2023 Fantasy Football Week 13 Preview

by Richard Savill
2023 Fantasy Football Week 13 Preview

The trade deadline is over, the waiver cupboard has only rice cakes, and you are faced with a tough bye week. A playoff run seems impossible.

Okay, things look not so good. Make the best of what you have. It should be obvious what you need to do.

I know it's a weary ritual, but you need to go back to the waiver pile again. There's a reason fantasy football talks about sleepers. Look for a wide receiver who hasn't done anything for a long time. If the matchup is right, who knows?

You might latch onto a weekly winner. That's where the Blurbview can help. Every game, I find a sleeper for each. Sometimes it works, and sometimes it doesn't.

Don't think I haven't pulled up sleepers I suggest for my own leagues. I'll take even the really dangerous ones. We're in this together, win or lose. Fantasy football is a game.

Good luck in Week 13!

2023 Fantasy Football Week 13 Preview Blurbview

Week 12 Starts/Sits and Sleepers disclosure:
1. Best Start: Kyren Williams Worst Start: Jerry Jeudy Week: 58%
2. Best Sit: Quentin Johnston Worst Sit: Tyler Higbee Week: 48%
3. Best Sleeper: Nico Collins Worst Sleeper:  Derius Davis Week: 25%

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Aaron Rodgers and Melissa Stark

Let me know your thoughts on XTwitter @RRSSavill
The Blurbview is complicated. Any errors please make a note in the comments or on XTwitter.
I'll accept good comments too!!

The 2023 Fantasy Football Week 13 Preview is next.
Updated: Dec 2 2pm ET
Trending: De'Von Achane A | Tank Dell Qep | Tee Higgins Qep | Joe Flacco A-StQ | Travis Etienne Jr. Qep


Quick Selector

Early Sunday | Late Sunday | Feature Games | In the Booth


2023 Fantasy Football Week 13 Preview2023 Fantasy Football Week 13 Preview Blurbview

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The Games this Week

Byes: Bears, Bills, Giants, Raiders, Ravens, Vikings

2023 Fantasy Football Week 13 Preview Blurbview

A brief rundown of the games this weekend. Time to set those lineups and watch 'em play.

Early Sunday: Lions (8-3) at Saints (5-6)

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What happened to the pass protection for Jared Goff on Thanksgiving against the Packers? Normally, what we've seen on the Lions is improvement, not regression. The 1a-1b backfield with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery remains firmly intact. Montgomery had a bigger share of the Thanksgiving food last Thursday.

Saints Receiving Room Mess

The Saints are in rough shape coming into this game. Their receiving room is a shambles. What was strange is that A.T. Perry was seldom utilized following the departure of Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed.

Instead, we saw more of Juwan Johnson and Taysom Hill. Alvin Kamara continued in his usual role, but we might see him get extra receiving duty against the Lions. Fantasy chances still remain better on paper with A.T. Perry, but third-year man Lynn Bowden could be a sneaky addition and gutsy sleeper option too. It's only upside for Perry and Bowden. Give them some thought if you need to get daring this week. What have you got to lose?

Expectations

The Saints, as mentioned, will likely focus on the ground and short passing attack due to the depleted receiving group. That wouldn't stop Derek Carr from taking the deep shots to the downlisters, though. This is why the small "r" receivers on the Saints are somewhat fantasy viable in a reasonable matchup.

For the Lions, you'll get their usual style. A full complimentary ground and air offense with total fantasy worthiness.

The optics lean toward heavy scoring in this one, but oddly, the metrics seem mixed. Since they are both indoor teams, I'd go with a vibrant and up-tempo game. Both teams have low sack percentages, so they don't get to the quarterback often. Their defensive strength is more in the secondary. Aidan Hutchinson might argue that...

Fun Fact: Since 1990, the Saints and Lions have met 11 times in the Superdome. Only twice from those games have both met in the Superdome, with each coming off losses. In that scenario, the Lions won both games, and they were low-scoring.

