2023 Fantasy Football Week 12 Preview

by Richard Savill
2023 Fantasy Football Week 12 Preview

Thanksgiving weekend is upon us, and it's hard to believe we're already here. The fantasy playoff race is heating up.

This week, the NFL kicks off with its first Black Friday game. However, this game is not included in the Blurbview, starting well before the cut-off for weekend blurbs at 7 pm ET.

The introduction of this Friday game brings new concerns for league fantasy, suggesting it may become a regular feature, extending beyond Thanksgiving week.

The NFL is known for changing formats, and this could be the next evolution. While I'm open to it becoming a weekly game, the potential overload of football viewing is a consideration. Personally, I'm content just discussing it during the days in between.

Good luck in Week 12!

2023 Fantasy Football Week 12 Preview Blurbview

Week 11 Starts/Sits and Sleepers disclosure:
1. Best Start: Brock Purdy Worst Start: Marquise Brown Week: 59%
2. Best Sit: Diontae Johnson Worst Sit: James Cook Week: 47%
3. Best Sleeper: Calvin Ridley Worst Sleeper:  Derius Davis Week: 29%

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Let me know your thoughts on XTwitter @RRSSavill
The Blurbview is complicated. Any errors please make a note in the comments or on XTwitter.

The 2023 Fantasy Football Week 12 Preview is next.
Updated: Nov 26 4am ET
Trending: Odell Beckham Jr. Qep | Zay Flowers Qep | Dameon Pierce Qep | D'Onta Foreman Qnep |


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The Games this Week

Byes: None

2023 Fantasy Football Week 12 Preview Blurbview

A brief rundown of the games this weekend. Time to set those lineups and watch 'em play.

Early Sunday: Jaguars (7-3) at Texans (6-4)

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While the previous loss to the 49ers raised doubts about Jacksonville's credentials, the resounding victory against the Titans last week quieted many concerns. Trevor Lawrence delivered two TD passes to Calvin Ridley and ran in two more scores, marking his most flawless and prolific performance of the season.

The Jaguars' defense also played a pivotal role, limiting the Titans to just 82 first-half yards and preventing any scoring drives until they held a commanding 27-0 lead.

Houston is Scary Good

Despite facing intense pressure from the Cardinals last week, C.J. Stroud showcased his exceptional skills in the first three quarters, leading the Texans on three impressive touchdown drives spanning over 60 yards each. However, the narrative took an unexpected turn in the fourth quarter as Stroud experienced a surprising downturn, leaving the Cardinals a chance to stage a comeback.

Ultimately, it was a commendable team victory that head coach DeMeco Ryans placed particular emphasis on. This win underscored the Texans' ability to weather challenges and close out a game, even when Stroud briefly exhibits rookie-like moments.

Showdown

The Texans defeated the Jaguars in Week 3, and now they have the chance to sweep both games and take a strangehold on the division. This is a game with big stakes.

Week 3 was the game where Tank Dell came solidly onto the fantasy scene. Dell caught five passes for 145 yards and a touchdown. Expect him to replicate that.

For the Jaguars, the fantasy gold came from Travis Etienne and Evan Engram.

Get Ready To Rock

Every game is different, so don't expect a carbon copy of Week 3. The usage may shift toward Calvin Ridley and Christian Kirk. The health of the receivers for the Texans will determine their game plan.

This game should rock. It could get cold and defensive, but I very much doubt that. Start everybody who is established on the fantasy chart.

Fun Fact: There has not been a scenario since 2014 where the Jaguars are coming off a win at home to visit the Texans. In such scenarios, the Texans have won four straight. However, in scenarios where the Jaguars are coming off a home game, win or lose, the Texans have lost the spread the last five times. Yet, the Texans have 9-2 straight-up victories, including their last three.

