Before diving into my 2023 NFL DFS Week 10 Value Picks I wanted to briefly discuss how frustrating fantasy football can be. Last week if you read this article, listened to me on the F6P DFS Kickoff Show, or on the DFS Den and F6P Sunday morning show with Dave Eddy I gave plenty of DFS plays that could have helped you cash.
Just from this article I highlighted Taysom Hill and Cade Otton as my favorite value tight end plays last week. My favorite cash stack last week was Cee Dee Lamb and Dak Prescott. That duo scored the most points of any QB/WR combo in the main slate Sunday.
However, I need to flat out apologize to anyone who listened to me last week with Bijan Robinson. This includes the great Dave Eddy who I persuaded with the info we had on Heinicke's tendency to throw to his running backs in the passing game. I have a feeling after last week Dave will not be listening to me again anytime soon.
I made the mistake of underestimating how bad of a coach Arthur Smith is. You can sense the frustration and confusion from outsiders on this Atlanta Falcons situation. Imagine being an actual fan of the team like me? Bijan was by far my biggest whiff last week and it cost me in numerous cash lineups. I sincerely hope it didn't cost all of you. Moving forward I will not recommend any Falcons besides Drake London for fantasy until Arthur Smith is fired.
@AnnieAgar one of the most talented people in social media and absolutely body bagged(deservingly so) my #AtlantaFalcons coach Arthur Smith. Thank you for doing the lords work Annie #FireArthurSmith pic.twitter.com/Nqq4mzRrvM
— Keith Flemming (@KeithFlemming) November 7, 2023
Keep the conversation going with us on social media. You can find me on Twitter @KeithFlemming where I love talking DFS with my followers. I am also on the Inside Drive on ESPN NW Florida Radio at 12 pm central time every Wednesday talking DFS football. Finally, you can find me on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube Channel every Thursday night with Joe Matz, where we do a live NFL DFS show leading up to the TNF game, talking our favorite median and bargain tier plays for the upcoming week of NFL action!
2023 NFL DFS Week 10 Value Picks
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Joshua Dobbs, QB, Vikings vs Saints
($5.5k DK, $7.3k FD)
Joshua Dobbs: 82.5 PFF Grade in Week 9
4th among all QBs ?
What a story ? pic.twitter.com/d1HdtqBiKD
— PFF (@PFF) November 6, 2023
The story of Joshua Dobbs performance with no prep or practice versus the Atlanta Falcons has been the feel good story of the year in the NFL thus far. Unless you are Falcons fan like myself and had to watch your team blow the most winnable game in recent memory. Only to be followed with story on top of story of how unprepared Dobbs was to play in that game Sunday. Talk about rubbing salt in an open wound.
Moving onto why I am high on Dobbs this week is fairly simple. Since week 2 Dobbs is 6th in fantasy points per game at quarterback. He's averaging over 19 points per game in that span. I love his rushing upside with him rushing for 40 yards or more in six of eight games and he's scored a rushing touchdown in three straight.
The biggest reason I am high on Dobbs this week is the Saints struggles with rushing quarterbacks this season. There have been four different QBs this season to rush for 34 yards or more versus the Saints. Jordan Love and Trevor Lawrence are top-10 among QBs in rushing yards and they rushed for 59 and 39 yards in their games versus New Orleans.
If you include Tyson Bagent who rushed for 70 yards last week versus the Saints. The four best running quarterbacks to face the Saints this season have all had their highest rushing total in a game and rushed for at least 23% of their rushing yards on the season versus NO. Joshua Dobbs is currently second among QBs in rushing yards. If he hits that 23% total it would mean he would rush for 70+ yards on Sunday.
Another option: Kyler Murray ($5.9k DK, $7.5k FD)
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Now that you have read the 2023 NFL DFS Week 10 Value Picks, be sure to check out my Thursday Night Live DFS Show, Joe Matz, at 7:15 pm EST on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube Channel. Each week we will break down our favorite median and bargain tier plays for the main slate on Sunday. As well as talking about our favorite showdown plays for the Thursday Night Game!
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