2022 Fantasy Football Week 7 Defense Stream-O-Matic

by Keith Lott
2023 Fantasy Football Defense Stream-O-Matic

Welcome to the 2022 Fantasy Football Week 7 Defense Stream-O-Matic!

According to Yahoo Fantasy Football transaction trends, the New York Jets, Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots (2nd week in a row, now 98% rostered!) were the top three defenses added after waivers cleared.

The New York Jets continue to be one the most surprising teams in the NFL this season. They have won three in a row against the Steelers, Dolphins and Packers, allowing just 47 total points. Their defensive unit has recorded nine sacks, five interceptions, two fumble recoveries and a defensive touchdown during this winning streak. Quinnen Williams now has five sacks on the season to lead the team while Lamarcus Joyner has two interceptions.

Last week, we highlighted just how underwhelming the Dolphins defense has been since their dominant performance against the Buffalo Bills in Week 3.  They did record three sacks last week against Kirk Cousins but the Vikings still put 24 points and won the game. Brandon Jones and Melvin Ingram lead the team with just two sacks each. In Week 7, they face Mitchell Trubisky who is back under center for the Steelers as Kenny Pickett suffered a concussion in Week 6. This is the marquee Sunday Night Football game.

The Pats have now scored double-digit Fantasy points in three straight games against the Packers, Lions and Browns. They have recorded seven sacks, forced eight runovers and scored two defensive touchdowns! In Week 7, they host Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. Deatrich Wise Jr. recorded his fifth sack last week. Matthew Judon leads the team with six sacks. Jalen Mills and Jack Jones each have picked off opposing quarterbacks twice.

Stream-O-Matic Week 6 Results

While the results look awful, the Week 6 Stream-O-Matic scoring system was good enough for another top-10 finish amongst FantasyPros Expert Rankers! It just goes to show how difficult it is to predict defenses and how surprising Week 6 was around the NFL!

I hope this experiment can be helpful when deciding between tough options. Good luck!

2022 Fantasy Football Week 7 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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Scoring

I use a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team.

Categories

The categories for the chart are listed below along with links to websites that I use to find this data.

  • Rost%/Start%: Roster percentages based on Yahoo Fantasy Football leagues. This gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings.
  • Location (Home): Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. A five-point bonus is given to all home teams.
  • Vegas (Opp Implied): Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generate an implied points total for each team. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which Fantasy Football defenses are in a good position to succeed.
  • Pressure (Opp Prs%): Thanks to Pro Football Reference, we have access to advanced passing statistics. I focused on pressure percentages allowed here which includes QB hurries, hits and sacks.
  • DVOA: Probably the most popular tool for evaluating defenses, the DVOA efficiency ratings are utilized to give a strong baseline to the rankings. We are now using Weighted DVOA!
  • Proj: I used Yahoo Week 7 projections for this column. It is added as a bonus and not scored like roto for all the other columns.

2022 Fantasy Football Week 7 Defense Stream-O-Matic Chart

Score Team Rost% Start% Opp Def DVOA Opp Off DVOA Opp Prss% Allowed Opp Implied Proj
129 Patriots 92% 67% CHI 26 30 32 27 9
109 Broncos 75% 60% NYJ 31 23 18 24 8
103 Titans 19% 12% IND 15 31 26 18 8
102 Bucs 99% 94% @CAR 27 32 7 28 8
101 Jets 47% 30% @DEN 21 27 29 18 6
99 Jaguars 39% 35% NYG 23 13 31 21 6
98 Raiders 13% 8% HOU 7 28 27 23 8
92 Packers 89% 80% @WAS 9 29 20 26 8
86 Colts 36% 27% @TEN 20 20 28 12 6
76 Cowboys 89% 73% DET 27 9 10 17 8
74 Cardinals 7% 5% NO 13 19 14 16 7
74 Saints 41% 29% @ARI 15 26 16 11 6
74 Bengals 38% 28% ATL 25 7 11 18 8
73 Commanders 6% 5% GB 21 10 22 10 5
72 49ers 96% 83% KC 30 2 24 6 5
71 Dolphins 44% 30% PIT 5 24 4 25 8
68 Ravens 81% 68% CLE 18 8 8 21 8
67 Chargers 53% 39% SEA 18 4 19 15 6
63 Steelers 21% 9% @MIA 17 6 30 6 4
53 Bears 19% 16% @NE 14 22 3 9 5
48 Texans 1% 0% @LV 8 18 14 4 4
47 Lions 1% 0% @DAL 1 17 23 2 4
44 Panthers 4% 3% TB 10 16 2 6 5
43 Chiefs 32% 13% @SF 5 15 5 13 5
43 Falcons 1% 1% @CIN 3 21 13 3 3
43 Giants 9% 6% @JAX 3 11 9 14 6
39 Seahawks 3% 2% @LAC 11 12 12 1 3
21 Browns 22% 18% @BAL 2 3 6 5 5

Teams on bye weeks - Bills, Eagles, Rams, Vikings

max score with home-field five-point bonus but without projection bonus is 117

median score was 73


Check out our Fantasy Football Week 7 Rankings!

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