Welcome to the 2023 Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 3-12-23.
We are in the middle of fantasy baseball draft season and if you are like me. You have not one, not two, but most likely multiple slow drafts in progress. If not, I am sure you have a draft or two that you are planning and prepping for and doing a ton of research.
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2023 Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 3-12-23
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Garrett Mitchell, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
The former 20th overall pick has been making strides as of late. The 24-year-old outfielder in the Brewers organization. He has not only top-tier speed but his power is starting to show out.
Mitchell has always had the speed. Displayed by his 28 SB at UCLA and then back-to-back 17 SB seasons in the minors in 2021 and 2022. Then went a perfect eight for eight in stolen base attempts in 28 games with Milwaukee for a total of 25 SB across all levels in 2022.
While I would admittedly like to see more power. However, he did have two home runs in 28 games with Milwaukee in 2022. He also hit 19 doubles in 96 games across all levels in 2022.
Garrett also has an advanced hit tool. He doesn't strike out a ton, he puts the ball in play and gets on base at a high mark. Garrett was a .300+ hitter at UCLA and continued that success marked by his career .273 batting average in the minors.
So far this spring Garrett is showing us that he belongs in the majors. He has a slash line of .333/.333/.889 with three home runs and six runs batted in. Including a muti-homerun game. While he did suffer a hamstring injury this past week, hopefully, it's just minor.
Garrett Mitchell - Milwaukee Brewers (2)* pic.twitter.com/VxTPk2PIiz
— MLB HR Videos (@MLBHRVideos) February 25, 2023
As of right now, Mitchell is set to open the 2023 season as the Brewer's starting center fielder so we get to see what he does with a full season of at-bats. I would be buying Garrett Mitchell where possible.
Chris Bassitt, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jay's newly acquired right-hander is coming off a career year in 2022, and the time to sell Chris Bassitt is upon us. In 2022 Chris Bassitt at age 33 threw his career high in innings with 181 IP and started a career-high 30 games.
Even in a career year in 2022 Chris still saw a dip in his swing-and-miss skills. His K/9 dipped below a strikeout per nine and his strikeout rate fell by 3%. While his strikeout rate is also below the league average. While also only having an 11% swinging strike rate which was outside the top 100 of starting pitchers and below the MLB league average.
Bassitt also saw his HR/FB% rate grow to over 10% and his 11% was in the top 20 worst among all qualified pitchers in 2022. He also doesn't induce groundballs at a high rate, as he only has a career 44GB% rate. Whereas the more dominant pitchers sit in the 45-50% range.
A few things that have me concerned going forward are that he now calls the AL East home compared to the NL East. So the competition will be tougher in the AL East and the full American League.
Another issue that may end up being minor but his velocity is already down this spring. Which for a pitcher that doesn't have high-end velocity and normally sits mid to low 90s is a red flag. In his first spring game, he was down anywhere from four to seven miles per hour, which is.... concerning. Then in his next start, he was down two to four miles per hour again.
Again while the down velocity may just be an effect from just getting started throwing and getting ready to ramp up. It is something that has my attention and should have yours as well.
After a career year and seeing his value rise over the offseason. He is someone I am fading in fantasy leagues and a starting pitcher that I am lower on than most others.
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