Vegas Line: Lions -4.0
Vegas OU: 47.0
Start: Derek Carr, QB, Saints
Sit: Jameson Williams, WR, Lions
Sleeper: Lynn Bowden Jr., WR, Saints
Pick Poll: Lions 92%
In the Booth: Joe Davis, Daryl Johnston
Injury Update: Chris Olave Qc | Rashid Shaheed O | Kendre Miller O |

Other Early Sunday Games in Blurbs...2023 Fantasy Football Week 13 Preview Blurbview

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Dolphins (8-3) at Commanders (4-8)

Jack Del Rio got fired this week as defensive coordinator for the Commanders. How safe is Eric Bieniemy? The Commanders' offense in 2023 isn't exactly a highlight reel of success. Both teams will lay it all out there for this game. Everyone, especially your Dolphins, are fantasy green. Tyreek Hill will eye this game as a chance to take a juicy chunk on his way to 2000 receiving yards. The Commanders allow the most passing yards and passing touchdowns in 2023.
Vegas Line: Dolphins -9.5
Vegas OU:  49.5
Start: Sam Howell, QB, Commanders
Sit: Curtis Samuel, WR, Commanders
Sleeper: Durham Smythe, TE, Dolphins
Pick Poll: Dolphins 98%
In the Booth: Adam Amin, Mark Schlereth
Injury Update: De'Von Achane A | Durham Smythe Q | Alec Ingold Q | Alex Armah Jr. Q |

Falcons (5-6) at Jets (4-7)

If there's anything good about the Jets that comes from Robert Saleh's leadership, it's their defense. The offensive struggles continue, but Tim Boyle gets another start. Would you believe the Falcons are the only NFL team left that hasn't given up a rushing touchdown? The Jets have a good chance to break that zero. The forecast is for a low-scoring game, but mark this: the Jets will not stink up the joint two games in a row.
Vegas Line: Falcons -2.0
Vegas OU:  33.5
Start: Garrett Wilson, WR, Jets
Sit: Drake London, WR, Falcons
Sleeper: Dalvin Cook, RB, Jets
Pick Poll: Falcons 65%
In the Booth: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma
Injury Update: Breece Hall Q | Dalvin Cook Qep | Israel Abanikanda Q | Mack Hollins Q |

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Chargers (4-7) at Patriots (2-9)

It's a game of coaching tensions. Brandon Staley has a great quarterback that Bill Belichick can only yearn for. Right now, you feel Justin Herbert would love to play for the Patriots. The word out there is that Staley has lost the locker room, and his firing is imminent. Belichick hasn't lost the locker room, but he is losing the fans—and perhaps Robert Kraft too. In this game, fantasy points are tight. Even the fantasy-norm elites are hard starts. Outside of fantasy, high drama.
Note: Bailey Zappe expected to start for the Patriots.
Vegas Line: Chargers -5.5
Vegas OU:  40.0
Start: Justin Herbert, QB, Chargers
Sit: JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Patriots
Sleeper: DeVante Parker, WR, Patriots
Pick Poll: Chargers 95%
In the Booth: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta
Injury Update: Keenan Allen Q | Ezekiel Elliott A | Demario Douglas O | Josh Palmer IRQ | Kayshon Boutte Q |

Cardinals (2-10) at Steelers (7-4)

Kyren Williams of the Rams demonstrated that the Cardinals can't stop the run. If Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren can't help the Steelers get their first 30+ scoring game of the season, then how bad is the offense? As for the Cardinals, look for Kyler Murray to attempt a few deep shots, but their best receiving option is likely Rondale Moore with others banged up. For the kind of Steelers games we've seen this season, this one might look very unusual. Your fantasy Steelers are solid green. Your Cardinals are pale green.
Vegas Line: Steelers -6.5
Vegas OU:  41.0
Start: Najee Harris, RB, Steelers
Sit: James Conner, RB, Cardinals
Sleeper: George Pickens, WR, Steelers
Pick Poll: Steelers 93%
In the Booth: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green
Injury Update: Marquise Brown Q | Trey McBride Q | Michael Wilson O |

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Broncos (6-5) at Texans (6-5)

Following a rough September and a "here we go again" appraisal of the Broncos, they enter Week 13 on a hot streak of five wins. The Texans fell just short of forcing overtime against the Jaguars last week by not quite getting close enough to makeable field goal range. Nonetheless, C.J. Stroud and his crew are pleasing fantasy fans everywhere. With the Broncos yielding the most rushing yards to running backs, the Texans' backfield may thrive, with the added benefit of play-action.
Vegas Line: Texans -3.0
Vegas OU:  47.0
Start: Devin Singletary, RB, Texans
Sit: Jerry Jeudy, WR, Broncos
Sleeper: Dameon Pierce, RB, Texans
Pick Poll: Texans 63%
In the Booth: Ian Eagle, Charles Davis
Injury Update: Tank Dell Qep | Noah Brown Q | Dalton Schultz O |

