2023 NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

by DFSx42
2023 NFL Week 13 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

Welcome to the 2023 NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets!

The TL:DR disclaimer is that while I am a professional gambler, <1% of that income comes from football prop betting.

  • Many of these lines won't be available to everyone, do not bet a lesser line. I'm not originating, I'm finding bad lines.
  • Always do your homework and ensure market dynamics haven't changed - a lot can happen in the time between me writing this and you reading it. If I like -120 but you see -110 everywhere, then clearly something has happened where now not even -110 is good.
  • I'm not saying where the bad lines are to avoid conflict of interest & ensure you line shop.

You can also follow me on Twitter @DFSx42 for last-minute additions as I'll tweet out any updates. Sometimes there's some late value (a bunch of game props aren't released until the day of the event) before kickoff that I only have time to tweet.

Official Record: 136-104 +8.51u
Unofficial Bonus Bets for Degens: 31-31 -0.056u (these all suck so 0.1u each)


On Sunday there wasn't much available but we went 3-1 for +1.85 units.

A disappointing evening on Monday where we went 2-5 to lose 4 units to both get us back under 10u profit for the season and over 100 losses.

On the bright side, I got my first actual comment on this stuff, even if it was just telling me that I sucked, I appreciate the feedback 🙂

2023 NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

Continue the Betting discussion on Discord and discuss other betting lines with F6P Analysts!

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens

Finally, we have a nice matchup of two good teams. Cincinnati is a very good team hiding behind a 5-4 record and they are up against a 7-3 team that is at home so there should be plenty of fireworks.

This one opened at BAL -3 & 46 and is currently stands at -3.5 & 46.  Once again, as 3 is a key number, any movement away from that in any direction, even half a point is fairly considerable as the market clearly favors BAL. This late in the day we're unlikely to see any further movement.

I have zero positions on this game but personally lean toward the Bengals +3.5 enough that I'll probably book that for no vig at an exchange like 4casters.

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