2023 Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview

by Richard Savill

Should we start bringing the random element back to Fantasy Football? We discussed this in our recent podcast and there is a real case for bringing back kickers. On any given Monday night, a final kick for the weekly win brings back some of the excitement.2023 Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview Blurbview

All fantasy statistics after a week of play are not predictable. Somehow, it has gotten into the fantasy consciousness that kickers (and often DSTs) are less predictable than anything else.

Some leagues are starting to bring back kickers. NFL teams that don't score a touchdown on a given week at least have some value in the kickers that score points. Those points remain uncounted in fantasy without kickers. There are enthusiasts who think those points should count for something.

Some leagues are beginning to take up the addition of First Down points too. This is a good idea, in my opinion. Low-scoring games should have something to count for our studs.

Fantasy is always changing and maybe one day artificial intelligence will begin to determine scores.

Good luck in Week 7!

Week 6 Starts/Sits and Sleepers disclosure:
1. Best Start: Dak Prescott Worst Start: Deebo Samuel Week: 48%
2. Best Sit: Ryan Tannehill Worst Sit: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Week: 64%
3. Best Sleeper: Brandin Cooks Worst Sleeper: Jamal Agnew Week: 27%
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Melanie Collins

Let me know what you think on Twitter @RRSSavill.

The 2023 Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview is next.
Updated: Oct 22 10am ET
Trending: Jahmyr Gibbs Active | Deebo Samuel Out | DK Metcalf Game Time Decision |


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2023 Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview

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The Games this Week

Byes: Bengals, Cowboys, Jets, Panthers, Texans, Titans 2023 Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview Blurbview

A brief rundown of the games this weekend. Time to set those lineups and watch 'em play.

Early Sunday: Lions (5-1) at Ravens (4-2)

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Many teams have started the season with 5-1 starts several times, but not the Lions. In fact, 4-1 starts for the Lions were rare enough. Their 5-0 start in 2011 was a landmark. However, most of their successful years in the post-merger era were in the Wayne Fontes period of the early 1990s.

With Dan Campbell, there is a difference from those times. The teams of Wayne Fontes always seemed beatable. With Campbell, it seems to take more effort and more skilled planning to defeat the Lions.

Wayne Fontes was arguably more of a lucky coach, than a good coach. Fontes also had Barry Sanders at his peak during his tenure. The current Lions are bought-in and schemed-in to something much different.

Campbell's Method Working

Campbell's approach is dynamic and one filled with calculated risks. Unlike Ron Rivera, who is known for his on-field gambling, Campbell tends to venture with least hazard.

Campbell has turned Jared Goff into a viable fantasy quarterback. In fact, the entire team is made up of fantasy studs and sleepers now. That said, it's not a good matchup for Goff. The Ravens give up the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks.

Look for the Lions to match the Ravens on the ground, but also attack relentlessly through the air. The Lions have the ability to make the Ravens play their game and not the other way around. Quite unusual for what we were used to with traditional Detroit teams.

Ravens Need a Plan

Look for plenty of Mark Andrews in this one. Aidan Hutchinson is one of the most understated defensive linemen in the NFL. The guy is a handful and the Ravens will have a difficult time with runs up the middle.

The Ravens will try to avoid Hutchinson and beat the up-front pressure by using Lamar Jackson in his typical RPOs to the outside.

Overall, this game is one of the more interesting matchups of Week 7. It is one which is not easy to forecast for gamescript, but one thing is certain, the Lions are the team which will decide the tempo.

Fun Fact: The Ravens have won the last four against the Lions. This is the first time since 2017 the Ravens have hosted the Lions.

Vegas Line: Ravens -3.0
Vegas OU: 43.0
Start: Zay Flowers, WR, Ravens
Sit: Gus Edwards, RB, Ravens
Sleeper: Josh Reynolds, WR, Lions
Pick Poll: Lions 66%
In the Booth: Kevin Burkhardt, Greg Olsen
Injury Update: Jahmyr Gibbs A | Sam LaPorta A | Craig Reynolds Q | David Montgomery O |

Other Early Sunday Games in Brief...

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Raiders (3-3) at Bears (1-5)

The Bears are without Justin Fields and Tyson Bagent will start. It's bad enough that the underperforming Bears can't seem to catch a break, but the Raiders are without Jimmy Garappolo. Brian Hoyer will get the start. The Bears also remain with a battered backfield, but at least D'Onta Foreman appears serviceable enough in the lead role. That said, temper fantasy expectations on both sides of this game.
Vegas Line: Raiders -2.5
Vegas OU: 37.5
Start: Josh Jacobs, RB, Raiders
Sit: DJ Moore, WR, Bears
Sleeper: D'Onta Foreman, RB, Bears
Pick Poll: Raiders 84%
In the Booth: Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez
Injury Update: Roschon Johnson O | Jimmy Garoppolo O | Justin Fields O |

Falcons (3-3) at Buccaneers (3-2)