Colts (6-5) at Titans (4-7)

Derrick Henry loves home field for fantasy. Henry averages 18.7 half-ppr at home, compared with 7.95 on the road. Also, the Titans play better as a team at Nissan Stadium as well. For the Colts, Jonathan Taylor had surgery on his thumb and has an uncertain timetable for his return. So, it's up to Zack Moss and Gardner Minshew to handle business. We might get a chance to see what kind of wheels Will Levis has. The Colts allow the second-most rushing yards to quarterbacks.
Vegas Line: Colts -1.0
Vegas OU:  42.5
Start: Will Levis, QB, Titans
Sit: Josh Downs, WR, Colts
Sleeper: Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, WR, Titans
Pick Poll: Colts 76%
In the Booth: Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Matt Ryan
Injury Update: Jonathan Taylor O | Treylon Burks Qc |

Late Sunday: Forty-Niners (8-3) at Eagles (10-1)


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Here we are again. Another late Sunday game where the Eagles feature. And why not? This stretch of games has been nothing short of prime football excitement. If you are an Eagles fan, you want the tough opponent. It's a "bring it on" town feeling right now.

The Forty-Niners are also a team that believes. Teams that have truly absorbed optimism can bring out the best classic games.

Eagles Emotionally Exhausted?

This is always a question when a team comes out flat. Indeed, following their opening score against the Bills, the Eagles did surrender momentum and fell into ineffectiveness. They were flat going into half-time and early in the third.

The Bills and Chiefs are good, but the Forty-Niners are better. If the Forty-Niners take control of this game, they aren't likely to let go of it like the Bills did. They will press for more scoring, and the Eagles could again fall into letdown flatness. We are talking worse than the 31–13 clinic the Niners put on the Seahawks.

If the Niners win the toss, they might not defer. They'll want to establish momentum as soon as possible. The Eagles might be best off taking the ball first for the same reasons. Hard to believe, but the coin toss has importance.

Back and Forth Offensively?

If the game goes that route and the Eagles resist letdown while pressing the Forty-Niners defense hard, we could see fireworks.

The fantasy equation is too obvious, but you start all. Some players you might temper expectations, but generally, everyone relevant on both teams is green to go.

Fun Fact: This is a rematch of the NFC conference final, which the Eagles won 31-7, advancing them to Super Bowl LVII. Brock Purdy left the game from injury in the first quarter when the score was 7-0 for the Eagles.

Vegas Line: Forty-Niners -3.0
Vegas OU: 48.0
Start: Brandon Aiyuk, WR, Forty-Niners
Sit: Kenneth Gainwell, RB, Eagles
Sleeper: Jauan Jennings, WR, Forty-Niners
Pick Poll: Eagles 54%
In the Booth: Kevin Burkhardt, Greg Olsen
Injury Update: Jordan Mason Q | Dallas Goedart Dnep |

Other Late Games in Blurbs...

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Panthers (1-10) at Buccaneers (4-7)

The firing of Frank Reich wasn't exactly a bolt from the blue, but the Panthers want to set things up early for a new coach in 2024. Todd Bowles might be done as well, as his seat continues to warm. The Buccaneers with Baker Mayfield haven't been altogether bad, but they consistently find themselves just a few plays short of victory each week. The coziness of home field should provide the Bucs with a much-needed win. It's basic and easy here: start the Bucs and sit the Cats.
Vegas Line: Buccaneers -5.5
Vegas OU: 36.5
Start: Rachaad White, RB, Buccaneers
Sit: Chuba Hubbard, RB, Panthers
Sleeper: Cade Otton, TE, Buccaneers
Pick Poll: Buccaneers 94%
In the Booth: Tom McCarthy, James Lofton, Jay Feely
Injury Update: Chris Godwin Q | Tommy Tremble Qnep |

Browns (7-4) at Rams (5-6)

Dorian Thompson-Robinson is questionable, and Joe Flacco might start. The change won't make much difference for the Browns on the fantasy side of things. The Browns will live mostly by the run this week, as will the Rams. This game should be more offensively open for the Browns than their recent games, so it would be a shame if DTR cannot have a crack at it. The Rams would love to force the Browns into a passing game. Whichever team gains their favored tempo has the edge.
Note: Dorian Thompson-Robinson is out. Joe Flacco starts for the Browns.
Vegas Line: Rams -4.0
Vegas OU:  40.5
Start: David Njoku, TE, Browns
Sit: Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams
Sleeper: Cedric Tillman, WR, Browns
Pick Poll: Rams 63%
In the Booth: Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez
Injury Update: Kareem Hunt A | Joe Flacco A-StQ

Feature Games

Sunday Night: Chiefs (8-3) at Packers (5-6)

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Patrick Mahomes cannot wait to play at one of the great cathedrals of NFL football, Lambeau Field. In recent comments, he has shown great respect for the storied stadium. “I’m excited; if you love football, you love Lambeau Field. I’m excited to get the opportunity to play there.”

