Looking at this week's 2022 PGA DFS: PGA Championship FanDuel Picks, we see a course in Southern Hills Country Club that has a lot of beef to it.
Southern Hills checks in as a par-70 course, measuring at 7,556 yards with both par 5's measuring in at over 600 yards. It will also feature a handful of par 4's measuring between 450 and 500 yards.
Despite Southern Hills' length, driving distance will not be a primary key indicator this week. I will, however, use driving distance to eliminate some of the PGA Tour's shorter hitters as they will be at a major disadvantage on approach shots for the week.
There are some solid players this week that I won't even be considering. That includes Kevin Kisner, Matt Kuchar, Abraham Ancer, Billy Horschel, and Matthew Fitzpatrick. All rank 145th or worst in driving distance this season.
For this week, I'll be mainly focusing on SG: Approach the green; SG: putting; and par-4 efficiency from 450-500 yards.
2022 PGA DFS: PGA Championship FanDuel Picks
Mito Pereira - $8,000
Mito Pereira has had a very solid three months, outside of a WD at the Zurich Classic. In that span, he has entered seven PGA Tour events, making the cut six times, with his worst finish in that stretch being T30th at The Honda Classic.
Pereira is having an excellent season and his stats match up fairly well this week with our key indicators. Although he hovers just south of average in SG: putting at 113th, he is currently in the elite category in SG: Approach the green at 13th.
Lastly, Pereira is also elite in par 4 efficiency from 450 to 500 yards, sitting in 11th place with a stroke average of 3.982 on such holes.
Pereira has a chance to make some noise this week from a cheap price point. He has value play written all over him.
Jason Kokrak - $9,100
Jason Kokrak is having a fantastic season. Since the turn of the calendar to 2022, Kokrak has entered 10 tournaments and made the cut 9 times. He also showed well at the Masters Tournament, finishing T14th, and proving he has the fortitude to compete in majors.
While he hasn't had any top 10s since winning the Hewlett Packard Enterprise Houston Open all the way back in November, Kokrak has proven he is a cut-making machine. Get a PGA Tour player to the weekend, and anything can happen over 36 holes.
Kokrak also checks off the boxes for our key indicators this week. He is solidly in the top half of the PGA Tour in SG: Approach the green at 75th. Kokrak has shown he is also one of the better putters on tour, ranking 33rd in SG: putting. Lastly, Kokrak sits in T-25th in par 4 efficiency from 450 to 500 yards with a stroke average of 4.030.
This golf course sets up well for Kokrak to bust back into the top 10.
Corey Conners - $9,800
Like my first two picks, Corey Conners is having a really good 2022 PGA Tour season. He is also riding a solid hot streak as he's made his last seven cuts, finishing third at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play event, and like Kokrak, showing his fortitude by finishing T-6th at the Masters Tournament.
Conners is a ball-striking maestro who putts it just well enough to compete on the bentgrass greens this week at Southern Hills CC. Sitting in 46th in SG: Approach the green is actually lower than Conners would like, as he is a very good iron and wedge player. He has the ability, in this area of the game, to finish number one in this statistic.
His putting is better than average, barely, as he resides in 85th in SG: putting.
Lastly, Conners is very good in par 4 efficiency from 450 to 500 yards, coming in at 37th with a 4.054 stroke average.
Max Homa - $9,800
There is a trend with my picks so far this week. Now including Max Homa, all four picks are having arguably career years. Homa, quite frankly, has been one of the best players on the PGA Tour this season and is coming off a win at the Wells Fargo Championship two weeks ago, his fourth career win.
Homa has made the cut in each of his last eight starts, and has five top 20 finishes in that stretch, including a win and a T10th.
He also shows well in our key indicators this week. Homa currently resides in 26th in SG: Approach the green and 28th in SG: putting. His worst ranking of our key indicators is still solid at 64th in par 4 efficiency from 450 to 500 yards with a 4.090 scoring average.
Although Scottie Scheffler has a stranglehold on the player of the year race, Homa can probably move to second position in that race with a win this week, as surprising as that may seem for some.
Jordan Spieth - $11,000
After a surprising missed cut at the Masters Tournament, Jordan Spieth has righted the ship. He has played in two events since the Masters Tournament, winning the RBC Heritage, and finishing second last week at the AT&T Byron Nelson.
Spieth's career resume speaks for itself. A win this week would put him in elite company and give him the career grand slam.
In order for him to win at Southern Hills, Spieth needs to find some magic in the one club in his bag that propelled him to all his previous success; his putter. He currently resides near the basement in SG: putting at a putrid 175th.
Despite the poor putting, Spieth is still having a good year on the heels of great statistics everywhere else and adding some length off of the tee. He is all the way up to 33rd on the PGA Tour in driving distance. Driving distance has not been something Spieth has hung his hat on throughout his career.
Of our other two key indicators, Spieth shows very well. He is currently in 18th in SG: Approach the green and 29th in par 4 efficiency from 450 to 500 yards with a stroke average of 4.034.
Jon Rahm - $11,900
I know Scheffler has had the best season and is number one in the official world golf rankings. However, I still think Jon Rahm is the most talented player on the PGA Tour. He has shown week in and week out that he is the best ball-striker in the world. His putting has just been miserable for most of the season. But it is improving each week.
I was actually pleasantly surprised when doing research this week when I found Rahm all the way up to 108th in SG: putting. He's closing in the middle of the pack in that statistic, which is an enormous improvement from earlier in the season.
Again, his ball-striking, from tee-to-green is the best in the world, literally, he's first in SG: tee-to-green, aided by his 14th ranking SG: Approach the green. Rahm uses his excellent ball striking and his length to conquer the long par 4's as well. He is currently 31st in par 4 efficiency from 450 to 500 yards with a 4.045 stroke average.
If Rahm's short game shows up this week, he will have a great chance to lift the Wanamaker Trophy for the first time.
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