Vegas Line: Jaguars -1.5
Vegas OU: 47.5
Start: Dalton Schultz, TE, Texans
Sit: Devin Singletary, RB, Texans
Sleeper: Nico Collins, WR, Texans
Pick Poll: Jaguars 56%
In the Booth: Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Matt Ryan
Injury Update: Noah Brown O | Zay Jones Q | Dameon Pierce Qep |

Other Early Sunday Games in Brief...2023 Fantasy Football Week 12 Preview Blurbview

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Steelers (6-4) at Bengals (5-5)

The news of the Steelers' OC Matt Canada's firing on Tuesday isn't particularly surprising. The offensive struggles were persistent. After reaching the boiling point in the loss to the Browns last week, Canada's time was up. It remains to be seen if this change will revitalize the Steelers on offense. The Bengals have their own issues. Joe Burrow is out for the season, and the downfield fantasy Bengals look shaky the rest of the way.
Vegas Line: Steelers -1.0
Vegas OU: 35.5
Start: Kenny Pickett, QB, Steelers
Sit: Tanner Hudson, TE, Bengals
Sleeper: Tyler Boyd, WR, Bengals
Pick Poll: Steelers 69%
In the Booth: Ian Eagle, Charles Davis
Injury Update: Tee Higgins O |

Buccaneers (4-6) at Colts (5-5)

Can Jonathan Taylor take the Colts on his shoulders into the playoffs? It's hard to bet against it. Expect him to feature strongly in this game. As for the Buccaneers, Baker Mayfield floundered last week with two turnovers deep on the 49ers side of the field. Baker overestimates his abilities, and his courage sometimes turns into folly. That said, courage is still better. Gardner Minshew gathers similar sentiments. Throw your main fantasy starters confidently out there for this one.
Vegas Line: Colts -2.5
Vegas OU:  44.5
Start: Gardner Minshew, QB, Colts
Sit: Zack Moss, RB, Colts
Sleeper: Cade Otton, TE, Buccaneers
Pick Poll: Colts 65%
In the Booth: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta
Injury Update: Chris Godwin Q | Rachaad White Q |

Saints (5-5) at Falcons (4-6)

While the Saints appear solid on paper and are perhaps the frontrunners to clinch the NFC South, they don't seem like a plugged-in contender. The Falcons have many of the same aspects. With Saints' Michael Thomas on IR, we may finally see more targets for Mr. Speed, Rashid Shaheed. Desmond Ridder is back as the Falcons' starter, but is it more of the same? Drake London remains risky, but Chris Olave is much safer every week. This game forecasts as a jumble and fantasy mishmash. Temper expectations for all.
Vegas Line: Saints -1.5
Vegas OU:  41.5
Start: Chris Olave, WR, Saints
Sit: Drake London, WR, Falcons
Sleeper: Rashid Shaheed, WR, Saints
Pick Poll: Saints 73%
In the Booth: Joe Davis, Daryl Johnston
Injury Update: Kendre Miller O |

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Patriots (2-8) at Giants (3-8)

PSA: This game is precisely the reason why you should purchase an online package of some sort to watch football. There are more options for football fans to enjoy and, of course, fantasy tracking as well. Breakouts in these types of games do happen, but rarely. The forecast is simple for your fantasy stakes—sit most players. The running backs on both sides might be the best, but even they are risky.
Vegas Line: Patriots -3.5
Vegas OU:  34.0
Start: Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, Patriots
Sit: Demario Douglas, WR, Patriots
Sleeper: Wan'Dale Robinson, WR, Giants
Pick Poll: Giants 67%
In the Booth: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma
Injury Update: Darius Slayton Qnep | DeVante Parker Qc |

Panthers (1-9) at Titans (3-7)

Does it seem we were tricked into thinking Will Levis was NFL ready? Levis had an early career game out of the gate in Week 8 and has never looked forward since. Still, the Titans know they have a future here, as do the Panthers. Bryce Young looks promising despite his early punishments. This game allows these young quarterbacks to put it all out there in a preseason atmosphere. With such loose underpinnings to this game, the lower pressure will perhaps allow some open play.
Vegas Line: Titans -3.5
Vegas OU:  36.5
Start: Tyjae Spears, RB, Titans
Sit: Will Levis, QB, Titans
Sleeper: Jonathan Mingo, WR, Panthers
Pick Poll: Titans 90%
In the Booth: Adam Amin, Mark Schlereth
Injury Update: Treylon Burks O | Hayden Hurst O |

Late Sunday: Bills (6-5) at Eagles (9-1)

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The Eagles proved something last Monday night. They can look adversity in the face and take over a football game.

