2022 PGA DFS: Wells Fargo Championship FanDuel Picks

by Tyler Marling
2022 PGA DFS: Wells Fargo Championship FanDuel Picks

For this week’s 2022 PGA DFS: Wells Fargo Championship FanDuel picks, the PGA Tour heads to somewhere other than Quail Hollow for just the second time in this event. TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm will play host for this week’s Wells Fargo Championship, a tough 7,100 yard Par-70 test.

TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm has only hosted a PGA Tour event two other times, the Quicken Loans National in 2017 and 2018, so this is a fairly unfamiliar course to the tour pros. What they’ll need this week is a bit of the opposite of last week. Instead of length off the tee, they’ll need accuracy. The first key indicator I’ll be looking at this week is driving accuracy percentage. Fairways are the name of the game at TPC Potomac.

The next key indicator we’ll be using to select our six guys is strokes gained: approach the green. Lastly, I’ll be looking at bogey avoidance.

2022 PGA DFS: Wells Fargo Championship FanDuel Picks

Ryan Armour – $8,200

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Last week, we went with a risky play in Wesley Bryan at $7,600 and that selection paid off as he sat comfortably in the top 15 until a 3-over 39 on the back 9 on Sunday dropped him down to a T33rd finish. I’m making a similar selection this week with Ryan Armour at just $8,200.

This selection is not based on Armour’s form in the least bit, but due to the fact that he shows really well in all three of our key indicators for the week. Armour has made just 5/10 cuts this year and missed the cut last week at the Mexico Open at Vidanta by two shots.

However, Armour ranks first on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy at 72.90%. He is currently T-70th in strokes gained: Approach the green and 14th in bogey avoidance. If I have nailed the key indicators for success for this week, Armour looks like the value play of the week in DFS.

Lucas Glover – $8,600

Unlike Ryan Armour, Lucas Glover is actually in halfway decent form. Though he and his partner missed the cut at the Zurich Classic, Glover has made the cut in 6 of his last 7 events and has a T18th at the Valero Texas Open in that stretch.

Glover shows well this week in our three key indicators as well. He is currently 14th in driving accuracy at 68.18 %. Glover has also been a solid iron and wedge player this season as he is currently 45th in strokes gained: Approach the green. He shows just ok in our last key indicator, however. Glover currently sits 107th in bogey avoidance.

If he has a consistent week and doesn’t yo-yo from hole to hole, I like Glover’s chances of competing for a top 20 finish.

Russell Knox – $8,900

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Russell Knox was a guy who was super consistent from the beginning of February all the way through the Valero Texas Open at the beginning of April. He entered seven tournaments in that span and made the cut in each one. He had a top finish of T6th at THE PLAYERS Championship.

Since then, Knox has entered three events. The RBC Heritage, where he missed the cut. The Zurich Class, where he and his partner finished T21st. Lastly, the Mexico Open at Vidanta, where he missed the cut. Needless to say, Knox is now in the midst of a cold stretch. I like him to bounce back this week.

Knox shows really well in our three key indicators. He is T18th in driving accuracy at 67.93 %. In strokes gained: approach the green, he currently sits in 20th. Lastly, Knox is 27th on the PGA Tour in bogey avoidance. This course sets up really well to Knox’s strengths and I’m expecting a solid performance from him.

Matt Kuchar – $9,900

After a T7th in his first tournament of the 2022 year at the Sony Open in Hawaii, Matt Kuchar went on a frigid stretch with missed cuts in three of his next four events and a T67th in the fourth.

Since then, however, Kuchar has found some game. He has entered three tournaments since his last missed cut and has finished T16th, T2nd, and T3rd. Now Kuchar heads to TPC Potomac, a course that matches up very well with his game.

Kuchar also shows very well in two of our three key indicators for this week. He is currently 50th in driving accuracy at 64.32%, above the PGA Tour average of 59.61. Kuchar is also second in bogey avoidance as it currently stands. However, he has struggled in the approach game. Kuchar is just T136th in strokes gained: approach the green. His excellent short game and scrambling are what has helped his bogey avoidance. I expect that to continue and I think Kuchar could be in line for another top 10 this week.

Abraham Ancer – $11,400

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Considering the fact that we haven’t touched the $10,000 FanDuel threshold for salary means we can essentially go in any direction with our final two picks. I’m banking on a bounce-back week for Abraham Ancer after a disappointing T42nd in his home country last week.

Like Kuchar and Knox, this course plays well to Ancer’s strengths and I give him a solid chance to win at TPC Potomac.

Although he has only missed four cuts on the season, Ancer’s rarely been in contention. He played really well in the Match Play event and recorded a T5th there, but he hasn’t had a T20 since the Hero World Challenge back in the wrap-around portion of the schedule in December.

Although he doesn’t show well in strokes gained: approaching the green at just 112th, Ancer has historically been a very good iron player, so that trait is in there somewhere. Ancer does show well in the other two key indicators for the week, however. He is currently 6th in driving accuracy at 69.35%, and T32nd in bogey avoidance.

Rory McIlroy – $12,100

Just to get it out of the way early, Rory McIlroy hasn’t played enough this season to qualify for statistical ranking. Since the turn of the calendar to 2022, McIlroy has only played in five events. He has finished T10th, T13th, T33rd, missed cut, and 2nd at The Masters after a splendid Sunday.

McIlroy also doesn’t necessarily match up with this course from a playstyle perspective. However, I expect him to overpower this short PGA Tour course and have a lot of short wedge shots in. Doing so will give him ample scoring opportunities.

With the somewhat weak field this week, I expect McIlroy to compete for the win, just as one of the world’s elites did last week in a weak field when Jon Rahm won in Mexico. Play McIlroy with zero doubt this week.

Check out Mark’s 2022 PGA DFS: Wells Fargo Championship Prop Bets

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