Every time Desmond Ridder looks like he is about to step up a level, he falls back. Baker Mayfield is the opposite. When we think Baker is finally done, he rises up. What happens now? The Falcons will likely use Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier equally and keep Ridder's confidence at the current level. Mike Evans doesn't drop balls as much as he did last week. Expect better this week. The game could open up well enough for reasonable fantasy chances.
Vegas Line: Buccaneers -2.5
Vegas OU:  37.0
Start: Drake London, WR, Falcons
Sit: Rachaad White, RB, Buccaneers
Sleeper: Cade Otton, TE, Buccaneers
Pick Poll: Buccaneers 79%
In the Booth: Chris Myers, Robert Smith
Injury Update: None

Browns (3-2) at Colts (3-3)2023 Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview Blurbview

Deshaun Watson may or may not play this week. Check this spot for additional notes. Gardner Minshew made 55 pass attempts last week for 329 yards and a touchdown, but three picks. The Browns allow the third least fantasy points versus opposing quarterbacks. Therefore, Gardner is a risky bye fill. It looks like Kareem Hunt is the better start over Jerome Ford for the Browns. The Colts will keep this one close.
Vegas Line: Browns -3.5
Vegas OU:  40.5
Start: Michael Pittman, WR, Colts
Sit: Jerome Ford, RB, Browns
Sleeper: Elijah Moore, WR, Browns
Pick Poll: Browns 83%
In the Booth: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta
Injury Update: Deshaun Watson Q | Kareem Hunt Q | Alec Pierce Q | Kylen Granson O |

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Commanders (3-3) at Giants (1-5)

The last three game results for Sam Howell in fantasy are: QB13, QB5, QB7.  If he's available anywhere, pick him up. Start him in this game as well. Daniel Jones or Tyrod Taylor, whichever starts for the Giants, are good bye fills. It's not exactly a robust fantasy matchup, but your fantasy studs should be okay. Those patiently waiting for a Terry McLaurin breakout may finally get it. Look for higher scoring than the Vegas OU line.
Vegas Line: Commanders -2.5
Vegas OU:  37.5
Start: Wan'Dale Robinson, WR, Giants
Sit: Logan Thomas, TE, Commanders
Sleeper: Darius Slayton, WR, Giants
Pick Poll: Commanders 79%
In the Booth: Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Matt Ryan
Injury Update: Saquon Barkley A | Daniel Jones Qnep | Chris Rodriguez Jr. IA |

Bills (4-2) at Patriots (1-5)

When Mac Jones has to come out to deny he's losing the locker room, he's probably losing the locker room. Just an opinion of course, but matters in New England are quite bad and there's no denying that. The best for Bill Belichick to hope for now is to "fail up" in the organization. The Bills are coming off a nail-biter win against the Giants, but at least they continue to win. Start your Bills and sit your Patriots in this one.
Vegas Line: Bills -8.5
Vegas OU:  40.0
Start: James Cook, RB, Bills
Sit: Mac Jones or other starter, QB, Patriots
Sleeper: Gabe Davis, WR, Bills
Pick Poll: Bills 98%
In the Booth: Ian Eagle, Charles Davis
Injury Update: Hunter Henry Qep | JuJu Smith-Schuster Qnep | Damien Harris O | Demario Douglas Qep |

Late Sunday: Chargers (2-3) at Chiefs (5-1)
2023 Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview Blurbview

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Why aren't the Chargers not winning football games? They have a top tier quarterback, a top tier backfield, and a top tier receiving group. Yet, moving the ball is a problem.

The Chiefs are far from perfect themselves, but Patrick Mahomes is managing to win the games where he has his own goof ups.

College Style Game?

Very possible. While Mahomes and Herbert are skilled enough to know the ropes in the NFL, college instincts run deep and these guys still have it. It's not that they will showboat their talents, but upstaging definitely will be on the cards here.

CBS probably counts on this stuff for a storied contest. For fantasy, it's a "start everyone relevant" affair. The Chargers and Chiefs will likely start out with the usual "run and gun" tempo, but in the second half, after the defenses show wear, then its downfield action everywhere.

Where is Travis?

Travis Kelce will be in the mix prominently, as usual, but Mahomes will make use of his other weapons. Start Kelce as you normally do, but look for more involvement from the supporting cast in this one.

Fun Fact: The Chargers, with Justin Herbert, have beaten the Chiefs ATS in every visit to Arrowhead.

Vegas Line: Chiefs -5.5
Vegas OU: 48.0
Start: Rashee Rice, WR, Chiefs
Sit: Gerald Everett, TE, Chargers
Sleeper: Marquez Valdez-Scantling, WR, Chiefs
Pick Poll: Chiefs 91%
In the Booth: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo
Injury Update: Justin Watson O |

Other Late Games in Brief...

