on all year long with only San Francisco, Buffalo and Dallas's defenses allowing fewer points.  They have recorded five interceptions in the last two weeks (Tyler Huntley, James Proche and Patrick Mahomes x3!) with six sacks. They had only recorded seven sacks and two interceptions in their previous five games.

The Arizona Cardinals will be without Kyler Murray for the rest of the year and much of next year after tests confirmed he tore his ACL. The New England Patriots sacked Colt McCoy six times on Monday Night Football, scored a defensive touchdown on a fumble recovery and added an interception en route to 20 Fantasy points! It was the fourth time this year Arizona gave up double-digit points to the opposing defense and the Cardinals have surrendered the seventh most Fantasy points this year.

The Carolina Panthers defense just held Geno Smith to under 60% completion for the first time this season and picked him off twice. Now they get to face Mitch Trubisky or possibly Mason Rudolph if Kenny Pickett can't come back from a concussion.

Carolina's defense has been very good over the last five weeks (4 games), with at least three sacks in every game (14 total), four interceptions and two fumble recoveries. Brian Burns leads the team with 10.5 sacks and has recorded at least a half sack in each of the last five games.The Steelers have allowed the eight most Fantasy points to opposing defenses this season.

Stream-O-Matic Week 14 Results

We finished #1 overall according to FantasyPros Week 14 DST accuracy results and are second overall in defensive rankings this season! I hope this experiment can be helpful when deciding between tough options. Good luck!

2022 Fantasy Football Week 15 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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Scoring

I use a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team.

Categories

The categories for the chart are listed below along with links to websites that I use to find this data.

  • Rost%/Start%: Roster percentages based on Yahoo Fantasy Football leagues. This gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings.
  • Location (Home): Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. A five-point bonus is given to all home teams.
  • Vegas (Opp Implied): Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generate an implied points total for each team. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which Fantasy Football defenses are in a good position to succeed.
  • Pressure (Opp Prs%): Thanks to Pro Football Reference, we have access to advanced passing statistics. I focused on pressure percentages allowed here which includes QB hurries, hits and sacks.
  • DVOA: Probably the most popular tool for evaluating defenses, the DVOA efficiency ratings are utilized to give a strong baseline to the rankings. We are now using Weighted DVOA!
  • Proj: I used Yahoo Week 15 projections for this column. It is added as a bonus and not scored like roto for all the other columns.

2022 Fantasy Football Week 15 Defense Stream-O-Matic Chart

Score Team Rost% Start% Opp Def DVOA Opp Off DVOA Opp Prss% Allowed Opp Implied Proj
113 DEN 55% 34% ARI 28 29 12 31 8
111 GB 54% 29% LAR 10 27 29 32 8
110 WAS 32% 15% NYG 24 15 32 26 8
105 PHI 96% 83% @CHI 26 18 30 23 8
100 KC 92% 77% @HOU 9 32 22 29 8
97 BUF 99% 89% MIA 27 4 23 30 8
96 ARI 25% 18% @DEN 6 30 31 23 6
92 SF 98% 87% @SEA 32 11 20 22 7
91 MIN 41% 27% IND 8 31 26 14 7
88 NO 28% 14% ATL 20 14 17 25 7
85 LAC 23% 10% TEN 12 22 27 14 5
85 BAL 91% 70% @CLE 25 10 24 19 7
82 CAR 16% 10% PIT 14 20 9 26 8
79 DAL 96% 86% @JAX 31 16 7 18 7
78 PIT 50% 40% @CAR 21 28 2 19 8
76 NYJ 40% 21% DET 29 7 15 14 6
75 NYG 11% 6% @WAS 4 26 27 12 6
75 NE 85% 58% @LV 29 12 10 17 7
74 IND 21% 10% @MIN 22 19 25 3 5
72 TEN 53% 34% @LAC 16 25 21 5 5
70 DET 3% 2% @NYJ 13 21 18 12 6
68 CIN 30% 18% @TB 23 17 1 21 6
68 CLE 22% 12% BAL 7 8 14 26 8
59 LV 34% 27% NE 2 24 11 11 6
49 JAX 6% 2% DAL 3 13 19 4 5
46 LAR 31% 19% @GB 17 9 5 10 5
46 TB 73% 49% CIN 17 3 8 7 6
45 ATL 3% 1% @NO 5 23 4 7 6
42 SEA 52% 43% SF 10 6 6 9 6
41 HOU 1% 0% KC 15 1 16 1 3
37 MIA 29% 14% @BUF 19 5 3 6 4
26 CHI 3% 1% PHI 1 2 13 2 3

max score with home-field five-point bonus but without projection bonus is 133

median score was 76


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