The 2022 PGA Tour: Zurich Classic Prop Bets Picks will not be like any other week. It is the one week where we are betting on pairs of golfers instead of individual golfers. But before we get into that, let’s look at this week’s running tab:
- Balance Coming Into Week: +19.07 Units
- Units Wagered on RBC Heritage: 2.75 Units
- Units Won (gross winnings): 2.2 Units
- Net Profit YTD: +18.52 Units
Unfortunately, we had a losing week, losing about half a unit. The damage wasn’t too bad and we were achingly close on so many of our bets. Maverick McNealy just missed the top 20, coming in a 9-way tie for 26th place. We were also very high on Lowry who came up short and finished T-3. They still count as losses on our running ledger, but I still believe in the thought process.
This week being the Zurich Classic, however, some of the usual types of bets I like to make are not available. For example, there will not be any nationality bets. Secondly, no make/miss cut bets were available as of submission time. Therefore, I can’t make my usual “fade” pick either.
Fortunately, there are still some options left. Here are my 2022 PGA Tour: Zurich Classic Prop Bets Picks for this week.
2022 PGA Tour: Zurich Classic Prop Bets Picks
Hovland/Morikawa, Cantlay/Schauffele, and Palmer/Scheffler to Win (+200 on DK) – One Unit
To be honest, I hate this bet. I’m really hoping for one of the other pairs to win and +200 doesn’t really feel enticing. Yet I would be extremely torn given the choice of the field or one of these three pairs. I don’t really like the taste, but I’m gonna eat the chalk here. Let’s go through each option in reverse order.
Scheffler and Palmer
Scottie Scheffler is easily the best golfer currently on The PGA Tour. Period. Ryan Palmer meanwhile finds a way to consistently attract the top player to partner with at this tournament. And it helps explains why he has three top-tens here, including a Zurich Classic win. My suspicion is that this Texas duo looms big at TPC Louisiana this week.
Cantlay and Schauffele
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Patrick Cantlay finished last week atop the leaderboard, albeit tied with Spieth for the lead, only to lose in the playoff. Cantlay consistently remains unfazed so he should bounce right back and last week’s near victory showed his current form. Currently 10th on the FedEx and 4th in OWGR, he could probably carry this team by himself. However, two of the weaker parts of Cantlay’s game are driving distance and sand saves, where he finds himself outside of the top 70 in both. Enter Xander Schauffele, who is top 30th in Driving Distance and 2nd in Sand Saves. Despite a “down year”, Schauffele still finds himself #12 in OWGR.
Hovland and Morikawa
Viktor Hovland and Colin Morikawa meanwhile have consistently been linked since turning pro at the same time and know each other well. Ignoring the benefit of the chemistry that the two, they are ranked third and second respectively in the Official World Golf Rankings. It is the highest-ranked duo since the tournament went to a two-man team format in 2017. Believe the hype.
And since we are going fairly conservative with this bet, we’ll go super aggressive with our next bet, the return of the 3TP!
Three Tour Parlay: Hovland/Morikawa to win; Jin Young Ko to win; and one of Bernd Weisberger/Rasmus Hojgaard/Adri Arnaus (+112950) – Quarter Unit Each
So here’s the deal on this one. I’ve already given you the reasons to take the Hovland/Morikawa pair. The 26-year-old phenom Jin Young Ko, who was the 2020 Money Title Winner and 2021 Rolex player of the year, has already won this year despite playing just three tournaments on the LPGA. And oh, did I mention she’s currently the #1 player in the Rolex Rankings (similar to the FedEx Rankings)? She’s a prohibitive favorite, with odds nearly 2.5x lower than the next closest competitor.
FanDuel meanwhile is picking a three-horse race on the European Tour this week with Weisberger, Rasmus Hojgaard and Adri Arnaus all listed at +1800 to win. I like Arnous the most and if you’re going to make just one bet, he’s the pick, as he ranks above both Weisberger and Hojgaard in scoring average and total strokes gained. But I will be making identical bets with Hojgaard and Weisberg as well.
We are not done with three-leg parlays, however.
Tournament 3-Ball Match-ups: Laird/MacIntyre; Burns/Horschel; Riley/Zalatoris (+2094 DK) – Half Unit
Yup, we are wagering just 2.25 units total this week. Other than the first conservative bet, however, we are wagering a little to win a lot. So why do I like these three pairs over each of the other two pairs that DraftKings has pitted them against? Let’s break them down one by one. Let’s start with Davis Riley and Will Zalatoris.
Davis Riley and Will Zalatoris
Riley is very under-the-radar, which is fine by me as it helps gives us some decent odds at +185 just for that leg. Zalatoris meanwhile is first in SG: Tee to Green and well as second in SG: Approaching the Green which helps explain why he is an impressive 12th on Tour in SG: Total. It’s why he’s made eight straight cuts and has three top tens already this year. Zalatoris could win this tourney by himself. The issue with Zalatoris is often the putter as he is actually losing shots in that category. Riley is a respectable 42nd in putting average, which can only help.
Sam Burns and Billy Horschel
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Sam Burns is having a very strong year. He is currently ranked 3rd in the FedEx Rankings. He won the Valspar Championship in late March for his second win in his last 14 tournaments. But Billy Horschel is no slouch either. Horschel won this event back in 2013 when it was individuals, but he also won it in pair-play in 2018. Furthermore, he and Burns played together last year and finished a strong T-4.
Martin Laird and Robert MacIntyre
The 39-year-old Laird meanwhile is quietly having a decent season. He is coming off a T-29 at the recent Valero Open. He is Top 25 in SG: Tee to Green as well as SG: Approaching the Green. Given his age, he’s a very respectable 50th in SG: Off the Tee. Like Zalatoris however, Laird’s putting has put a damper on his productions. However, he’ll be playing with fellow Scottsman, Robert MacIntyre.
MacIntyre plays predominantly on the European Tour, but in his four starts stateside this year he has yet to finish lower than 35th. He doesn’t have enough rounds to qualify for most PGA Tour statistics, but he is one of the better putters on the European Tour. He is 16th or better in four of the five major putting categories. And MacIntyre happens to be second on the European Tour in par-3 scoring. That will come in very handy on the Par-3 9th hole, one of the more difficult holes on this course.
No question this is an aggressive bet. Yet I feel strangely confident making it. Perhaps you should too.
That will do it for the 2022 PGA Tour: Zurich Classic Prop Bets Picks for now, but follow me on Twitter (@MarkStrausberg) where I will likely post additional golf bet thoughts closer to tee time. Good luck and let’s get that green!
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