2023 Dynasty Baseball Trade Target: Hunter Renfroe

by Josh Stevens
2023 Dynasty Baseball Trade Target: Hunter Renfroe

No matter what uniform some players end up in, they just end up producing. If four teams let this kind of player go, he'll continue with his production with his fifth team. On that note, I'm going to tell you about another 2023 Dynasty Baseball Trade Target: Hunter Renfroe.

Just like his name counterpart, Raiders Pro Bowl wide receiver Hunter Renfrow, Renfroe continues to be perpetually underrated in both real life and fantasy. Despite blasting 31 homers en route to a .816 OPS and an ALCS berth with the Red Sox in 2021, Boston GM Chaim Bloom inexplicably shipped Renfroe out to Milwaukee for a return centered around struggling Jackie Bradley Jr.

What did Renfroe do with his new team? Just put up his highest WAR of his  (2.7), best OPS (.824) and best OPS+ (126) of his career. He narrowly missed out on his third 30 homer season of his career, belting 29 bombs in only 125 games for the Brewers. In fact, Renfroe has never hit below 26 homers in a full season in his career, with his first full season being in 2017.

Just last week, Renfroe was traded again, this time to LA. While starting with a new team is always tough, Renfroe has to be used to it, and may even welcome wearing a new uniform by now.

Credit: Baseball-Reference

The move to the Angels makes them Renfroe's fifth team in the last five years. While a popular thought may be that Renfroe isn't good enough to stick around for one team, that simply isn't the case.  Renfroe strictly produces wherever he is at, and this trend shouldn't change with the Angels.

2023 Dynasty Baseball Trade Target: Hunter Renfroe

Much like how MLB teams are trading for Renfroe just about every offseason, you should trade for him in your dynasty leagues.

You will start to see a pattern in the players I like to target in fantasy. Consistent power is key. Last week, I wrote about Trevor Story, who despite having a very up-and-down last couple of years has displayed the ability to hit 20-30 homers a year, and has done so since 2017. The same stat line applies to Renfroe, who has also hit 25+ homers in every full year of his career.

Batting average can be altered by an unlucky BABIP, while team tendencies can slow down a player's steal attempts. However, power usually stays true, with a player usually only losing power late in their career. Renfroe is 30, so that shouldn't be a concern for a few years.

The move to the Angels also helps out Renfroe in a few different ways. First, Baseball Savant has Angel Stadium as the fifth most hitter-friendly ballpark in the MLB. This is an improvement from American Family Field in Milwaukee, which comes in tied with five other teams for 11th.  This allows for a few more homers on would-be deep flyouts.

Another reason that Renfroe's production will increase is the talent around him. The Brewers lineup was very mediocre this past year, as their most common lineups included Michael Brosseau leading off and a shell of his prime Andrew McCutchen hitting cleanup or fifth. Renfroe was often hitting cleanup for the Brew Crew, and was often counted on to one of "the guys" in the lineup.

Renfroe won't have to worry about the same problems in Anaheim. While the Brewers have had more recent success in the standings, the Angels are loaded with firepower on offense. You may have heard of Mike Trout or Shohei Ohtani a time or two... million. In fact, the Angels lineup is so deep that All-Star first baseman Jared Walsh is projected to hit 7th.

The incredible talent around Renfroe only helps him. No longer does Renfroe have pressure to always be one of the guys coming up with the clutch hits. Renfroe will also see a lot of runners in scoring position, as he's hitting behind 4-star hitters (Trout, Ohtani, Rendon, Ward). The change in park, along with Renfroe's improved teammates makes it very possible for Renfroe to push 30-35 homers and 85-95 RBIs.

Plus, who can keep an arm like this out of the everyday lineup?

Who Will You Have To Give Up For Renfroe?

Surprisingly, not that much. Our F6P crew just completed a mock draft where I was able to snatch Renfroe in the 11th round. There is usually a strong correlation between ADP and offseason trade value. If Renfroe's ADP is near that low, his trade value won't be too high either.  A couple of prospects from your dynasty stash and a middling arm should get the trade done.

Renfroe ranked 34th in FantasyPros's ROS outfield rankings, behind guys like Cody Bellinger and Kris Bryant. While I'm not knocking those two players, neither has put up numbers like Renfroe in a few years. This reflects the public perception of Renfroe, who is very underrated by an accurate analyst. This lowers his trade value even more, allowing you to really buy low on Renfroe.

Final thoughts

While the "elite" group in the MLB is filled with outfielders like Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, Mike Trout and more. Outfield has been very top-heavy and thin throughout my early 2023 mocks. Trading for an underrated stud like Renfroe could be just the league winner you were looking for.


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