The good news this week is my 2022 PGA DFS: Valspar Championship FanDuel picks can't possibly face worse weather than last week at THE PLAYERS Championship. There was some serious bad luck involved for anyone who had to play in the Saturday weather. Unfortunately for my picks, three of my guys had to do that, and all three missed the cut.
This week's Valspar Championship will take place at Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead) as it has since 2000. The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook is a beast, and players will have to navigate the tricky Snake Pit. While the Copperhead Course has 18 holes worth of tight fairways and tricky greens, the Snake Pit is where the course really sinks its teeth in on holes 16, 17, and 18. Navigating the closing three holes will be paramount this week.
I'm going to change my strategy, slightly for this week's 2022 PGA DFS: Valspar Championship FanDuel picks. I will be using two strokes gained statistics - strokes gained: approach and strokes gained: putting. However, I won't be putting as much weight into those statistics as I normally do. I will be focusing more on recent form and past performances in this event.
2022 PGA DFS: Valspar Championship FanDuel Picks
Doc Redman - $8,400
Selecting Doc Redman this week is definitely not putting an emphasis on the two strokes gained categories. He is currently sitting in a solid 68th in strokes gained: approach the green. However, he is a putrid 142nd in strokes gained: putting.
Looking at recent form, Redman has performed solidly for someone who is in his salary range on FanDuel. He has made the cut in four out of the last five events he's entered, including a T26th in last week's conditions and with a deep field.
Redman didn't play in this event in 2019 and it was canceled due to COVID in 2020. However, he finished T39th last season. A top 40 finish from an $8,400 selection feels like a win if he can duplicate last season's finish.
Joel Dahmen - $8,800
Joel Dahmen is having a solid 2022 season. After back-to-back missed cuts at the Sony Open and the Farmers Insurance Open, Dahmen has made the cut in his last four events and finished T6th at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Last week, he was solid in tough conditions and finished T33rd.
Like Redman, Dahmen has been solid in the strokes gained: approach the green category, currently sitting at 56th. Dahmen has been average in the strokes gained: putting category. A good week last week vaulted him from 137th up to 101st going into this week.
Dahmen didn't play in this event last season but finished T30th in 2019. Due to the fact that he has had some success at Innisbrook, and he's in good form currently, I think he's an easy pick at his price point.
Bubba Watson - $9,900
Bubba Watson has played so sparingly this season that he doesn't even qualify for the strokes gained categories. He has made three out of four cuts this season and finished T9th at the QBE Shootout, T14th at the WM Phoenix Open, and T68th last week, despite playing on Saturday, where he fired a 78.
This pick is completely based on his past performances in this event. Watson finished T13th in 2021 and T4th in 2019.
Regarding the lack of rounds, Watson is experienced enough that it probably doesn't really matter for him, especially playing a course he's played well at historically.
Keegan Bradley - $10,000
Keegan Bradley was last year's runner-up at the Valspar Championship. He is also in great form currently. He's only missed one cut, and that was during the wrap-around portion of the schedule, back in November. Of the six tournaments, he's played in since he has made the cut in each one and has three top 15 finishes. Including each of the last two weeks.
He finished T11th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and finished solo fifth last week at THE PLAYERS Championship. He was even tied for the lead on Monday, on the back nine.
Looking at the two strokes gained categories, Bradley is following his career pattern in both. His ball-striking is, per usual, excellent. He is currently 26th in strokes gained: approach the green. His putting, per usual, stinks. He is currently 158th in strokes gained: putting.
I like Bradley's form and ball striking enough to where I think he can compete this week.
Matthew Fitzpatrick - $10,700
Although Matthew Fitzpatrick missed the cut last week, he got completely hosed by the weather. It was his first missed cut of the season and he was one of many big names that got put in the same predicament, dealing with 30 mile per hour winds on Saturday.
What I'm saying is last week was an outlier and Mother Nature always wins in the game of golf. He's still in great form and having a splendid year. Fitzpatrick has four top 12 finishes on the season in seven entered events.
His strokes gained categories also check out well. He is currently 20th in strokes gained: approach the green and 24th in strokes gained: putting.
There's also one other factor. Fitzpatrick's brother Alex is making his first PGA Tour start this week. I'm a sucker for added storylines in professional sports and I think Fitzpatrick bounces back this week in a big way.
Viktor Hovland - $11,900
Viktor Hovland is in splendid form at the moment. Despite making a charge on Monday at THE PLAYERS Championship and holding a share of the lead on the back nine, Hovland faltered slightly down the stretch and finished T9th. It's the worst finish in his last three tournaments. He finished T2nd the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and finished T4th at The Genesis Invitational.
Hovland has performed well at the Valspar Championship also. He finished T3rd last season.
His strokes gained statistics are also very impressive, as would be expected. Hovland is currently third in strokes gained: approach the green and 67th in strokes gained: putting.
I like for Hovland to compete at the top of the leaderboard again this week.
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