The good news coming into the 2022 PGA Tour: RBC Heritage Prop Bets Picks is I returned to my winnings ways after a short two-week slump!
But I’m getting real sick of these various WDs. It is mucking up my multi-leg bets! More often than not, I don’t even have the player who withdrew, but because I have one of the golfers he is going against, it often voids that leg or overall bet. Sigh.
Here is the running tab:
- Balance Coming Into Week: +13.32 Units
- Units Wagered on Masters: 3.6 Units
- Units Won (gross winnings): 5.75 Units
- Net Profit YTD: +19.07 Units
Not too shabby, as we are averaging more than a unit of profit per week.
But let’s cut the victory lap short and get right to the RBC Heritage Prop Bets Picks.
2022 PGA Tour: RBC Heritage Prop Bets Picks
Shane Lowry, First Round Leader (+3700 FD, +2800 DK) – Tenth of a Unit
I’ll say it again–I’m not a big fan of first-round leader bets, but I know that many of you readers are. So I’m going Lowry here, whom I absolutely love this week in general. But let’s discuss first his FRL credentials. He was an FRL leader previously and has at least two top 5 finishes in the first round, so the potential is there.
Maverick McNealy Top 10 (+450 on DK, +350 on FD) – Half Unit; Maverick McNealy Top 20 (+200 on DK, +185 on FD) – Half Unit
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McNealy is my deep pick for the week. I know he’s having a decent season, but even I was surprised to see him currently at 25th in the FedEx Rankings. Some of that can be attributed to the fact that he’s made a dozen straight cuts. And a third of those have been Top 20 finishes. Despite not making it to the elimination rounds in the WGC Match Play, he also played really well during that week in late March and comes in well-rested. He had a T-4 here last year and is playing even better golf this year.
I like this bet a lot.
Cameron Smith, Shane Lowry, or Matthew Fitzpatrick to Win (+500 on DK) – Half Unit
We hit on this same type of bet last week, so I’m happy to go back to the well. I might change my mind later in the week. Yet currently, I am pretty confident that one of these three is your winner this week. I’ll keep it simple and give you a quick line for each.
-Cameron Smith finished with a T-9 last year after an opening-round 62. He’s currently fourth in GIR, first in putts per GIR, and tops on TOUR in adjusted scoring.
-Lowry is third in proximity and second in scrambling, two key stats for this week. He also has a T3 (2019) and T9 (2021) at Harbour Town.
-Fitzpatrick has a pretty sparkling record at Harbour Town. Since 2018, he’s 4-for-4 with a T-4 and two T-14s. He’s 5th in SG: Tee to Green and 1st in SG: Total.
Joaquin Niemann, Top South American Player (+120 DK) – One Unit; Joaquin Niemann Top Rest of the World Player (+900) – Quarter Unit
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Please note I also have half unit bets on Cameron Smith to be the Top Rest of the World Player on both DK and FD respectively (+430 on FD and +425 on DK) as well. But I tried to keep the headings cleaner, plus, I’ve already talked about Smith. But I like Niemann a lot this week as well.
Niemann is 12th in the FedEx, and 15th in the OWGR (Overall World Golf Ranking). Given that four other continents make up the majority of both of those rankings, think he might be able to finish as the top South American? Yeah, me too. But I also like him as a second option to Smith for the rest of the world prop bet as well. Niemann is 6th in both SG: Around The Green and SG: Tee to Green.
He’s 17th in SG total. Niemann also finished T-5 last time he played here. Take the easy top South American Player bet for an easy profit and hope it comes down to him and Smith for Top Rest of the World, as you will make a profit either way.
That will do it for the 2022 PGA Tour: RBC Heritage Prop Bets Picks for now, but follow me on Twitter (@MarkStrausberg) where I will likely post additional golf bet thoughts closer to tee time. Good luck and let’s get that green!
Check out my 2022 PGA DFS: RBC Heritage Picks!