The third major of the year is here so let's dive into some 2022 PGA DFS: U.S. Open FanDuel Picks!
It's been a bit of an up and down year from a DFS perspective for me so far. I've picked a lot of outright winners but I've had a little trouble getting all six guys to the weekend on a routine basis, thereby often breaking even in my DFS journey for 2022.
The U.S. Open will head to Brookline, Massachusetts at The Country Club. The Country Club won't play super long, measuring in at a fuzz over 7,200 yards. However, like any other U.S. Open setup, the rough is going to be thick and lush and the greens will be firm, making for tough scoring conditions.
This week, I'll be looking at three key stats; driving accuracy, bogey avoidance, and SG: Around-the-green.
Fairways will be at a premium so I want guys with accurate tee balls. Treading water is often key in U.S. Open play as winning scores are very rarely low. Of the past seven U.S. Open tournaments, only one guy, Brooks Koepka in 2017 at Erin Hills, has gotten it to double digits when he posted 16-under for the win. Lastly, I'll be focusing on SG: Around-the-green as par saves will be vital.
2022 PGA DFS: U.S. Open FanDuel Picks
Si Woo Kim - $8,800
I think Si Woo Kim is potentially a great value play this week at $8,800. Although, historically, Kim has not fared well in U.S. Open play; making just two-of-five cuts, his stats in our key indicators for the week match up well.
He's also been in fairly good form of late. Taking his withdrawal at THE PLAYERS Championship out, he has made the cut in 16 out of the last 17 tournaments he's entered. He also finished T-13th at the Memorial Tournament, the last time he teed it up.
Looking at the key indicators, Kim is solid across the board. He is currently 69th in bogey avoidance, making bogey on 15.14% of the holes he's played. Kim shows well in driving accuracy as well. He currently sits in 42nd, hitting 64.77% of fairways.
Lastly, Kim looks good in SG: Around-the-green, picking up .211 strokes per round on the field in this area.
Russell Henley - $8,900
Another potential high-value play is Russell Henley. He has shown very well in eight U.S. Open tournaments, making the cut six times and finishing in the top 30 four times with a high finish of T-13th in 2021.
Like Kim, Henley is having an excellent season, he's only missed one cut in 16 entered events this season.
Also, like Kim, Henley shows very well in our key indicators for the week. His worst showing is in bogey avoidance, but he's still in the top half of players on the PGA Tour at 85th, making bogey on 15.61% of the holes he's played.
He's been elite in driving accuracy this season. He is currently in 23rd at 66.83%.
Lastly, Henley has also been elite in SG: Around-the-green, sitting in 27th, gaining .331 strokes gained per round on the field.
Sungjae Im - $9,800
Sungjae Im at less than the average FanDuel price of $10,000 feels like a steal. He only has three starts in the U.S. Open, missing the cut on his first try at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. However, he finished 22nd in 2020 at Winged Foot Golf Club, and T35th in 2021 at Torrey Pines Golf Course.
Im is as steady and consistent as they come on the PGA Tour. He's made the cut in each of his last eight tournaments and has been pretty red hot as of late. His last five finishes (although one is the two-man teams in the Zurich Classic) are T10th, T15th, T14, T21st, and T8th. I like this trend to continue this week.
Im shows at an elite level in all three key indicators for this week. He is currently second in bogey avoidance, making bogey on just 11.48% of holes played, trailing only Justin Thomas. He shows the worst in driving accuracy, but it's still rock solid. Im comes in at 29th, hitting 65.60% of fairways.
Lastly, Im is fifth in SG: Around-the-green, picking up a whopping .511 strokes per round on the field.
I like Im as a trendy first-round leader and to hang around the top of the leaderboard all week.
Shane Lowry - $10,300
Shane Lowry has a bit of a mixed bag at the U.S. Open. He has teed it up nine times, missing the cut in three of those events. Although two of those missed cuts were in his first two attempts. He also has two top 10s. He finished T-9th at Chambers Bay in 2015 and T-2nd at Oakmont Country Club in 2016. Lowry is also as steady as they come, especially in majors.
Lowry is having a great season. He has made the cut in each of the last 10 tournaments with four top-10 finishes and three top-five finishes. He has also shown very well in each of the year's first two majors, finishing T-3rd at the Masters Tournament, and T-23rd at the PGA Championship.
Lowry doesn't show as elite in our three key indicators as Im, but he's still very solid. His best showing this week is in bogey avoidance where he currently sits in third, making bogey on just 11.94% of the holes he's played.
You'd like to see a little better driving accuracy from an above-average salary selection, as he sits in 54th at 63.64%. It is passable, however.
Lastly, it is a little disappointing to see a T-74th ranking next to his SG: around-the-green at .129 strokes gained per round. However, a hot putter can improve that (he's one of the world's best), and he's still gaining shots on the field here, so nothing to be overly concerned about.
I like a top-20 finish this week from Lowry.
Sam Burns - $10,500
I'm going with one of the hottest players on tour at the moment here; Sam Burns. Burns has played in three U.S. Open events and has yet to really show all that well. He missed the cut on his first try at Oakmont Country Club in 2016, finished T-41st in 2018 at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, and missed the cut last year at Torrey Pines Golf Course. I'm hoping he bucks the trend this week.
The number nine player in the official world golf rankings (OWGR) has been playing really well this season. He has three wins on the year and threatened last week for his fourth for the majority of the week before finishing T-4th. Although he has missed the cut twice in his last seven events, he has finishes of T-4th, 1st, T-20th, 2nd, and 1st in the other five events in that stretch.
Burns shows just OK overall in my three key indicators for the week. He is elite in bogey avoidance, ranking sixth, making bogey on just 12.55% of holes played.
He has struggled with the tee ball, however, ranking 117th, hitting just 59.63% of fairways. He's going to need to be solid off the tee this week.
Lastly, Burns is just 57th in SG: around-the-green, picking up .185 strokes per round on the field.
Rory McIlroy - $11,700
Normally, I avoid the previous week's winner in DFS, but I'm making an exception this week for Rory McIlroy. McIlroy has finished in the top 10 at the U.S. Open six times in 13 tries, including a win in 2011 at Congressional Country Club. The bottom line, he knows how to win and compete in this event.
He's also red hot. He's entered five events dating back to the Masters Tournament. He has finishes of 2nd, 5th, 8th, T-18th, and he won last week at the RBC Canadian Open. With a runner-up at the Masters Tournament and 8th at the PGA Championship, he's performed extremely well in the majors so far this season.
McIlroy is also very motivated by the LIV Tour right now as well as he took a shot at both Greg Norman and inaugural LIV winner Charl Schwartzel after his win in Canada last week.
— NUCLR GOLF (@NUCLRGOLF) June 12, 2022
Beyond the motivation and high-level play, McIlroy shows solidly in our key indicators for the week. He is currently 31st in bogey avoidance, making bogey on just 14.04% of holes played.
He is surprisingly just 112th in driving accuracy at 59.85%, but I expect water to find its level there.
And lastly, he is an impressive 17th in SG: around-the-green, picking up .392 strokes per round on the field.
I like McIlroy to give it a run for his second U.S. Open championship this week.
Check out Mark's U.S. Open Prop bets!