I haven't been "feeling" it lately and therefore have been pretty conservative with my total units wagered. But I'm feeling good this week, so I'm raising the total units wagered, and you probably should pay close attention to my 2022 PGA Tour: Memorial Tournament Prop Bets Picks.
We just missed on our Jordan Spieth bets last week, but did, fortunately, hit on my conservative "must" bet.
Here is our up to date ledger:
- Balance Coming Into Last Week: +16.95 Units
- Units Wagered on PGA Championship: 2 Units
- Units Won (gross winnings): 0.88 Units
- Net Profit YTD: +15.83 Units
Returning to this week, there is something about The Memorial that like Jack Nicklaus himself, is simply great. The field is always stellar as players want to pay homage to the Hall of Fame golfer. But even just saying Hall Of Fame golfer somehow diminishes who Nicklaus is.
One of the very first jobs I had after I graduated was selling corporate hospitality to sporting events. And the event that I was working on was going to be Nicklaus' last major. I remember that distinctly because that often seemed to be the strongest selling point. Sure, the fact that Tiger Woods and Sergio Garcia would be competing was great, as well as the "five star" amenities we were offering, but the last chance to see Nicklaus play competitive golf was a huge drawing card. That's just the kind of awe and respect he had.
I know I will never have that kind of awe and respect, but maybe if I get all my picks right for the 2022 Memorial Prop Bets Picks this week, I might earn yours. Doubt it will happen, but let's give it a try!
2022 PGA Tour: Memorial Tournament Prop Bets Picks
I've said this before. I am not a big fan of FRL (first-round leader) bets, but I know they are popular. Since I do consider myself a "man of the people", I'm happy to give 'em what they want. So we'll start my 2022 Memorial Challenge Prop bets picks with an FRL.
Joaquin Niemann FRL Bet (+4100 on FD, +4000 on DK) - Quarter Unit
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Niemann has a knack for jumping out early. He has shot an opening round of under 70 in seven of his eight individual Tour events this year already. And while his finishes at Muirfield Village are less than sparkling, he did have a three-way opening round lead here back in 2018. Listed at no less than 40-1 payouts, that's some pretty decent value. If I am going to wager on an FRL, that's the first one I would do.
Obviously, Niemann is not one of my top choices to win this week. But let's talk about a few folks who are.
Winner - Quarter Unit Each
Jon Rahm (+1100)
Patrick Cantalay (+1700)
Colin Morikawa (+1900)
Xander Schauffele (+2100)
All of the odds listed above are interestingly on FanDuel as they were all listed higher than they were on DraftKings. I do like all four of these golfers to possibly be in the mix and bring home the victory this week.
Morikawa finished as a runner-up last year while Cantalay and Rham have the last three Memorial titles between them. And as "disappointing" as Rham has been, he is still number two in the OWGR (overall world golf rankings) and won a tournament as recently as the beginning of May. He also is still first in SG: Off the Tee and second in SG: Tee to Green.
Schauffele is rightfully the longest odds of the four, but he's currently 11th in the world, and with three top 20s here each of the last three years plus three top 15s in his last three tournaments, this feels like a good week to take a shot on the X man.
Looking for something that doesn't require a finish at the top? Consider the following:
Top 20 Finish - Quarter Unit Each
Corey Connors (+150 FD, +200 DK)
Bo Hoag (+1000 on FD, +1600 on DK)
Justin Lower (+1100 on FD, +1600 DK)
Jason Dufner (+1200 FD, +1600)
So if you are going to make any of these individual bets, make them on DraftKings. However, DK will not allow you to parlay them, so if you want to go really nuts, you can parlay them on FD, which you can't do on DK.
Either way, call this group of bets "playing the local angle".
Let's start with Jason Dufner, who I think many of us have to root for, right?
— Owie A-Gap (@opmcna) July 7, 2014
Ohio-born and bred, Duffner is far from sexy. He's coming in having missed his last six straight cuts. However, he is also a five-time PGA winner. That includes a Major victory in the PGA Championship back in 2013, and then in 2017, he won, you guessed it...the Memorial! No matter how well or poorly he is playing in a given season, he seems to play well at Muirfield. If you are looking for a long shot, there are few better this week than Dufner.
Lower and Hoag both have far fewer years on tour than Duffner. However, both not only were born in Ohio, but also both went to school in Ohio and currently live in Ohio. Both have a special place in their heart for the Memorial and will have the hometown crowd cheering them on.
Corey Connors meanwhile was neither born nor lives in Ohio but did attend Kent State in Portage County, Ohio. Of all those with local ties, he is the most likely to finish in the top 20. He has eight Top 25 finishes already this year and sixth in SG: Off the Tee.
And with the local angle nailed down, let's really expand our horizons with the return of the "3TP"(copyright pending)!
3-Tour Parlay - One Unit Total
Top 20 Jordan Spieth
Top 5 Tommy Fleetwood
Top 5 Jin Young Ko
(Quarter Unit on the whole Parlay and Quarter Unit Each on 2-leg RR)
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I actually hit a three-tour round-robin last week but was more conservative in my published bets last week. But I am feeling a little emboldened, so I'm gonna try it again and this time, I'll publish it.
Let's start with the Spieth piece as he is the only one playing the Memorial. I just don't trust Spieth and his putter to win this week. But do I think he can do enough to pull a top 20 out this week? His 8 of 9 made cuts that include half a dozen Top 20s here at Muirfield confirm it.
Fleetwood and Ko meanwhile are the favored for each of their tournaments. I have trouble taking Fleetwood to win, but Tommy Locks is often a Top-5 machine, including his recent T-5 finish at the loaded PGA Championship. The Porsche European Open won't have a field half as daunting and I suspect Fleetwood will find himself on the first page of the leaderboard. Meanwhile. Ko has never finished outside of the Top 25 at the Women's US Open, including a T-2 just two years ago. Currently 4th in CME Ranking and 1st in the Rolex Ranking, she's the favorite for a reason.
So, I've got it spread it out in lots of individual bets, but I'm wagering 3.25 units this week for my 2022 Memorial Prop Bets Picks. As always, follow me on Twitter, as I will likely post additional bets later in the week. In the meantime, good luck with your bets, and let's get that green!
Check out Tyler's Memorial Tournament FanDuel Picks!