2022 NFL Week 3 ThriveFantasy Picks

by Herms
2022 NFL Week 5 ThriveFantasy Picks

Got the prop bet itch? Fantasy Six Pack is here to help you with that. If you do not already, feel free to follow me on Twitter (@HermsNFL). This article will look at 2022 NFL Week 3 ThriveFantasy Picks.

If you have not signed up for ThriveFantasy before, remember to use promo code 'HERMS' for a 100% match on your first deposit, up to $100.

If you've never played on ThriveFantasy before, or you've never played prop bets, it's a pretty simple practice. Users choose to take either the over or under on a certain line (for example, Christian McCaffrey over/under 0.5 touchdowns). Taking the over means you think McCaffrey scores; inversely, taking the under means you believe he will not. Simple as that!

Let's talk about some interesting bets to get this parlay started.

2022 NFL Week 3 ThriveFantasy Picks

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Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Detroit Lions - 69.5 Receiving Yards

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The early returns on the 2022 season would indicate St. Brown is a superstar in the making. Entering Week 3, St. Brown has a 33.8% target share in his offense (fourth among wide receivers) and is assuredly the focal point of the Lions' passing game.

Per PFF, St. Brown is running 74.6% of his routes from the slot, and Vikings corner Chandon Sullivan (the Minnesota Vikings primary slot corner) has a 107.9 passer rating allowed when targeted so far this season in addition to nine catches on ten targets against him.

Outside of a shadow situation, the Vikings secondary ranks 13th-worst in coverage versus receivers to date, according to PFF. This is a very soft matchup for St. Brown and one in which he should clear this yardage total.

The Pick: Over 69.5 receiving yards

Jaylen Waddle, WR, Miami Dolphins - 63.5 Receiving Yards

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If the Bills' injury report is any indication, Waddle and the Dolphins are staring down a decimated Buffalo secondary. While Buffalo has been PFF's third-toughest defense against receivers this season, the circumstances surrounding their poor collective health make for a much softer matchup than the numbers would indicate.

It will certainly be difficult for Waddle to replicate last week's 171-yard performance of dominance, but all the makings for a strong outing against Buffalo are in the cards here.

The Pick: Over 638.5 receiving yards

Curtis Samuel, WR, Washington Commanders - 4,5 Receptions

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Pure dominance is the only way to describe Samuel's workshare in the Commanders' passing game so far in 2022. Nearly one-quarter of Washington's targets are going to Samuel, and he currently ranks 15th among all wide receivers in targets with 20 per FantasyData. That said, the Eagles defense ranks as PFF's fourth-most difficult matchup for opposing wide receivers.

This may be a difficult draw for Samuel, the likeliest player to draw coverage from slot corner Avonte Maddox, who himself has allowed nine catches on 11 targets per PFF. This puts Samuel right on the line here, but I'm betting on this game being a second-half recovery effort for Carson Wentz and the Commanders. Though begrudgingly, I'd say take the over on this one.

The Pick: Over 4.5 receptions

Check out our Fantasy Football Week 2 rankings!

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