2023 NFL Coaching Changes: Fantasy Football Impact

by Michael Tomlin
2023 NFL Coaching Changes: Fantasy Football impact

Coaches in the NFL are turned over more than any other sport. It is definitely a “what have you done for me lately” type of profession. The 2023 NFL Coaching Changes: Fantasy Football Impact will most definitely affect some elite Fantasy Football players.

There are five new head coaches and SEVENTEEN new offensive coordinators in 2023. Obviously, we do not have the time or need to go over all 22 changes. Instead, I want to highlight the 2023 NFL coaching changes that Fantasy Football managers need to know more about.

So all apologies to Demeco Ryans in Houston, Frank Reich in Carolina, and Jonathan Gannon in Arizona, there  just are not enough Fantasy Football implications in standard-size redraft leagues.

All of the information with the 2023 NFL Coaching Changes: Fantasy Football Impact is up to date as of August 14th, 2023 with Average Draft Position (ADP) from Fantasy Pros half-PPR data.

2023 NFL Coaching Changes: Fantasy Football Impact

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Denver Broncos: Sean Payton, Head Coach and Joe Lombardi, Offensive Coordinator

The most influential of the 2023 NFL coaching changes is with the Denver Broncos. Sean Payton comes back to the sideline after a brief hiatus on television and will try to right the ship with Russell Wilson.

Wilson had the worst year of his career in 2022. Mr. Unlimited had the lowest adjusted yards per attempt, fewest touchdowns, second-highest interception rate, and by far the lowest completion percentage of his career. With all of the weapons at his disposal the blame has been shifted toward the previous coach, Nathaniel Hackett.

Payton and Lombardi bring in their high-octane passing attack in 2023. From 2006 when the pair arrived in New Orleans through Drew Brees’ last healthy season, the Saints had a Top-4 passing and overall offense every year except one. More importantly, New Orleans would complete around 70% of their passes every season.

So, Denver is going to throw more often and complete passes more efficiently. While Russell Wilson seems the obvious benefactor, I am more targeting Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton. There is now 100-catch upside for both receivers.

Some Fantasy analysts are penciling Javonte Williams into the Alvin Kamara role. I am not one of them and have no interest in a running back less than a year from a major knee injury. I still think Samaje Perine is the play at current value for the Broncos’ backfield.

Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen, Head Coach and Jim Bob Cooter, Offensive Coordinator

Just twelve months ago there were serious questions about whether Jalen Hurts was going to be a starting quarterback in this league. In those twelve months Hurts increased his completion percentage by over five percent, had a nearly twenty percent increase in his adjusted yards per attempt, and posted a 101.5 quarterback rating while leading the Eagles a play away from winning the Super Bowl.

Shane Steichen has gotten a lot of credit for that development. He now will get a chance to do the same with the totally raw Anthony Richardson. Richardson could be peak-Cam Newton…. but he could also be Jamarcus Russell.

Those of us in superflex dynasty leagues seem to think the former as Richardson has been a Top-3 pick in every rookie draft I have been in. Steichen loves to use the quarterback’s legs and Richardson is the prototypical build for it at 6’5’’, 245 pounds.

My concern is for Jonathan Taylor. The trade request/contract negotiations do not help the situation. However, what concerns me more is the Red Zone. The Colts will have an inexperienced young quarterback that will probably be told to take off with his legs at the first sign.

Miles Sanders was able to have a career year in the offense last season. But, that was only possible because Jalen Hurts was able to stretch the defense out with a downfield passing attack. I do not see that with Richardson in year one.

My gut call is that Richardson could be worth a bench stash in 12-team leagues (currently QB16 in ADP). I want no part of Jonathan Taylor (RB6) or Michael Pittman (WR29) at their current values.
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Los Angeles Chargers: Kellen Moore, Offensive Coordinator

First, a simple question: who is a more talented football player, Dak Prescott or Justin Herbert? If you have truly watched Dak at all then you know the answer is most definitely Herbert.

Kellen Moore comes to Los Angeles after masking Dak Prescott’s weaknesses for years. He has tricked the mainstream media into thinking he is a top quarterback. Now, he will have the kind of big-armed gunslinger that he can truly utilize.

The Chargers have been in the top three in the league in passing attempts and yards in both of Brandon Staley’s seasons as the head coach. So there is not much room for growth there and the receiving room is now suddenly crowded.

I think Moore will be able to enhance the Chargers’ rushing attack (30th in rushing yards last season). With Austin Ekeler’s age and Kellen Moore’s penchant to get multiple backs involved, I think there is a sleeper on the depth chart. Do not be shocked if Joshua Kelley or Isaiah Spiller are Flex-worthy early on in the season.

Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy, Play Caller and Brian Schottenheimer, Offensive Coordinator

I have already highlighted this in my running back busts, but this change is bad news for the Fantasy Football prospectus of the Cowboys. The TL;DR version is that there will probably be 100 less offensive plays for the Cowboys this year. Kellen Moore has had one of the most fast-paced offenses, while McCarthy has always been slower and more methodical.

Baltimore Ravens: Todd Monken, Offensive Coordinator

After three years turning Stetson Bennett into an NFL player at Georgia, Monken gets another shot in the big leagues. His last two seasons in Tampa Bay as the OC the Buccaneers were one of the top passing offenses in the league.

What Monken has never truly had though is a dual threat behind center like Lamar Jackson. Will he still sling it all over the field negating Lamar’s rushing? Or will he flip the script and run Lamar even more which has happened the past two seasons leading to injuries?

There is also the third option in this Goldilocks scenario. That is where he gets the perfect combination that led to Jackson’s MVP season a few years ago.

That’s the hope and it is also why I think Lamar Jackson has the highest upside of any player picked after the first couple of rounds. His ceiling is an all-time Fantasy Football season and the new energy in the booth might bring it out of him.

As far as the rest of the Ravens’ offense, you will not see many of them on my Fantasy teams. Mark Andrews should still be solid. But he is too touchdown dependent for me to draft at the beginning of Round Three. J.K. Dobbins, Rashod Bateman, Odell Beckham Jr., and Zay Flowers all have floors like the Grand Canyon that I do not want to touch.

That’s it for the 2023 NFL Coaching Changes: Fantasy Football Impact. Check out our rankings for the season!

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