2023 NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

by DFSx42
2023 NFL Week 17 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets: New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams

Welcome to the 2023 NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets!

The TL:DR disclaimer is that while I am a professional gambler, <1% of that income comes from football prop betting.

  • Many of these lines won't be available to everyone, do not bet a lesser line. I'm not originating, I'm finding bad lines.
  • Always do your homework and ensure market dynamics haven't changed - a lot can happen in the time between me writing this and you reading it. If I like -120 but you see -110 everywhere, then clearly something has happened where now not even -110 is good.
  • I'm not saying where the bad lines are to avoid conflict of interest & ensure you line shop.

You can also follow me on Twitter @DFSx42 for last-minute additions as I'll tweet out any updates. Sometimes there's some late value (a bunch of game props aren't released until the day of the event) before kickoff that I only have time to tweet.

Official Record: 136-104 +8.51u
Unofficial Bonus Bets for Degens: 31-31 -0.056u (these all suck so 0.1u each)

Recap

On Sunday there wasn't much available but we went 3-1 for +1.85 units.

A disappointing evening on Monday where we went 2-5 to lose 4 units to both get us back under 10u profit for the season and over 100 losses.

On the bright side, I got my first actual comment on this stuff, even if it was just telling me that I sucked, I appreciate the feedback 🙂

2023 NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

Continue the Betting discussion on Discord and discuss other betting lines with F6P Analysts!

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens

Finally, we have a nice matchup of two good teams. Cincinnati is a very good team hiding behind a 5-4 record and they are up against a 7-3 team that is at home so there should be plenty of fireworks.

This one opened at BAL -3 & 46 and is currently stands at -3.5 & 46.  Once again, as 3 is a key number, any movement away from that in any direction, even half a point is fairly considerable as the market clearly favors BAL. This late in the day we're unlikely to see any further movement.

I have zero positions on this game but personally lean toward the Bengals +3.5 enough that I'll probably book that for no vig at an exchange like 4casters.

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