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Steelers (3-2) at Rams (3-3)

The Steelers have among the worst offenses of any team going into this one. The lowest yardage, fewest first downs, no rushing touchdowns, and a few other negative stats. So, how are they 3-2 to this point? The defense keeps them in games. It doesn't show much on the stat sheet, but the Steelers' defense are making themselves count in key moments. Things in the NFL have a tendency to go a bit crazy, and this game has all the ingredients.
Vegas Line: Rams -3.0
Vegas OU:  44.0
Start: Puka Nacua, WR, Rams
Sit: Tyler Higbee, TE, Rams
Sleeper: Najee Harris, RB, Steelers
Pick Poll: Rams 79%
In the Booth: Adam Amin, Daryl Johnston
Injury Update: Pat Freiermuth O | Kyren Williams O |

Cardinals (1-5) at Seahawks (3-2)

One thing is certain at this point, we are not seeing the same Geno Smith we saw in 2022. Smith has slipped back into QB2 and could be headed further down. The positive part is that he hasn't harmed the pass catchers on the team too much. Meanwhile, Joshua Dobbs is doing much the same. Not breaking out himself, but maintaining the fantasy value of the downfielders. Rondale Moore is a sneaky fantasy add as a backfield accessory for the Cards.
Vegas Line: Seahawks -7.5
Vegas OU: 44.5
Start: DK Metcalf, WR, Seahawks
Sit: Keaontay Ingram, RB, Cardinals
Sleeper: Rondale Moore, WR, Cardinals
Pick Poll: Seahawks 96%
In the Booth: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma
Injury Update: DK Metcalf Qgtd | Tyler Lockett A | Zach Charbonnet Q | Zach Pascal Q |

Packers (2-3) at Broncos (1-5)

The Packers are off the bye, but they still may not have their star running back, Aaron Jones. He makes a difference to this team. Christian Watson hasn't shown much playmaking ability ahead of Romeo Doubs, so any breakout for Watson looks "Doubious." The Broncos are terrible for fantasy and Russell Wilson is the main part of the cause. The thought was Wilson would get it rolling after a down season. Unfortunately, it's more of the same.
Vegas Line: Packers -1.0
Vegas OU: 45.0
Start: Javonte Williams, RB, Broncos
Sit: Russell Wilson, QB, Broncos
Sleeper: Jordan Love, QB, Packers
Pick Poll: Packers 82%
In the Booth: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green
Injury Update: Aaron Jones Q | Greg Dulcich O |

Feature Games

Sunday Night: Dolphins (5-1) at Eagles (5-1)

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The Eagles are coming off a surprising loss last week to the Jets, which certainly was just as shocking as the Browns defeating the Forty-Niners. It was that kind of week.

Here we have a pulsating matchup with the Dolphins that might appear as an offensive fireball, but which could easily have a slow middle to it.

Unfamialiar Foes

Since these teams haven't met since 2019, there's uncertainty about how this game plays out. It is Sunday Night Football, so we can expect a show of strength, but it could settle into a slower game after adjustments are made following the early fireworks.

Then later on, as the game nears the climactic fourth quarter, the temperature will rise again.

Start Everyone?

All your fantasy studs on both sides should play. Temper expectations for the Dolphin running backs below Raheem Mostert. The Eagles picked up Julio Jones probably because the health of DeVonta Smith was in question. Jones is no better than a dart sleeper.

Fun Fact: The Eagles and Dolphins have met just nine times since 1990. In that time they have not once had an O/U of 50+ points.

Vegas Line: Eagles -2.5
Vegas OU: 51.5
Start: Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Dolphins
Sit: Jeff Wilson Jr., RB, Dolphins
Sleeper: Julio Jones, WR, Eagles
Pick Poll: Dolphins 51%
In the Booth: Mike Tirico, Chris Collinsworth
Injury Update: DeVonta Smith A | Dallas Goedert A | Alec Ingold Q | Jeff Wilson Jr. A |

Monday Night Football

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Forty-Niners (5-1) at Vikings (2-4)

The Browns shocked everyone last week with that missed field goal by the Forty-Niners. Bigger issues arose concerning Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel. McCaffrey (oblique) and Samuel (shoulder) remain questionable, but Samuel's case appears the more serious for missing this game. It's mostly a fantasy "start all"type of game. Kirk Cousins will need to rely on his receiving group, as the ground yardage will be tight.
Vegas Line: Forty-Niners -7.0
Vegas OU: 44.0
Start: Brandon Aiyuk, WR, Forty-Niners
Sit: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Vikings
Sleeper: Jauan Jennings, WR, Forty-Niners
Pick Poll: Forty-Niners 94%
In the Booth: Joe Buck, Troy Aikman
Injury Update: Christian McCaffrey Q | Deebo Samuel O |

In the Booth on Sunday

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Chris Meyers

Sunday Games2023 Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview Blurbview

CBS Early

Bills at Patriots: Ian Eagle, Charles Davis
Commanders at Giants: Andrew Catalon, Tiki Barber, Matt Ryan
Browns at Colts: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta

FOX Early

Lions at Ravens: Kevin Burkhardt, Greg Olsen
Raiders at Bears: Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez
Falcons at Buccaneers: Chris Myers, Robert Smith

CBS Late

Chargers at Chiefs: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo
Packers at Broncos: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green

FOX Late

Steelers at Rams: Adam Amin, Daryl Johnston
Cardinals at Seahawks: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma

© 2023 Richard Savill


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