2023 Fantasy Baseball Week 3 Stock Up-Stock Down

by Matthew Rosser
2023 Fantasy Baseball Week 17 Stock Up-Stock Down

Welcome to the 2023 Fantasy Baseball Week 3 Stock Up-Stock Down article!

This series is meant to highlight players who are performing outside of their norm throughout the season. Great or ghastly, the goal is to attune you to players to pursue and alert you to players to drop. May it be on the waiver wire, FAAB, or a good ole fashioned buy low/sell high trade.

We're almost to a point where we can start making some real assessments based on the on-field product.  It may be only April, but there has been thre has already been a ton of activity that could have an impact in September. As always, I'll keep it reasonable, but there may be some slight blatant overreactions below.

Now, without further ado, let's hop into the 2023 Fantasy Baseball Week 3 Stock Up/Stock Down list!

2023 Fantasy Baseball Week 3 Stock Up-Stock Down

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Brett Baty, 3B, New York Mets

After fielding the most expensive roster in baseball,  up until last Sunday, the Mets still had a glaring hole at third base in Eduardo Escobar.  Even though we got a peek of the future last year when Brett Baty made a brief cameo for the MLB club, Billy Eppler and company opted to have Baty open the year in Triple-A Syracuse. In the first 14 games of the season, Escobar hit .125/.173/.229 while Baty absolutely feasted on Triple-A pitching.

The future is now Mets fans.  Baty made his 2023 debut on Monday and recorded his first hit and RBI of the campaign.  He is playing predominantly against righties as of now, but it won't be long before he's a regular in the heart of the lineup.  He profiles as a plus hitter with 20 home run power and above average runs and RBI contribution. Do what you can to get Baty on your team, particularly in dynasty leagues; Queens has a new prince.

Jarred Kelenic, OF, Seattle Mariners

Yes, this is yet another article about Jarred Kelenic's recent mini-breakout. Well, buckle up buttercup, because some people have been waiting three years to take this victory lap.

Kelenic was the next big thing all the way back in 2021.  When he got called up in May, the fantasy world was expecting a potential five-category player.  To say that Kelenic under-delivered would be kind.  He spent the rest of the next two years bouncing between the majors and triple-A, seeming destined to be a quad-A player.

Here we are, two weeks into the season, and oh, how the mighty have risen.  Kelenic is on fire, hitting .333/.393/.667 with four homers, three steals, and a 198 WRC+.  Obviously this pace wont keep up, but if Kelenic can maintain 75% of this production, he could be a league winner.

There is probably too much inherent stink on Kelenic to get a good return selling him, so it's probably best to just take the found money and run.  However, if there is a recovering Kelenic owner who is trying hard to relapse, try and move him for a less volatile piece.

Mason Miller, SP, Oakland Athletics

The A's may be one of the worst teams in the league, but that means they can only bring up better players, right?

Well, that's the hope with Mason Miller.  The 24-year-old has only played in eleven professional games since being drafted in 2021, but he has delivered every single time.  Miller has a three digit fastball that he has managed to ride to a prolific strikeout rate at every stop.https://twitter.com/CodifyBaseball/status/1647071959539388416?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

Miller will make his first start today against the Cubs.  Regardless how it goes, he will stay in the rotation, and he should also stay on your roster.  It may be ugly at first, but give him a chance to settle in a bit. Miller has displayed good command in his limited outings, and should be a major strikeout contributor down the line.

Stock Down

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Jose Abreu, 1B, Houston Astros

Jose Abreu has been one of the most consistent players of the last decade.  He has turned in a WOBA of at least .340 every single season since he broke into the league.  Pairing him with one of the most hitter friendly parks and one of most talented lineups in the league in the Houston Astros sounds almost unfair on paper.

Abreu has always started slow, he hit .217 the first month of 2022, but he has always had his power to fall back on.  So far in 2023, Abreu is slashing .239/.280/.282.  He has zero home runs and just three extra base hits in 71 at-bats.  The former MVP has historically been a "close your eyes" guy. A player you can just pencil in stats for, and at the end of the season, one way or another, he finishes in the ballpark.

His track record makes Abreu an excellent buy low target, but there is still a good chance father time has finally caught up to the 36-year-old. Stashing Abreu on the bench may be the best course of action for now.

Triston Casas, 3B, Boston Red Sox

Casas has long been annointed the next great Red Sox prospect, but the learning curve has been steep so far.  Batting just .146/.222/.333 over the first 16 games, the 23-year-old is taking longer than is ideal to adjust to big league pitching.

Casas was drafted as a starting corner infielder, but he is better off on your bench for the time being.  He is going to keep getting playing time, so he is likely to figure it out, but the 30% strikeout rate needs to come down and his average needs to start with a two before he can be expected to contribute.

The Red Sox have been snakebit in developing prospects since Raphael Devers broke out.  Michael Chavis is now a journeyman and poor Bobby Dalbec hasn't done a great job of showing he's a better option than Casas. If there is a diehard Red Sox fan in your league, they may want to buy "low" on him, but I would take what you can get for now.

Ezequiel Tovar, SS, Colorado Rockies

It was unlike the Rockies to bequeath the starting shortstop spot to one of their best prospects, but thats exactly what they did with Tovar for 2023.  After making a brief appearance in 2022 in which he less than dazzled, he entered spring training as the only shortstop on their 40-man roster.

The 21-year-old displayed excellent contact and defensive skills in the minors, and that's what was expected to buoy his transition to the majors.  Unfortunately for Colorado and Tovar owners alike, his poor plate discipline and poor quality of contact have led to an overall offensive outage.

Tovar's 27 WRC+ and a .519 OPS are just not going to get the work done in a fantasy context. As nice as it would be to see Tovar turn it around, there is nothing in his offensive profile that supports a turnaround.  He is safe to move on from for now.

Thanks for reading the 2023 Fantasy Baseball Week 3 Stock Up-Stock Down. Be sure to check out more Fantasy Baseball content from the F6P team!

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