A solid week last week which was nearly culminated with my third winner in three weeks. Tom Hoge was my top finishing pick and he finished second to the eventual winner, Hudson Swafford. This week the PGA Tour heads to Torrey Pines for our 2022 PGA DFS: Farmers Insurance Open FanDuel Picks as we look to cash in back-to-back weeks.
Rickie Fowler cost me a potentially monster week as he missed the cut. Of my other picks, Hoge, again, was my top pick, finishing second. The value I got out of him with his $8,600 salary was enormous.
The problem is Abraham Ancer let me down with his T40 finish.
Patrick Cantlay looked like he was going to run away and hide after his 7-under through 7 holes to start the tournament. He cooled down immensely but finished a solid ninth place.
Defending champion Si Woo Kim got hot on Sunday and was all the way up to a T2 until a double bogey on 17 dropped him down the leaderboard where he eventually settled in at T11.
A poor weekend cost us another fantastic value play with Henrik Norlander's $8,000 salary. Still, him making the cut was a win so I'm not sweating the T63rd finish.
The Farmers Insurance Open will take place at Torrey Pines on two courses, the North Course, and the South Course, which will hold three of the four rounds.
The South Course is one of the longest on tour, weighing in at 7,698 yards. It helps explain why long hitters historically have more success at Torrey Pines. Let's look at some of my favorite options below, many of whom can bomb it off the tee.
2022 PGA DFS: Farmers Insurance Open FanDuel Picks
Henrik Norlander - $8,200
We're going back to the well with Henrik Norlander this week. Although he missed the cut in 2020 at this event, he finished T2nd last year.
The potential value Norlander provides at just $8,200 is too much for me to pass up considering he has shown well at this event in the past.
Although his numbers are nothing to write home about this season, he's only missed one cut out of eight tournaments in the 2021-22 season.
As was the case last week, Norlander is worth a risk at just $8,200.
Cameron Davis - $9,200
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Cameron Davis is having a bit of a yo-yo season so far on the PGA Tour. He has entered seven tournaments and has only made four cuts. However, he is a strong contender at a top 25 finish this week.
Davis is solid off the tee, coming in at 62nd on Tour in shots gained in that category and is 43rd in shots gained total from tee-to-green. His putting leaves quite a bit to be desired, as he checks in at 142nd in shots gained putting.
However, he has had solid performances in each of the last two seasons at this event. Sunday rounds over par have cost him potential top 20s each time. He finished T36th in 2020 and T32nd in 2021.
Since the calendar has flipped to 2022, Davis has played in two events and has been solid in each. He finished T10th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T27th at the Sony Open.
Max Homa - $9,500
I love Max Homa this week and he loves Torrey Pines. The California native finished T18th last season in this event and T9th in 2020. Homa is also having a bit of a breakout since the beginning of last season as he had five top 10 finishes, including a win at the Genesis Invitational.
So far this season Homa is 36th on tour in shots gained, tee-to-green, and 29th in shots gained, total.
He's only missed one cut in six events in the 2021-22 season and has one win, at the Fortinet Championship, a T5th, and a T15th on his resume.
According to BetMGM, Homa is currently 50:1 to win the tournament, I think he has the potential this week to pull off such a feat.
Patrick Reed - $10,300
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The 2021-22 season has not been kind to Patrick Reed. Although he has made 7-out-of-8 cuts so far this season, his numbers are downright putrid.
He is 202nd on tour in shots gained, tee-to-green, and 196h in shots gained, total. His putting is helping his shots gained, total, but even it checks in low, for his standards, at 51st.
Despite his horrendous numbers, he has still found ways to hang around each tournament. If his game finally regains form, Torrey Pines and the Farmers Insurance Open, is somewhere that he has had success.
He won this event last season and finished T6th in 2020. I like Reed to break out of his mini-slump and have a solid week.
Tony Finau - $11,100
Like Patrick Reed, Tony Finau is also off to a bit of a slow start this season. Although he has made the cut in five of the six events he's teed it up, he only has one top 10 and two top 20s to show for it.
However, Finau has been driving the ball very well and is slotted at 24th in shots gained off-the-tee. He's also been hitting greens as he's 39th in shots gained, approach the green. His historically poor flat stick has been the driving force behind his poor finishes. He comes in at 211th in shots gained, putting.
Even an average putter might find last season's runner-up in this event and 2020's 6th place finisher, fighting for a chance at a win this week.
Sam Burns - $11,200
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With my last and most expensive pick, I'm selecting the early leader in the clubhouse for PGA Tour Player of the Year.
Sam Burns has been disgustingly good so far this season. He has entered seven tournaments and his worst finish is T19th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions.
He has a win and four top-five finishes in those seven events.
At this early stage in the season, the elite iron player is 3rd in shots gained, tee-to-green, and 5th in shots gained, total.
His putter has been his worst club in the bag and even that is in the top half of qualified players on tour at 92nd. A hot putter could spell disaster for the rest of the field this week.
Burns is another guy I like with the potential to win, this week. His past performance here indicates it could be a successful week. Although he finished T49th in 2020, he jumped up to T18th last season.
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[…] Last week’s picks were an abomination. My 2022 PGA DFS: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am FanDuel Picks will hopefully be a significant improvement. […]