The early stages of the Chiefs game saw the offense struggling, relying primarily on D’Andre Swift's ground gains and a few connections to DeVonta Smith.

That road win, though not particularly flashy, emphatically showcased the Eagles' tenacity and determination.

Bills Reawakening?

The debut of new offensive coordinator Joe Brady was a success, overseeing the Bills' most impressive offensive display in several games. Granted, it was the lowly Jets, and the road ahead will provide the Bills plenty of heavier tests.

It begins this week at Lincoln Financial Field. It's a significant task for the Bills who haven't secured a road victory since Week 3 against the Commanders.

Yet the Bills looked stronger, more poised, and more determined against the Jets. We will see if a true reawakening is happening for this team against the number one power ranked team in the league.

A Game Similar to Monday Night?

It is quite possible that this game mirrors much of what we saw on Monday night. Except this time, it is the AFC team trying to keep the game close enough for a late win.

It might be higher scoring this time as well. And as such, for fantasy, this is a start-all, with sleepers game.

Fun Fact: The Eagles are 5-0 at home versus an AFC team following a win on the road against an AFC team since 2000. This exact scenario arose the last time the Bills visited The Linc in 2015.

Vegas Line: Eagles -3.0
Vegas OU: 48.5
Start: Dalton Kincaid, TE, Bills
Sit: James Cook, RB, Bills
Sleeper: Kenneth Gainwell, RB, Eagles
Pick Poll: Eagles 85%
In the Booth: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo
Injury Update: A.J. Brown Q | D'Andre Swift Q |

Other Late Games in Brief...

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Browns (7-3) at Broncos (5-5)

The buzz in Cleveland is about Dorian Thompson-Robinson and Joe Flacco. The Browns haven't elevated Flacco from the practice squad yet, but he could be the backup by Sunday. We don't know what the length of DTR's leash is, but we do know this—there is a leash. The Broncos are on a four-game win streak, and Russell Wilson is, well, better. Their defense is better since the Week 3 debacle against the Dolphins. This looks like another defensive affair. Fantasy starters are under caution.
Vegas Line: Broncos -1.5
Vegas OU:  36.0
Start: Jerry Jeudy, WR, Broncos
Sit: David Njoku, TE, Browns
Sleeper: Marvin Mims Jr., WR, Broncos
Pick Poll: Browns 55%
In the Booth: Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez
Injury Update: None

Rams (4-6) at Cardinals (2-9)

The Rams will have Kyren Wilson back from IR. The odds are that he misses scoring touchdowns. The Rams defeated the Seahawks last week, but they already seemed like a spoiler team. Now it's spoiler versus spoiler. The Cardinals are undoubtedly better with Kyler Murray. It's an upturn for fantasy, which is the best part. The metrics show this game as a potential points explosion. On that possibility, start everyone.
Vegas Line: Rams -2.5
Vegas OU:  45.0
Start: Kyren Williams, RB, Rams
Sit: Tyler Higbee, TE, Rams
Sleeper: Tutu Atwell, WR, Rams
Pick Poll: Rams 77%
In the Booth: Chris Myers, Robert Smith
Injury Update: Cooper Kupp Qep | Marquise Brown Qep | Michael Wilson O | Emari Demercado Qep |

Chiefs (7-3) at Raiders (5-6)

