As we look ahead to the 2022 PGA DFS: RBC Canadian Open FanDuel picks, we're trying to forget last week, which we narrowly missed in cashing.
Marc Leishman's missed cut and a disappointing showing from Viktor Hovland killed a promising lineup that included another low-salary hit in Aaron Wise, who finished second.
This week, the PGA Tour heads north of the border to play St. George's Golf and Country Club in Toronto. St. George's plays a short (by PGA Tour standards) 7,014 yards and features an uneven 18. The front nine is a par 34 while the back nine is the standard par 36. Being that there are five par threes this week, iron play will be very important.
I'll be ignoring driving distance this week. Almost every player in this event will have less than 150 yards in on almost every par four and will be to reach every par 5 in two with two good shots.
St. George's defense isn't length, it's the green complexes. I'll be focusing on four key stats this week: SG: Approach-the-green, SG: putting, scrambling, and par 3 scoring average.
2022 PGA DFS: RBC Canadian Open FanDuel Picks
Martin Laird - $8,600
PGA Tour veteran Martin Laird has been a bit up and down over the last couple of months, missing the cut in four out of his last eight events. However, his numbers match up really well with this golf course, except for SG: putting, where he is a putrid 186th. But at this cheap price point, there are bound to be warts.
Laird, however, nails our other three key indicators. He currently sits in 45th in SG: Approach-the-green and 23rd in scrambling as he has gotten it up and down 175-out-of-272 attempts this season, good for 64.34%.
He's also been among the PGA Tour's best in par 3 scoring. He is currently in a tie for 22nd with a scoring average of 3.01 on the par 3s this season.
I've been red-hot with my low salary picks so far this season; let's hope that trend continues.
C.T. Pan - $9,600
I love C.T. Pan this week. His biggest deficiency, driving distance, is a moot point this week and he shows very well in our four key indicators. He's also in great form as he's made the cut in each of the last seven tournaments he's entered.
Of our four key indicators, Pan shows the worst in SG: putting at 105th. However, he has had some good weeks with the flat stick and a bad three tournament stretch where he had SG: putting for the week of -1.115, -1.016, and -2.569 is what's bringing his ranking down.
Pan's next worst ranking of our key indicators comes with his scrambling where he ranks 72nd. He has converted 242-out-of-394 up-and-down attempts for 61.42%.
His approach game has been excellent this season. Pan is ranked 41st in SG: Approach the green.
Lastly, his par 3 scoring average is identical to that of Laird's; he is tied for 22nd with a scoring average of 3.01.
Chris Kirk - $9,800
Next up is Chris Kirk. Kirk has been very good since February with five top 20s and 8-of-11 cuts made.
Like our first two picks, Kirk shows the worst of our four key indicators in SG: putting at 126th. I'm again relying on someone catching fire with the flat stick which is a dangerous game.
However, Kirk shows very well in our other three key indicators for the week. He is currently 66th in scrambling, as he's converted 233-out-of-378 chances for 61.64%.
He dropped from 34th down to 55th in SG: Approach-the-green after a putrid 59.72 GIR percentage last week at the Memorial Tournament. He's been really good in this area all year, chances are, he'll show solid form here this week.
Lastly, his par 3 scoring average is solid. He ranks T61st with a scoring average of 3.04 for the year.
Adam Hadwin - $10,100
I feel like I have to have at least one Canadian in my lineup this week and Adam Hadwin's game matches up really well with this golf course. It's been a bit of an up-and-down year for Hadwin but he did have a stretch of three consecutive top 10s at THE PLAYERS Championship, the Valspar Championship, and the Valero Texas Open. He's also coming off of a T18th last week at the Memorial Tournament. Hadwin has shown he can compete in a deep field, and the RBC Canadian Open really thins out around the halfway point. Hadwin is a better golfer than a majority of the field.
He shows well in all four of our key indicators for this week. Hadwin is currently 66th in SG: putting. The Canadian ranks 35th in scrambling, having converted 231-out-of-365 attempts for 63.29%.
Hadwin has been fantastic in the approach game as well; ranking 30th in SG: Approach-the-green. Lastly, his par 3 scoring average is elite. He is currently t13th with a scoring average of 3.00 on the par 3s.
I like Hadwin to threaten for his fourth top 10 of the season this week.
Justin Rose - $10,300
I was between two guys for this pick, Justin Rose, and Sahith Theegala. I chose Rose because he shows better, overall in our four key indicators.
While Theegala narrowly clips rose in SG: Approach the Green, 79th, compared to 114th for Rose and in scrambling 44th (316-out-of-503 for 62.82%) compared to 58th for Rose (134-out-of-216 for 62.04%), it's not enough weight in those two categories when looking at the other two indicators where Rose blows Theegala out of the water.
Rose is currently in a T34th in par 3 scoring average at 3.02 compared to Theegala's T121st with a scoring average of 3.07.
Rose also trumps Theegala in SG: putting by a wide margin. He is currently in 37th while Theegala is all the way down in a tie for 142nd.
This will be a matchup I'll be keeping a close eye on and it could determine if I have a successful week or not.
Cam Smith - $11,600
Cam Smith has been unreal this season and has vaulted all the way up to fourth in the official world golf rankings. A bad Sunday at the Memorial Tournament won't deter me with this pick because he was lights out the rest of the week and finished T13th.
St. George's Golf and Country Club also matches up very well with Smith's game. His iron game and short game are world-class.
Of our four key indicators, Smith shows the worst in scrambling where he sits in a tie for 64th. He has converted 142-out-of-230 up-and-down chances for 61.74%.
While 64th is solid, he shows elite in our other three key indicators. He is T22nd in par 3 scoring with a scoring average of 3.01.
Smith is 8th in SG: putting and is widely considered to be one of the best putters on the planet.
Lastly, Smith dropped from 1st, down to a tie for 2nd after last week in SG: Approach the green. He will have plenty of birdie chances this week, and he'll likely use his weapon of a putter to convert many of those chances.
I like Smith to get his third win of the season this week in Canada.
Check out Mark's PGA prop bets picks!