2022 Fantasy Football: Why You Should Draft Cole Kmet

by Mike Bonni

Welcome, everyone to the 2022 Fantasy Football: Why You Should Draft Cole Kmet article.

With the departure of Allen Robinson and a wide receiver depth chart in shambles, Cole Kmet is looking at quite a heavy target share. It's also worth mentioning that Jimmy Graham is finally off the Bears roster.

These are just a couple of examples of why I want to target Cole Kmet in drafts. Keep reading below for all the information you need.

2022 Fantasy Football: Why You Should Draft Cole Kmet

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Cole Kmet's rookie season was sub-par, at best. He was clearly playing in the shadow of Jimmy Graham but still played in 16 games (9 starts). Cole Kmet ended the season with 28 catches on 44 targets for 243 yards and two touchdowns. We don't have to talk about his fantasy finish (TE43), so let's not broach that subject.

The 2021 season is a whole different story though. It was (finally) Cole Kmet's time to shine and he delivered. He played and started in all 17 games. His final stat line was 93 targets (8th), caught 60 (12th) of them for 612 yards (12th). There was one glaring issue, Cole Kmet scored ZERO touchdowns. Despite this, Cole Kmet still finished as a TE2 (TE23). It's not the sexiest finish, but it should have been much higher.

Among the top-24 TEs, the average number of TDs was 5 (4.8 actually, but I rounded up). Give this to Cole Kmet and he finishes as TE14.

*Some other interesting stats to mention*

Cole Kmet's advanced metrics scream TE1 (top-12), hell he is even screaming for a top-10 finish.

According to playerprofiler.com, Kmet was Top-12 in snap share (6th), target share (11th), and slot snaps (5th). Expect all that to go up. It gets better though, Kmet was active in the downfield passing game.

Cole Kmet was 6th in deep targets, 11th in air yards share, 9th in air yards, and 10th in ADOT. It's also worth mentioning that Cole Kmet was 7th in unrealized air yards (371). He even saw 12 red zone targets (15th), so expect the TDs to come. As you can see, the breakout is coming.

What To Expect in 2022

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First off, I do want to say that this offense isn't great. There is an opportunity to be had in this offense and we need to take advantage of that.

I expect Justin Fields to take a leap forward, which in turn means the offense will. Obviously, this includes Cole Kmet. There are 218 vacated targets (Tied for the 9th most). More specifically, there are 34 TE targets (16th in NFL) up for grabs. (according to 4for4.com)

Yes! Some of those targets will go to the new additions (Dante Pettis, Ryan Griffin, E St. Brown, and Byron Pringle) and Darnell Mooney. Make no mistake about it though, Cole Kmet will still get his.

Cole Kmet will (easily) surpass 100 targets, this alone puts him in top-12 contention. Couple that with the fact that he is due for positive TD regression, the sky is the limit for Cole Kmet in 2022. There aren't many players that scream breakout like this, get in on the fun.

Bottom Line

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Currently going as TE13 (Overall 119, 9th round), Kmet is just on the outside of TE1 territory. With where he is going, you can get an absolute steal on your hands.

As for me, I'm willing to take him a round (or two) earlier. Cole Kmet is being drafted behind TEs named Dawson Knox (Td regression), Pat Freirmuth (QB play), and Mike Gesicki (too many mouths to feed). I would take him over the players mentioned above, even the two TEs I'm about to name.

I would take Cole Kmet over Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz as well. In fact, I have Kmet ranked higher than both of them (TE8). With all the reasons I mentioned in this article, it would be wise to select Cole Kmet in your drafts. There are too many positives for him to fail.


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