2023 Fantasy Baseball Hitting Planner (7/14-7/23)

by Jason Beckner
2023 Fantasy Baseball Hitting Planner (7/14-7/23)

Welcome to the 2023 Fantasy Baseball Hitting Planner (7/14-7/23). We've got some good news too. This week's Hitting Planner is going to be completely free. If you like what you see, sign up to be a member today and use promo code ALLSTAR to save 15%.

This past week was the MLB All-Star Break and signifies the halfway point of the season. The problem is the break is always Monday through Thursday and causes a weird short week for Fantasy leagues that are weekly lineup locks.

There are really only two options in this scenario. One you have a three-game short week, which is generally not ideal since most teams might have pitchers that won't even make a contribution. However, it might be the only solution depending on your league's settings.

The second option is to combine the three games this week into next week and create a large week where teams are playing anywhere from eight to ten games. While the counting stats might be larger than normal. The long week allows for a more equal outcome in weekly leagues, as all pitchers and hitters can make an impact.

The larger week combined week is generally the consensus answer when it comes to the All-Star Break week. This is the approach I took this week when writing this week's hitting planner.

2023 Fantasy Baseball Hitting Planner (7/14-7/23)

MLB Schedule (7/14-7/23)


Teams to Target

Atlanta Braves

The Braves are an offensive juggernaut led by their superstars. They are top three in runs scored and only one run short of 500 runs. Only the Rangers and Rays have more than 500 runs scored this year. The Braves are averaging over 5.5 runs a game which is the second most in the league.

The Braves will play six games at home this week, and the Braves are a great offensive team at home. Their 82 HR at home are the most home runs at home in all of baseball. Furthermore, they have scored 257 of their 499 runs at home this year.

Keep playing all your Braves hitters this week and they continue to provide elite offensive production.

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia has really started to turn things around offensively as of late. In the past 30 days, they have scored 117 runs which rank as the 11th most, and their .745 OPS rank in the top half of the league in that same time span.

In the past 15 days, they played even better. They have hit 17 HR which is the fifth most in the last 15 days. While their .768 OPS ranks in the top 10 in that same time span.

They will play seven games at home this week, and that's good news. Citizens Bank Park (CBP) ranks slightly above average and is the 11th-best park when it comes to Statcast Park Factor. Also, CBP ranks as the 8th best park for home runs.

While the pitching matchups look hard on paper, I think the Phillies continue to produce solid numbers this week.

Team to Avoid

Pittsburgh Pirates

After getting off to a hot start, the Pirates have slowly been struggling as an offense. The Pirates are only one of ten teams that have not scored 400 runs yet this year, and they are the 5th worst with only 379 runs scored in 90 games. That equates to only 4.2 runs per game, and that number is inflated thanks in part to a strong first couple of months.

In the past 30 days, they have only scored 96 runs in 26 games, which is down to only 3.7 runs per game. Furthermore, they have only hit 21 HR in the past 30 days which ranks in the bottom four of the league.

They will have to face the Giants, the Angels, and the Guardians, all of which rank in the top half of the league in team ERA. Cleveland and San Fransisco allow less than four runs and rank in the top 10 of team ERA. Sit your Pirates hitters this week.

Players to Target

Sean Murphy, C, Atlanta Braves

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I don't often recommend a catcher as they are as useful as a tight end in fantasy football. However, Murphy is a special talent. Since He was traded over to Atlanta Murphy has really broken out. We are essentially halfway thru the year and Murphy is only one home run shy of his career-high and 11 shy of a career-high in RBI.

He has also performed very well at home this year so far, displayed by his 1.030 OPS at home. Luckily for Murphy's owners, he will have six home games this week. In the first week and a half in July Murphy has had enormous power. He has hit 3 HR and owns an eye-popping 1.111 SLG%.

He has been the second-best catcher so far in July behind only Fransisco Alvarez. I would continue to ride Murphy this week even in shallow one-catcher leagues.

Alec Bohm, 1B/3B, Philadelphia Phillies

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Bohm has been one of the better hitters over the past 15 days. He was slashing .357/.413/.571 giving him the always sought-after 3/4/5 slash line. He has also hit two home runs and driven in 10 in that same time span. In the past 15 days, Bohm ranks as the 6th-best first baseman and the 8th-best third baseman

Since returning from the IL on June 11th, Bohm has 3 HR, 14 R, and 20 RBI! With a 119 wRC+. His 20 RBI in that time span are the 10th most among all qualified hitters, and 5th most among first baseman, and the second most among all third baseman.

Bohm's hot bat will continue to swing a hot bat in this extended week.

Josh Naylor, 1B, Cleveland Guardians

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From one hot swinging first baseman to another. Naylor has really been a bright spot in the Clevland lineup so far in 2023. His 64 RBI at the all-star break is the fifth most among all qualified hitters and the second most by a first baseman behind only Matt Olson.

Naylor also gets to face, Pittsburgh, Texas, and Philadelphia all of who have a team ERA above 4.00, and should give Naylor another excellent week for RBI and HR totals.

Cody Bellinger, 1B/OF, Chicago Cubs

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When the Cubs took a chance on the former MVP, and so far in 2023 the gamble is paying off. Bellinger has 9 HR and 11 SB in 58 games, which puts him on pace for a 20/20 season. Which he has never done in his career.

This week the Cubs not only get the full 10 games, but all 10 games are at home. Wrigley Field currently ranks as the 10th best hitter's park according to Statcast Park Factor. It plays even better in the middle of summer when the weather is hot and humid.

The Cubs face off against the Cardinals, Nationals, and Red Sox all of which have a team ERA above 4.33. That ranks in the bottom half of the league and both the Cardinals and Nationals team ERA are north of 4.50 and rank in the bottom 5 of the league.

Deep League Targets

Player to Avoid

Anthony Rizzo, 1B, New York Yankees

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First, Rizzo has seen his power go entirely out the window. He currently only has 11 HR, however, he hasn't hit a home run since May 20th. That was two months ago! Since he has also only hit seven extra-base hits giving him a 0.64 ISO, .270 SLG, and a 66 wRC+.

He also ranks in the bottom half of the league in many of the advanced power stats. Including Hard Hit Rate, Barrell Rate, and xSLG.

While teams have yet to release their rotation order for past the all-star break. All three of the Yankees, opponents (COL, KC, LAA) have a combined six left-handed starters so Rizzo will have his hands full. Rizzo only has one of his 11 home runs against lefties.

You most likely have a better option for first base, even in deeper leagues.

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