This matchup provides the Chiefs with a significant opportunity to widen the gap between themselves and a determined divisional rival. It also offers them a chance to secure control of their destiny for the top playoff seed in the AFC. A victory for the Raiders would inject a sense of renewed optimism into their prospects within the AFC West. With substantial stakes for both teams, this contest is poised to be a standout. Start all.
Vegas Line: Chiefs -9.0
Vegas OU: 43.0
Start: Rashee Rice, WR, Chiefs
Sit: Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders
Sleeper: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Chiefs
Pick Poll: Chiefs 96%
In the Booth: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green
Injury Update: Jerick McKinnon O | Dameon Pierce Q | Kadarius Toney O |

Feature Games

Sunday Night: Ravens (8-3) at Chargers (4-6)

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While Mark Andrews doesn't make the Ravens offense entirely what it is, he will be missed for the stretch run. Isaiah Likely can fit the shoes, but only to a point. Lamar Jackson's dependability must come from the rest of his downfield pass catchers.

Odell Beckham is a standout who has taken up the challenge. Beckham is ready to gather up those leftover targets and already looks the part.

Herbert Showing Discontent

Justin Herbert looked visibly frustrated last week as he saw opportunity after opportunity disappear to bury the Packers. You certainly saw why. All his receivers, even Keenan Allen, suffered football dropsy.

You don't often see Herbert throw his helmet on the sidelines. It was a classic, rare outburst.

The Chargers aren't winning the close ones and last week added another to the long list of them. As usual, the press poked Brandon Staley and the result was what you'd expect.

Defensive, Offensive, or Both?

On Sunday night after Thanksgiving, we might get a blast of juicy leftovers! So I'm leaning offensive with some heavy action. Both teams like to use the running game, so there will be plenty of play-action opportunities.

Look for Austin Ekeler to find the end zone at least once. He seems to do that early in games, but hopefully he does not go quiet after an initial outburst. He does that sometimes.

The Ravens spread the ball around several backs, but Gus Edwards carries the main load. Keaton Mitchell is fantasy-playable.

Fun Fact: The Chargers have lost six straight following a road loss, and their current opponent is an AFC team that won at home in their previous game.

Vegas Line:  Ravens -3.5
Vegas OU: 48.0
Start: Keaton Mitchell, RB, Ravens
Sit: Quentin Johnston, WR, Chargers
Sleeper: Derius Davis, WR, Chargers
Pick Poll: Ravens 90%
In the Booth: Mike Tirico, Jason Garrett
Injury Update: Zay Flowers Qep | Odell Beckham Jr. Qep | Jalen Guyton Q | Gerald Everett Q |

Monday Night Football

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Bears (3-8) at Vikings (6-5)

This wraps up Thanksgiving weekend. The Bears can only help the Packers by defeating the Vikings. This isn't exactly the scenario most fans of the Bears would prefer—obviously. Both teams rank in the bottom ten for passing yards allowed, so a good matchup to put your fantasy norms out there and some sleeper possibilities. Justin Jefferson is not expected to play.
Vegas Line: Vikings -3.0
Vegas OU: 43.0
Start: D.J. Moore, WR, Bears
Sit: Ty Chandler, RB, Vikings
Sleeper: Darnell Mooney, WR, Bears
Pick Poll: Vikings 92%
In the Booth: Joe Buck, Troy Aikman
Injury Update: Justin Jefferson Q | T.J. Hockenson Q | D'Onta Foreman Qnep |

In the Booth on Sunday2023 Fantasy Football Week 12 Preview Blurbview

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Kirk Herbstreit Al Michaels

Sunday Games2023 Fantasy Football Week 12 Preview Blurbview

CBS Early

Steelers at Bengals: Ian Eagle, Charles Davis
Jaguars at Texans: Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Matt Ryan
Buccaneers at Colts: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta

FOX Early

Saints at Falcons: Joe Davis, Daryl Johnston
Patriots at Giants: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma
Panthers at Titans: Adam Amin, Mark Schlereth

CBS Late

Bills at Eagles: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo
Chiefs at Raiders: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green

FOX Late

Browns at Broncos: Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez
Rams at Cardinals: Chris Myers, Robert Smith

© 2023 Richard Savill


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