2022 PGA Tour: AT&T Byron Nelson Prop Bets Picks

by Mark Strausberg
2022 PGA Tour: AT&T Byron Nelson Prop Bets Picks

I have to hope that my 2022 PGA Tour AT&T Byron Nelson Prop Bets Picks do a lot better than my 2022 PGA Tour Wells Fargo Championship Prop Bets Picks. I took a beating last weekend and my apologies if your bets were limited to tailing my published picks.  And the worst part is we were so close with some of them, but as the saying goes, “horseshoes and hand grenades.”

So it looks a little worse, but here is our up to date ledger:

  • Balance Coming Into Last Week:  +19.3 Units
  • Units Wagered on Wells Fargo: 4.25 Units
  • Units Won (gross winnings):  0 Units
  • Net Profit YTD: +15.05 Units

I don’t want to waste a lot of time rehashing all the places I swung and missed, but suffice to say this week’s picks will definitely have a different flavor to them.

2022 PGA Tour: AT&T Byron Nelson Prop Bets Picks

Joohyung Kim Top 30 (+480 on FD) – Half Unit

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The odds on Kim are far better on FanDuel this week than DraftKings. In fact, there is a very good chance, I add a Joohyung Kim Top 20 and Top 40 to my bets as well. For now, we’ll just stick with the top 30.

Results don’t always translate directly from the Asian Tour to the PGA Tour, but Kim is absolutely tearing up the former. He is sitting a robust fourth place on that tour’s Order of Merit, thanks primarily to three top-fives in his last three starts. But he’s shown he can play here as well. He’s already cashed in five of seven PGA Tour events, including a T-15 in Puerto Rico early last year.

I’m not expecting the teen phenom to be in the hunt late Sunday afternoon. However, I think a Top 30 finish is definitely possible.

But we’re not done with FanDuel-specific bets, as I love the following bet under FanDuel’s Golf Special 3 section.

Any Three of Sam Burns, Joaquin Niemann, Talor Gooch, & WIll Zalatoris top 10 finish (+1800) – Quarter Unit

First off, any of these four golfers have the chops to win this thing as well as obviously a top-five finish. let alone one in the Top Ten.

Sam Burns easily, as he finished second here last year. Zalatoris finished two strokes out of the top ten last year. If he can simply get the flat stick to keep even with the field, he could easily win his first tournament this week in a runaway. Niemann already has a victory this year and is currently 12th in scoring average as well as 9th in SG: Tee to Green. Gooch might be the least proven of this group, but he brings with him the local angle. He’s used to the Texas breezes, but he also has an even better statistical profile than I realized. I was surprised to learn that he is leading the tour in eagles.  He’s also T-1 in par-3 scoring and T-4 in par-5 scoring. His T-19th in GIR is likely helping fuel those.

I could give you more reasons for each of these golfers. Instead, let’s just say I jumped at grabbing this bet. And my regular readers know I usually jump on at least one Nationality bet, so let’s jump to that next.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout Top South African (+270 on FD, +250 on DK) – Half Unit

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I’m only wagering half a unit on this bet as Dylan Fritelli, Charl Schwartzel, and Brendan Grace are all proven commodities amongst the half dozen options standing in the way of winning this bet. But I like CB to come through loud and clear this week.

For one, he’s a cut-maker having made 12 of 14 cuts this season. He’s also notched five Top 25 finishes this season amongst those made cuts. He’s also gained strokes tee to green at five of his last seven tournaments. It’s not a sexy bet, but it will do just fine.

But I guess it’s time to go big, so might as well go with an FRL bet.

Aaron Wise First Round Leader (+6000 on DK, +5500 on FD) – Quarter Unit

The fact that I’m wagering even a quarter of a unit on an FRL bet tells you how much I like this bet, especially on DraftKings. Despite finishing in 55th place last year, Wise fired an opening-round 64 here last year to miss out on the first-round lead by just one stroke.  Furthermore, Wise’s one tournament victory just so happens to be the Byron Nelson Championship that he won back in 2018. He obviously loves this tournament and can play it well. His putting is often a little shaky. Yet coming off a T-6 at the Mexico Open two weeks ago, he’s got enough potential to go low on Thursday. I like the value here.

After coming up empty on an aggressive week last week, we’ll throttle it back a bit this week with 1.5 units wagered. However, some of the bets are a little on the aggressive side, so it could be a big week. Good luck with your bets and let’s get that green!


Check out Tyler’s 2022 PGA DFS: AT&T Byron Nelson FanDuel Picks

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