2023 NFL DFS Week 4 Value Picks

by Keith Flemming
2023 NFL DFS Week 4 Value Picks

This past weekend on DraftKings nine of the 23 DFS players to score 25 points or more were in the price range of $5900 or lower. The difference between a really good day in DFS and a bad one is typically how well the value plays in your lineups perform. Hopefully this week I will continue to provide my readers with multiple high-scoring options in my 2023 NFL DFS Week 4 Value Picks.

Before I get into the article I want to give a quick shoutout to one of our readers/listeners/followers @garywalling90. Gary had an epic day across DFS winning a lot of money in the process by using many of the players discussed on Fantasy Six Pack last week. I am often asked why I spend so much time researching info and nuggets for DFS. The reason is for the feeling I had hearing from Gary yesterday.

In my twenties, I was an assistant golf professional in St. Simons Island, Georgia and by far my favorite part of the job was giving golf lessons. There is something special about teaching about a subject you love. It gives me so much personal satisfaction to know I played a role in someone else's success. I know it sounds corny but I was as excited for Gary's success yesterday as I would have been if I had won that much money myself.

Joe and I have always said that we can't promise our DFS plays will win you money or that we will be right all the time, but we can promise that we will never give a play without logic, reasoning, and data behind it. Equal to the joy I felt yesterday in Gary's success is the guilt I feel when one of my plays goes horribly wrong. Both Joe and I take this role very seriously and I would like to think that's a big part of the reason why we've had so much success in the last few years.

I genuinely hope Gary's big day is the first of many and I receive several more messages this season from people who made money with the help of our plays. Joe and I take pride in what we do and truly appreciate each and every one of our readers/listeners/followers who trust us to help them fill out their DFS lineups each week.

Keep the conversation going. You can find me on Twitter @KeithFlemming where I love talking DFS with my followers. I am also on the Inside Drive on ESPN NW Florida Radio at 12 pm central time every Wednesday talking DFS football. Finally, you can find me on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube Channel every Thursday night with Joe Matz, where we do a live NFL DFS show leading up to the TNF game, talking our favorite median and bargain tier plays for the upcoming week of NFL action!

2023 NFL DFS Week 4 Value Picks

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Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams vs Colts

($5.7k DK, $6.6k FD)

I have to admit that I was worried Matthew Stafford's days of being a Fantasy-relevant quarterback were over. Especially when news broke that Cooper Kupp's hamstring was worse than expected and would land Kupp on IR. It is never good when an aging quarterback starts a season with two young receivers as his top two options.

Through three games, Stafford is averaging 16.6 points per game on DraftKings. His worst game was against the Bengals on  Monday Night Football, due to him being under constant pressure. He was still able to score 13.5 points against the Bengals in a must-win game for Cincinnati. Overall, Stafford has looked as mobile in the pocket as he has in years and his arm looks as strong as ever.

What I like about Stafford this week is the fact that this game is indoors. Stafford has historically played well in dome games. Over his last 13 games indoors, Stafford has 24 passing touchdowns and is averaging 286 passing yards per game.

The Colts have been one of the worst pass defenses in the league over their first three games. The quarterbacks the Colts have faced have thrown for the 10th most passing yards, the 8th most yards per attempt, and the 7th highest completion percentage among defenses. The Colts are currently 24th on FanDuel and 31st on DraftKings against opposing quarterbacks.

Another option: Andy Dalton ($5.1k DK, $6.8k FD)

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Now that you have read the 2023 NFL DFS Week 4 Value Picks, be sure to check out my Thursday Night Live DFS Show, Joe Matz, at 7:15 pm EST on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube Channel. Each week we will break down our favorite median and bargain tier plays for the main slate on Sunday. As well as talking about our favorite showdown plays for the Thursday Night Game!

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