I will apologize in advance that the 2022 PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Prop Bets Picks article is going to be one of my shortest prop bet picks articles this 2022 PGA season.
The reason is simple. I am out of town for a few days and I am presently in a state that does not allow online gambling. I won't even begin to unpack my soapbox on that. Regardless, it is therefore very unlikely that even back these picks with my own money like I usually do.
This could be a chicken/egg argument but I'm not able to research like I usually do either.
The irony of course is that I am coming off a profitable week. But not being able to keep my hot streak alive is just one of the many challenges I have this week. Our updated ledger now looks like this:
- Balance Coming Into Last Week: 20.6875 Units
- Units Wagered on RMC: 2.25 Units
- Units Won (gross winnings): 3.5 Units
- Net Profit YTD: +21.9375 Units
The tour moves to North Carolina this week for the Wyndham Championship. Here are three bets I'd likely wager if I was wagering this week.
2022 PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Prop Bets Picks
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Double Chance: Billy Horschel or Will Zalatoris to Win (+600 DK) - Half Unit
Shot shaping with @WillZalatoris 🤤 pic.twitter.com/C3IZQY5cqa
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) July 30, 2022
Tony Finau is taking this week off, so he can't win this week. I'm only mentioning that because Finau has now won two weeks in a row. That's a refreshing trend for one of the best guys on Tour. And not bad for a guy who seemed doomed (and unfairly criticized) for his "inability to win".
The reason I bring Finau up is I can't shake the feeling that we see another golfer who often seems to be the bridesmaid yet never the bride win one this week. Lots of golfers fit that description, but my gut says to go with Willy Z this week. The Wake Forest alumnus returns to North Carolina, where his season ended last year after finishing 29th here. All four rounds were 69 or lower.
I expect him to be in one of the final pairings come Sunday based upon his even stronger statistical profile this year. Zalatoris is 7th in Shots Gained: Total; 2nd in Shots Gained: Tee to Green; and 1st in Shots Gained Approaching the Green. He's also 9th on Tour in GIR, which I expect to be a key stat this week given the penal rough which is supposed to be nearly three inches high.
But given that Zalatoris is still chasing his first Tour win, I'll hedge it a bit with one of the chalkier favorites, Billy Horschel. He's made the cut here each of the last five times since 2016 and has four top dozen finishes, including a solo second. He's 20th in scoring average and I expect that ranking to jump after this week.
First Round Leader: Russell Henley (+4200 DK) - Quarter Unit
I like Russell Henley this week too, as he is currently 19th in scoring average and 10th in birdie or better percentage. And recall how I liked Zalatoris and his 9th on Tour in GIR? Henley is a far better putter, but an even more impressive 6th in GIR.
I do realize picking him to have a great week is not the same as picking him to be a first-round leader. But Henley has shot sub-70 in eleven of his last twelve rounds here. But I'm burying the lead. He led after the first three rounds here last year, especially after shooting a first-round leading 62! At 42-1, I'm willing to invest a quarter unit that he does it again this year.
Top Ten Finish: Kevin Kisner (+350) and Joohyung Kim (+350) - Half Unit Each
Kevin Kisner is a ball-striking machine. pic.twitter.com/sUHPZ9qnyj
— GOLF.com (@GOLF_com) July 6, 2017
We have two different golfers at the same payout for a top ten finish who couldn't be less similar. Kim is only 20 years old and if he wants to play in the FedEx Cup playoffs he has to win here this week. But he's coming off an impressive final round score of 63, which gave him his second top ten just in the month of July. He will obviously be playing this tournament for the first time but with his card secured for next year, the pressure is off. Currently an eye-opening 34th in OWGR (Overall World Golf Ranking), I like Kim to finish inside the top 30 this year and a top ten this week will go a long way in doing so.
While Kim is just starting his career, Kisner is a 38-year-old veteran who is much closer to playing on the Champions Tour. But unlike Kim, Kisner is quite experienced with this course. He grew up and went to school in ACC country. Yet unlike Kim, already finds himself in the Top 30 of the OWGR. But again, I'm building up. His history here is phenomenal. He is a perfect 7-for-7 with four top tens. His recent history is particularly impressive with a scoring average of less than 66 in his last eight rounds here. And there's something else to mention...oh, I don't know, perhaps that....he's the defending champion!
Wouldn't surprise me if either one of these two very different golfers won this week. However, I'll play it safe and take them each to finish it in the top ten.
That will do it for the 2022 PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Prop Bets Picks. Follow me on Twitter (@MarkStrausberg) to see what other bets I might be contemplating. In the meantime, good luck with your bets, and let's get that green!
Check out Tyler's Wyndham Championship FanDuel PGA DFS Picks!
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