Welcome back fantasy nerds, this time for the 2023 Fantasy Football Overrated players. This doesn't have to do that much with the player's talent, but the ADP they are currently being drafted at.
We will be using our friends at Sleeper, for their ADP. It is now my job to find the next Jonathan Taylor, Deebo Samuel, and Gabe Davis, all guys who underperformed where they were drafted last season. Now, let us jump right into the 2023 Fantasy Football overrated players to get you ready for this draft season that has just under two weeks left.
2023 Fantasy Football Overrated Players
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Deshaun Watson, QB, Cleveland Browns (ADP 87.8 QB10)
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The Quarterback position is the hardest position to find someone who is overrated. However, I went with Deshaun Watson who looked abysmal finishing the season last year.
In three of the five games, Watson played after being suspended he finished as QB14 or worse in three of those games. I get it, he was shaking the rust off after sitting out more than a season and a half. He also only rushed for over 25 yards in two of those five games as well. Watson's use of his legs was a huge part of why he finished as a top-5 quarterback in 2019 and 2020.
This season I expect the Browns to rely heavily on their running game behind a great offensive line and Nick Chubb. In the past two seasons under head coach Kevin Stefanski, the Browns ranked fifth and sixth in run plays per game. I expect that to stay around the same. I am avoiding Watson at his ADP and would rather wait for at the quarterback position.
Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets (ADP 35.8 RB14)
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This ADP blew my mind when I saw it as it was updated on August 23rd. Breece Hall is still going as the RB14 off the board. Okay, not only is he coming off of an ACL injury that happened in Week 7 but he is also in a running back by committee after the team signed Dalvin Cook.
I believe Cook still has enough left in the tank to be just an irritant for Hall owners. In the last three games, Hall started and finished he saw 17, 18, and 20 carries. With Dalvin Cook now in town I question how much work Breece Hall will see. It is in the realm of possibility that Hall only gets 12-15 total touches a game. That is not great for someone who is going in the first three rounds of fantasy drafts.
If I am taking a running back in that position I am taking someone like Aaron Jones. Jones is also in an RBBC but we know for a fact he can give you RB1 numbers as he has done in the last two seasons.
Kenneth Walker, RB, Seattle Seahawks (ADP 42.8 RB17)
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On draft night when the Seattle Seahawks drafted Zach Charbonnet in the second round, it sent a shockwave through the fantasy football industry. Not because Charbonnet is a bad prospect or anything, but because we saw Kenneth Walker break out in his rookie season.
Walker was one of the most explosive running backs in all of football last season. He finished third in the NFL with 17 breakaway runs and was eighth in the NFL in breakaway run rate as well. Unfortunately, his downside was that he was not very efficient with his touches. He ranked 38th amongst running backs in true yards per carry and 40th in fantasy points per touch according to playerprofiler.com.
If I had to choose between who I would rather have at ADP, I would take Charbonnet every time later in drafts. Walker is going too high in drafts for me. He will have some solid weeks because he has the opportunity to break a big run, however, I believe he will lack consistency which could kill your lineup as a borderline RB1.
I would rather have Dameon Pierce, Miles Sanders, and Cam Akers over Kenneth Walker this season and they are all going after him.
Davante Adams, WR, Las Vegas Raiders (ADP 15 WR8)
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Alright, so I already expect this one to make people who are reading this very unhappy. But I really am that nervous about the quarterback play for the Las Vegas Raiders.
Jimmy Garoppolo is coming off of offseason surgery and is a definite downgrade for this Raiders offense. In this offense, Davante Adams was more of a deep threat playing with Derek Carr last season. Adams ranked first in air yards, and second in targets and deep targets. The last time we saw Jimmy healthy and play a full season he ranked 24th in air yards and air yards per attempt. He ranked 28th in deep ball completion percentage.
Garoppolo and Derek Car are polar opposites. Plus, it doesn't help that Derek Carr and Adams were good friends and one of the main reasons Adams wanted to play in Vegas. Adams is a stellar player, but it is going to take some adjusting to the new quarterback.
Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers (ADP 37.4 WR16)
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If you have listened to any content over on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube channel you already know how I feel about Deebo Samuel. I will keep this simple, If Deebo isn't seeing carries, he should not be being drafted as a WR2 in fantasy football.
After Week 10 of last season, Samuel never saw over four carries in any game. From Weeks 10-14 Samuel finished worse than WR23 in four of those five games. In 2021 when we saw Samuel breakout he rushed for eight touchdowns. With Christian McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell in this backfield, Deebo will not score eight touchdowns again.
I firmly believe that Brandon Aiyuk will outscore Samuel this season. Samuel is going ahead of guys like Keenan Allen, Amari Cooper, and DJ Moore. Those guys are clearly number 1s in their offense. Deebo could be the third option in his, who doesn't get the touches he once did.
Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles (ADP 61.4 TE7)
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Like the quarterback position, the tight end was a tough position to find an overrated guy. I am worried about Goedert this season, and he is going too early in drafts. Outside the top four tight ends who are Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, Tj Hockenson, and Darren Waller in my opinion, I am not taking a tight end in the first seven rounds.
Goedert is the clear-cut third option on this great Eagles offense. He is behind the two stud receivers AJ Brown and Devonta Smith who were just targeted at an incredible rate last season. Goedert had only three touchdowns and saw just 10 red zone targets which was just 15th in the NFL at the tight end position.
Touchdowns or volume is what makes tight ends pop. Goedert in my opinion gives you neither of those. Just take another position at that point in your drafts. Brandon Aiyuk, Chris Godwin, and Tyler Lockett are all going after Goedert. What are we doing here people?
I hope you enjoyed the 2023 Fantasy Football Overrated Players article and hope you avoid a few guys in your draft.
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