We don't often take enough time to respect one of the few stadiums left that have resisted corporate patronage naming. Lambeau Field holds the distinction of being the NFL's longest-serving continuously operational stadium. It also houses a Packers museum in the atrium, which we often see glimpses of when national telecasts take place. So, we'll likely get a brief tour or two of the stadium between commercial breaks.

Packers Getting Better

It's not too late for the Packers to get involved in the playoff race in the NFC. "Getting to the dance," as they like to say, is the goal. The Packers are currently just below the playoff line, and a win against the Chiefs would put them in sound contention considering the strength of the opposition down the stretch.

Jordan Love has finally lived up to his sleeper status in the past four weeks. He has fantasy finishes of QB14, QB12, QB9, and QB5. However, the Chiefs are not a good matchup for Love in this one, and he is better for your bench.

The best option for the Packers in this game is to play hard with the run. The defense of the Chiefs is solid. Finding ways to get the ball into the hands of Jayden Reed in RPOs should suffice, and you can start him in your flex.

Travis Kelce Return To Power

Kelce has just four touchdowns on the season, but the yardage is holding strong. On Sunday Night Football, with America (and Taylor) watching, it is quite likely he finds the end zone at least once.

The game overall has a defensive slog written all over it. The Chiefs win these games because Patrick Mahomes always puts enough late drives together to stitch up a win. The Packers will realize early that field goals won't be enough.

To summarize, your fantasy Chiefs are not exactly glowing bright green, but the Packers will glow in fantasy amber.

Fun Fact: The Packers have won seven straight games at Lambeau following a win on the road, and with their opponent also winning on the road in their previous game. This includes eight of their last nine wins. However, in those nine games in this scenario, the Packers were the underdog just once, and they lost.

Vegas Line:  Chiefs -6.0
Vegas OU: 42.5
Start: Isiah Pacheco, RB, Chiefs
Sit: Jordan Love, QB, Packers
Sleeper: Jayden Reed, WR, Packers
Pick Poll: Chiefs 93%
In the Booth: Mike Tirico, Chris Collinsworth
Injury Update: Jayden Reed Q | Dontayvion Wicks Q | Jerick McKinnon O | Aaron Jones O |

Monday Night Football


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Bengals (5-6) at Jaguars (8-3)

The Bengals aren't throwing out the season just yet, because we've seen miracles like Nick Foles happen before. Time is short, however. For the Jags, Trevor Lawrence has showcased his best form in recent games, demonstrating increased confidence in taking deep shots. His strong second half against Houston last week was pivotal. It secured the Jaguars' win and maintained a significant lead in the AFC South. Start all, but temper expectations for the Bengals RBs on Monday night in Duval.
Vegas Line: Jaguars -8.5
Vegas OU: 38.5
Start: Evan Engram, TE, Jaguars
Sit: Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals
Sleeper: Jake Browning, QB, Bengals
Pick Poll: Jaguars 93%
In the Booth: Joe Buck, Troy Aikman
Injury Update: Travis Etienne Jr. Qep | Tee Higgins Qep |

In the Booth on Sunday

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Mark Sanchez

Sunday Games2023 Fantasy Football Week 13 Preview Blurbview

CBS Early

Broncos at Texans: Ian Eagle, Charles Davis
Cardinals at Steelers: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green
Colts at Titans: Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Matt Ryan
Chargers at Patriots: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta

FOX Early

Lions at Saints: Joe Davis, Daryl Johnston
Dolphins at Commanders: Adam Amin, Mark Schlereth
Falcons at Jets: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma

CBS Late

Panthers at Buccaneers: Tom McCarthy, James Lofton, Jay Feely

FOX Late

49ers at Eagles: Kevin Burkhardt, Greg Olsen
Browns at Rams: Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez

© 2023 Richard Savill


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